The final Thursday Night Football game of the season may not have the feel of an edge of your seat type affair. However, it does give us another opportunity to watch the most entertaining offense in football, and the hottest quarterback right now in Lamar Jackson. The New York Jets should not be dismissed, but after games against the Buffalo Bills and the San Francisco 49ers, this one should be slightly less challenging for the Ravens. However, sometimes, these games are the most entertaining, as teams overlook a relatively simple matchup in favor of focusing on future games that they see as potentially more challenging. Let’s see whether out picks team sees this as a stroll in the park or a potentially tricky challenge for the Ravens with the Week 15 Thursday Night Football picks.
Location: M&T Bank Stadium
Time: 8:30 pm EST
Spread: Ravens -15
When this line opened as Baltimore -14.5, I did not foresee it going any higher. However, over 60% of the bets and over three-quarters of the money so far has been on the Ravens, so the line has risen to -15. The total for this game has stayed consistently at 45 for the majority of the time since opening. That is despite over 60% of the bets coming in on the over but is likely because the money has been closer to 50/50.
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“There are some feelings of a trap game to this one, except for one thing. If the Ravens win this game, they leave themselves needing to win just one of their last two AFC North games to earn both a first-round bye and homefield advantage. Needing to win two games against bitter rivals is not something they would want ideally, and therefore, I think they drive home the point against the Jets this week.
The New York Jets have the issue of facing the Ravens defense, which has been incredible recently. For that reason, I am staying clear of all of their players on props. This week is a game that needs no reason to make it more interesting.
The problem is the question of value or lack of it. There is no real value in betting on Lamar Jackson or Mark Ingram to find the end zone, and Mark Andrews has been struggling with health recently. Outside of those three, betting on which Raven finds the end zone is very tough. The same goes for props on yardage, as it is hard to know whether the Ravens will attack the Jets on the ground or through the air. However, one area I think can be exploited is the line on Lamar Jackson’s rushing total. He has rushed for 65 or more yards in eight of his last ten games. Therefore, I will take the over on his rushing total at 63.5 yards.”
1u – Lamar Jackson Over 63.5 rushing yards | +100
“We have been incredibly spoiled by primetime games this season, specifically on Monday and Thursday nights relative to the previous few years. This week has seen a return to the mediocre, however, featuring both fledgling New York teams. The Giants showed some life in Philadelphia on Monday Night. The question will be if the Jets can do the same in Baltimore on Thursday. The Ravens are favored by a staggering 15 points, and I just can’t lay that large a number on a short week, regardless of the opponent. There is also some concern over the health of MVP front runner Lamar Jackson who was limited in practice earlier this week. Baltimore has looked like the best team in the NFL for most of the season, although they have played in two consecutive one-possession games, albeit against stiffer competition than Adam Gase’s Jets team. I would lean towards taking the two-plus touchdowns with the Jets here, although I can’t recommend this play with any real conviction.”
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