If you’re looking for Week 7 XFL Vegas Vipers vs. San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks, and predictions for this thrilling Saturday matchup, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations.
Vipers vs. Brahmas Week 7 Odds and Betting Lines
The following odds and betting lines for the Vipers vs. Brahmas are as of the evening of Wednesday, March 29, and come from DraftKings Sportsbook. Clearly, they’re subject to change. That said, barring an unforeseen injury to a significant starter, we should assume that these lines will remain largely intact.
- Point Spread: Vipers (-3)
- Moneyline: Vipers (-145), Brahmas (+125)
- Over/Under: 38.5 (-110)
Vipers vs. Brahmas Picks and Predictions
Full disclosure as always: I went 3-1 last week on point spreads, 3-1 on moneylines, and 3-1 on over/unders. Since Week 3, that puts me at 23-9 on combined point spreads and moneylines. And after languishing most of the season on over/unders, I’m now 6-2 since Week 5.
Let’s see if we can keep things going in Week 7.
Regarding the Vipers, two weeks ago, I publicly went all in on Luis Perez. Why? Because he had a perfect matchup against the hapless Orlando Guardians. It was likely to be a get-right game, and fortunately (for Vegas, not for Orlando), that’s how it turned out.
But last week, I saw things going in the opposite direction, challenging a betting line that suggested the Vipers’ offensive challenges were now “fixed.” I wrote that “teams don’t often solve offensive issues when they beat the league’s worst defense. This merely delays the solution.”
The fact is, Vegas remains a bottom-tier XFL squad. They had the good fortune of facing an even worse XFL squad in Week 5, netting the Vipers their first win.
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And last week, Perez once again was exposed. Brett Hundley once again replaced him, looked better, and probably has earned another shot to start — if not this weekend, then at least down the stretch of a lost season.
Aside from Jeff Badet, the Vipers are a mess on offense. Rod Smith is sitting below 3.7 yards per carry. John Lovett is below 3.4. But the bigger difference is through the air, where Lovett has shined, putting him only one yard behind Cinque Sweeting for No. 2 on the team in receiving yards.
The opposing Brahmas have yielded the fewest points in the league. Judging them purely by their defense, they have the personnel to shut down Vegas, which probably will need stellar performances from Badet and Lovett to post even 16+ points.
Regarding San Antonio, I’ve repeated myself too often since Week 1, but yes, it bears repeating one last time (hopefully). Jack Coan isn’t the answer. Kalen Ballage isn’t the answer. Notably, they beat the Arlington Renegades last weekend without Coan and without Ballage.
A coincidence? Not at all. Coan doesn’t have the skill set, the backfield, or the receiving corps to effectively move the ball. Ballage has averaged 2.7 yards per carry. This team has no true No. 1 receiver — at least not yet.
So what did they do last week? San Antonio dabbled with Kurt Benkert before mercifully shifting to fourth-string QB Jawon Pass. And while Pass didn’t exactly light things up, he showed enough versatility to merit another look.
However, let’s not fall in love with Pass or Coan, or even Reid Sinnett. The Brahmas don’t have a top-14 XFL quarterback. It’s an eight-team league. We can do the math.
So how can they defeat Vegas? Through Jacques Patrick, the “better” half of the Ballage-Patrick tandem. Patrick played his best football of the year last week as the bell cow. As a bonus, he led the team in receptions. This franchise seems to trust him, and frankly, they don’t have much choice at 2-4 with four games to play.
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Vegas has a defense made for someone like Patrick. They’re surrendering a robust 4.5 yards per carry while giving up the league’s second-most points. In fact, the Vipers’ defense has given up twice as many rushing first downs as they’ve secured on offense.
I expect San Antonio to win with their defense and running game. It’s that simple. The Brahmas are a great QB away from being a serious title contender. In lieu of that, they’ll try to sneak in by playing to their strengths.
- Recommended Point-Spread Bet: Brahmas (+3)
- Recommended Moneyline Bet: Brahmas (+125)
- Over/Under: Under 38.5 (-110)