Tonight, we have a Thursday Night Football matchup between the top two seeds in the NFC last season — the Minnesota Vikings and the Philadelphia Eagles. The Vikings are coming off a disappointing home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, while the Eagles are 1-0 after an ugly win vs. the New England Patriots.
Vikings vs. Eagles is a matchup with star players on offense for both teams, including Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Justin Jefferson, and T.J. Hockenson, to name a few. For this Thursday Night Football matchup, how should we be approaching their player prop bets? We break those down for tonight and give you our favorite plays.
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Top Vikings vs. Eagles Player Prop Bets To Target
Our team of betting experts give out their favorite player prop bets for Vikings vs. Eagles on Thursday Night Football.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
Kirk Cousins Player Props
- Passing Yards: 264.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Completions: 24.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Pass Attempts: 37.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
Katz: If you’re experiencing a bit of Week 2 déjà vu, don’t fret. Nearly 365 days ago, the Eagles and Vikings met in Week 2. The scheduling gods seemed to borrow from last year’s work.
In that game, Kirk Cousins made an absolute mess of things. He threw for 221 yards and one garbage-time touchdown in a game the Vikings lost 24-7 and were never competitive in. I’m not saying I expect something similar, but it wouldn’t surprise me.
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I don’t buy into the prime-time Kirk narrative. But I do buy into the fact that Cousins is turnover-prone, and the Eagles have a ferocious pass rush capable of forcing him into mistakes.
Philadelphia picked Cousins off three times last year. They got one from Mac Jones last week. Cousins threw a pick himself last week. I think you see where we’re headed!
Player Prop Bet: Kirk Cousins over 0.5 interceptions (-115 at DraftKings earlier this week)
Justin Jefferson Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 93.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 7.5 (Over +114/Under -145)
- Longest Reception: 27.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +115
- First Touchdown Scorer: +900
Wingo: No team has proved more in Week 1 that what happened in 2022 won’t happen in 2023. The Vikings won 11 one-score games last season, and it took them just one week to lose a one-score game in 2023.
Justin Jefferson was the absolute best in the game and did everything but score. Minnesota’s going to need him to get in the end zone this week against the Eagles. That’s why I like him to catch a touchdown pass tonight.
Player Prop Bet: Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown scorer (+115 at DraftKings)
Bearman: I will be taking the over on Jefferson’s receiving yards because no one can stop him right now. He hit this mark in 11 of 17 games last year and again last week. He goes for over 100, but the Eagles still win and cover.
Player Prop Bet: Justin Jefferson over 92.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings earlier this week)
T.J. Hockenson Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 49.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over -166/Under +130)
- Longest Reception: 18.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +255
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1700
Soppe: The Eagles are a better team on all fronts than they showed last week, though their run defense did show up (3.5 yards per carry allowed to New England). They take that stretch as a touchdown favorite into a game against a Vikings team that didn’t record a 10-yard run in their season-opening loss to the Buccaneers (17 carries for 41 yards).
If we take for granted that Philadelphia will slow down Minnesota’s run game and that they will be able to score at will because, well, most professional teams do against the Vikings, then I’m looking for another high-volume game through the air for the Vikes.
T.J. Hockenson earned nine low-aDOT targets against the Bucs last week, hauling in eight of them for just 35 yards. The style in which he is used isn’t ideal for fantasy football managers, but his consistent involvement seems to be locked in (8.6 targets per game following the trade from Detroit last season).
And guess what? The Eagles are more than happy to give up those short/middle-of-the-field targets. We saw it last postseason, and we saw it again in Week 1 with New England’s RBs and TEs seeing 25 targets.
With Nakobe Dean on injured reserve (IR), Philadelphia is even more vulnerable in the short passing game than normal. I think you have the ability to get creative when it comes to wagering on Hockenson. In addition to my best bet, I’ll be taking his heavily juiced catch total over 4.5 (-190, DraftKings) and playing the “win amount” from that bet on his alternate receiving yardage total of 75+ yards (+270, DraftKings).
Player Prop Bet: T.J. Hockenson over 48.5 receiving yards (-110 at DraftKings earlier this week)
Jalen Hurts Player Props
- Passing Yards: 251.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -140/Under +110)
- Pass Completions: 21.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Pass Attempts: 31.5 (Over -140/Under +110)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +140/Under -180)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -115
- First Touchdown Scorer: +600
Bearman: I’m taking the Eagles laying six points, as well as the over on Jefferson’s receiving yards, and will also be taking Jalen Hurts’ anytime touchdown. He scored twice on the ground last year versus a Vikings defense that is better than this version.
Player Prop Bet: Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (-115)
A.J. Brown Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 72.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Receptions: 5.5 (Over +114/Under -145)
- Longest Reception: 25.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +100
- First Touchdown Scorer: +650
Blewis: The Eagles’ offense looked a bit rusty and out of sorts last week after not playing in the preseason, adjusting to a new play-caller, and going against a very formidable New England Patriots defense on the road.
This week, they get a much more favorable matchup, although in a short week, at home against the Vikings. Minnesota’s defense was one of the worst at defending the pass last season, allowing the third-most yards per attempt, and their personnel in the secondary remains very uninspiring.
Last week, the Eagles struggled to give Hurts much time to throw, and the Patriots did a great job of preventing guys from getting open. By facing a much worse Vikings defense and pass rush, I expect them to have much more success through the air. Look for Hurts to connect with A.J. Brown on a deep touchdown pass in this one.
I’m 3 for 3 in giving out anytime touchdown bets in prime-time games so far this season; let’s go for four in a row.
Player Prop Bets: A.J. Brown anytime touchdown (+115 at FanDuel), Brown over 25.5 longest reception (-114 at FanDuel)
DeVonta Smith Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 62.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
- Receptions: 5.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
- Longest Reception: 23.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +145
- First Touchdown Scorer: +900
Blewis: The Eagles have a 1A and 1B duo at wide receiver, which is the best in the NFL, in my opinion.
Brown might be the better deep threat, but DeVonta Smith is actually more involved on a down-to-down basis in the passing game. In his last four regular-season games, he has 10+ targets in three of them and has gone over the line for his receptions prop every time.
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Although Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores likes to call blitzes heavily — which Hurts tends to struggle against — like I said earlier, this is a much easier matchup for the Eagles this week.
I don’t expect this to be a blowout, so Philadelphia should be throwing the ball throughout the evening. I like Smith to be heavily featured tonight.
Player Prop Bet: DeVonta Smith over 5.5 receptions (+114 at FanDuel)
D’Andre Swift Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 36.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Rush Attempts: 8.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Longest Rush: 12.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +145
- First Touchdown Scorer: +950
Katz: We only have one week of data on how the Eagles will deploy their running backs, and it’s kind of useless now that lead back Kenneth Gainwell is inactive. This one is undoubtedly more of a hunch than anything else, but here goes.
I don’t think the Eagles like D’Andre Swift all that much. And I am not buying him as the lead back even with Gainwell out. I really think it’s going to be Rashaad Penny leading the way, plus Boston Scott mixing in.
Swift will certainly see more work than last week, but I still think we’re looking at 8-10 touches max. So, here’s how I’m playing this. Due to the uncertainty, I don’t want to go all in on one outcome or another. As a result, I’m splitting the Swift fade bet into a Swift fade and a pro Penny bet.
Player Prop Bet: D’Andre Swift Under 8.5 Rush Attempts (-111 at Caesars) for 0.5 units and Rashaad Penny over 6.5 Rush Attempts (-120 at DraftKings) for 0.5 units
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