Still chasing his first title of the season, Daniil Medvedev has found his rhythm in Shanghai. The 16th seed has battled through a solid draw, defeating Dalibor Svrcina, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Learner Tien, then stunning seventh seed Alex de Minaur to reach the semifinals against Arthur Rinderknech.
Rinderknech, meanwhile, has enjoyed an equally remarkable run in Shanghai. He defeated Hamad Medjedovic and 28th seed Alex Michelsen before pulling off major upsets over third seed Alexander Zverev, 15th seed Jiri Lehecka, and 12th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime to book his place in the semifinals. Fans can expect a thrilling contest, with both players eyeing a spot in the final.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Match Details
Date: Oct. 11, 2025
Tournament: Shanghai Masters
Round: Semifinals
Venue: Shanghai, China
Category: Masters 1000
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Medvedev vs. Rinderknech Head-to-Head
Interestingly, the semifinal clash at the 2025 Shanghai Masters marks their first meeting in over three years, with Medvedev leading 1-0 in their head-to-head. Their only previous encounter came in the second round of the 2022 US Open, where Medvedev faced little resistance from the Frenchman, cruising to a commanding 6-2, 7-5, 6-3 victory. After such a long gap, their meeting adds an extra layer of intrigue to this highly anticipated showdown.
Medvedev vs. Rinderknech Prediction
Rinderknech arrived for the Asian swing following a modest North American hard-court campaign, where his best result was a fourth-round finish at the US Open. He showed signs of progress at the China Open, again reaching the fourth round, before finally finding his rhythm in Shanghai.
Medvedev, on the other hand, has shown steady progress throughout the Asian swing, reaching the quarterfinals in Hangzhou and the semifinals in Beijing and now producing a phenomenal run in Shanghai.
Both players enter the semifinal brimming with confidence, though Medvedev’s greater familiarity with the Chinese conditions could give him a slight edge. Statistically, however, Rinderknech has been the more dominant server this season, winning 84 percent of his service games compared to Medvedev’s 81 percent. The Russian, in contrast, has been more effective in terms of return, capturing 40 percent of return points against the Frenchman’s 31 percent.
However, the former World No. 1 boasts a far superior record on hard courts, with a 74.66 percent win rate compared to Rinderknech’s 59.79 percent. In fact, the Frenchman enters the semifinal with a modest 25–25 win-loss record this season, while Medvedev stands at a stronger 34–20. Given his current form, higher seeding, and proven ability to deliver in big matches, Medvedev becomes the clear favorite in the contest.
Pick: Medvedev will win in straight sets.