The New York Jets travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers in Week 4 of the NFL season, and we have you covered on all the fantasy football angles of this matchup. One of the key questions is whether fantasy managers should start Michael Carter or Breece Hall against the Steelers. Let’s dive into which Jets running back is a viable play for Week 4 and why you might start either.
Should you start Michael Carter vs. the Steelers?
The Jets have remained steadfast in giving Carter the larger workload of rushing carries through three games. He is the RB1, although Carter lost some targets to Hall in Week 3. But it’s hard to know exactly how everything will change with Zach Wilson taking over the offense for Joe Flacco.
Even with Carter as the RB1 in New York and ranked RB31 and No. 110 overall in our expert fantasy football rankings, it’s not easy to project a role for him this week. Carter has been fine in 2022, averaging 4.4 yards a carry and four receptions a game. But his snap count dipped from 60% in the first two weeks to 49% last week, and he’s not scored a touchdown yet.
Playing with Wilson puts the offense at an interesting crossroads. Flacco wasn’t very good, but he was capable of extending drives and creating chunk plays. The last time we saw Wilson this offense was highly reliant on playmakers doing the heavy lifting and he struggled.
The rushing game looks like they have an advantage against a porous Steelers run defense. Pittsburgh has allowed 25.8 fantasy points per game to running backs this season, in large part to the sheer volume of carries and targets. New York should continue that trend.
A good barometer is to see what our friends at Underdog Fantasy are projecting. They have Carter’s total yards set at 62.5 and fantasy points at 9.85. That’s a fair total, but if he’s in that range, then Carter is certainly more of a Flex or backup option against the Steelers. I would fade starting Carter due to the uncertainty with Wilson.
Should you start Breece Hall vs. the Steelers?
With Wilson taking over the offense, now would be a good time to start feeding Hall more touches. He’s the more talented back with the bigger upside to spring chunk plays. Hall looked more than comfortable with the increased workload in Week 3, and it’d be great to see him play even more than the 51% of snaps his season-high sits at.
The Jets’ backs provide more value as receivers instead of on the ground again this season. But this becomes an issue in terms of scoring upside. Hall only has one receiving touchdown, and the Jets have not rushed for a score yet. Does that finally change this week?
Underdog has Hall’s total yardage at only 38.5, slightly lower than Carter’s total. His fantasy points total sits at 9.25, and his total yards is at 60.5. He’s eclipsed these numbers twice in three weeks, but again, the quarterback change might drastically reduce the workload both backs get.
It’s hard to predict a massive amount of improvement from the Jets’ ground game. The Steelers have a vulnerable defense, so I would be fine starting Hall just as I am with Carter, but I’m not confident in either.