The New Orleans Saints need to pull themselves from the bottom of the NFC South with a win over the New York Jets, who also sit at the bottom of their division. With the home stretch fast approaching on the regular season, let’s take a look at the Saints vs. Jets Week 14 matchup, the NFL odds, and make a pick and prediction.
New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets pick, prediction | Week 14
- Spread: Saints -5 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moneyline: Saints -220, Jets +180
- Over/Under: 43.5
The Saints head into this one a 5-point favorite, and they will likely turn to Taysom Hill once more against the Jets.
New Orleans has been without Alvin Kamara for four straight games, and veteran Mark Ingram has done a good job of carrying the load — but a lack of firepower on offense hinders how far this team can go.
Hill ran the ball well, but turnovers through the air cost him and the Saints in Week 13. The Cowboys beat them by 10, but it was only the final mistake from Hill (a pick-six) that solidified the 10-point gap between the two sides. New Orleans was closer to a win than they seemed, and Hill does add an extra dimension to an offense struggling for reliable talent.
The Jets are looking for a sign of hope
The Jets have won one of their last five, and it came against the Houston Texans (who kept it close). This roster has a lot of work to do, and despite the best efforts of head coach Robert Saleh, the inevitable rebuild is only just getting started.
Zach Wilson has had a slow start to his NFL career. While he’s being pressured heavily at times, he’s also struggling to find the end zone, and he’s managed just 6 touchdowns to 11 interceptions in eight games so far in a Jets uniform. He’ll be without Corey Davis for the rest of the season, as the veteran pass catcher will undergo surgery on a groin injury he’s been dealing with for some time now.
Both of these teams have faced a wealth of injury problems this season. The Saints have been without Michael Thomas all year and lost Jameis Winston to a torn ACL. Both premier tackles Ryan Ramczyck and Terron Armstead have missed time, Alvin Kamara has been out a month, and the list goes on.
As for the Jets, star tackle and Wilson’s blindside protector Mekhi Becton went down early in the year, Carl Lawson tore his Achilles in practice, and Davis is now having surgery. It’s been a struggle for both clubs, to say the least.
Saints vs. Jets betting trends
The Saints have lost four of their last five against the spread (ATS), as the troubles Sean Payton and the roster are facing seem to be catching up to them. New Orleans, which is typically a high-scoring team, has only managed 23 points total in their last two games.
The Jets are 3-9 ATS for the season, losing four of their last five both outright and ATS. The only win came against the Houston Texans, who have an even worse roster than the Jets. That said, New York is a positive 7-5 cashing overs, with a large part of that being due to their defense being dead last in points per game allowed. The Jets give up an average of 30.6 ppg, with the next worst team allowing 27.7.
Saints vs. Jets prediction
The Jets might be struggling this year, but they have a talented defensive line, and it’s the best thing about their defense. John Franklin-Myers and Quinnen Williams are the bright sparks for the future of the franchise. The question is can they contain Hill?
I like the Saints to win in Week 14. Their lack of star talent offensively is offset by the lack of elite players in the Jets’ secondary, and if they can hold off New York’s front, this one could get ugly. The Saints still have a strong defense, can plug the run, and are able to shut out top targets through the air. They are too big of a challenge right now for Wilson and the Jets offense, and I like the under sneaking in.
Saints vs. Jets Prediction: Saints 27, Jets 14