The Las Vegas Raiders‘ offense has a very different look to it in 2024, with the arrival of Gardner Minshew II as the starter. Can Minshew Mania work its magic in Las Vegas, and what does it mean for the fantasy football outlooks of Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers this season?
Davante Adams’ Fantasy Outlook and Projections
- PPR Fantasy Points: 263.0 (172.2 non-PPR)
- Receptions: 908
- Receiving Yards: 1,172.8
- Receiving TDs: 9.2
Adams still possesses an elite target share at 33.1% (175 total targets), which ranked second amongst wide receivers in 2023. Additionally, he managed to catch 100 passes for a fourth straight year, which includes his first two seasons with the Raiders.
On the surface, Adams’ 103 receptions for 1,144 receiving yards and eight touchdowns was still a solid season from an overall production standpoint. But upon a closer look, there may be some cause for concern that Father Time is starting to tap him on the shoulder.
Yards Per Route Run With Positional Rank
- 2023: 2.03 (30th)
- 2022: 2.59 (8th)
Yards After Catch With Positional Rank
- 2023: 336 (25th)
- 2022: 493 (6th)
Now, do some of these numbers require some context? Absolutely.
Adams was playing with his old college quarterback, Derek Carr, for the vast majority of his more productive and efficient 2022 season. Last year, he was mostly catching passes from fourth-round rookie Aidan O’Connell. That could excuse some of Adams’ drop in yardage and touchdown output last year.
To the surprise of very few people at this moment, Adams’ ADP is currently No. 16 overall as the WR9 off the board in fantasy football drafts.
If you could guarantee me Adams will see north of 170 targets for a third straight year, I would be fine selecting the veteran wideout while overlooking a less-than-ideal QB situation, a new dynamic pass-catching TE, and the fact that he plays on a team expected to run the football a lot in a season when he will turn 32 years old.
Adams’ struggles against former Kansas City Chiefs CB L’Jarius Sneed in Week 16 last year showed me some signs that he isn’t quite as dominant as he used to be. But I’m not willing to write him off quite yet.
I just don’t want to bank on everything staying the exact same for Adams to return on the middle second-round investment you’ll need to make to get him on your squad. I would prefer to go with multiple other options at other positions than Adams at his current ADP.
– Derek Tate, Fantasy Football Analyst
Jakobi Meyers’ Fantasy Outlook and Projections
- PPR Fantasy Points: 172.6 (108.1 non-PPR)
- Receptions: 64.6
- Receiving Yards: 726.9
- Receiving TDs: 4.8
Tre Tucker and Jalen Guyton have some weekly potential, but Meyers’ role as the WR2 on a team widely expected to have a losing record and, thus, playing from behind routinely is safe. Adams’ target share doesn’t have much room to increase, and Meyers earned himself the trust of Vegas’ coaching staff during his first season with the franchise.
As long as you know the business you’re getting into (there were two stretches last season when he went three straight games without clearing 45 receiving yards), investing in Meyers outside of the top 50 at the position is perfectly reasonable.
In this range are Tyler Lockett (I’m convinced we are firmly in the days where his name holds more value than his production), Khalil Shakir, Romeo Doubs, and Joshua Palmer. If you want to invest in better offenses in Buffalo or Green Bay, I’m fine with that, but Meyers is as talented as anyone in this range and proved capable of overcoming iffy quarterback play in 2023.
Meyers opened his career with two touchdowns on 168 catches through three seasons, but he’s scored 14 times on 138 grabs since. The scoring hex is behind him. With a favorable December schedule, Meyers’ best string of games could prove to be quite impactful in fantasy leagues.
– Kyle Soppe, Fantasy Football Analyst
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