It appears that San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert will be playing in his first game back from injury, much to the delight of fantasy football managers who have been stashing him while he worked his way back into action. What is the latest news on Mostert, and what can be expected of him in his first game back after a four-game absence?
Update Sunday, November 29: Raheem Mostert is active for the San Francisco 49ers Week 12 matchup against the Los Angeles Rams.
Is Raheem Mostert playing this week?
San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan spoke to the media on Friday after practice to provide a handful of injury updates. Shanahan said the 49ers will activate running back Raheem Mostert (ankle), cornerback Richard Sherman (calf), and running Jeff Wilson Jr. (ankle) in time for today’s game. All three are considered questionable, Shanahan said.
While Mostert has been activated from the IR, this doesn’t guarantee he’ll suit up today against the Rams, but it is a step in the right direction. Raheem Mostert suffered a knee injury in Week 6 and was placed on injured reserve shortly after. At the time, he had 62 touches for 453 yards and two touchdowns in four games.
On Saturday night, Adam Schefter reported that Raheem Mostert is going to play for the San Francisco 49ers matchup with the Los Angeles Rams.
Fantasy hopes were high for Raheem Mostert entering 2020
Raheem Mostert entered the season with high fantasy expectations, as many assumed he would be the 49ers’ RB1. That’s because in 2019, Mostert had 951 combined yards and 10 touchdowns on 151 total touches. However, it is the end of the season that meant so much for fantasy GMs heading into 2020.
From Week 11 through the end of the regular season, Raheem Mostert scored a rushing touchdown in six straight games, including a pair in Week 13 and Week 16. His production continued into the playoffs, where he had five touchdowns, including four rushing scores in the NFC Championship game. With Matt Breida in Miami, it seemed that Mostert could bring this momentum into the 2020 season. However, due to injuries, we never got to see this unfold.
Further, while he has looked explosive when healthy and on the field, the split backfield has and will continue to limit his ceiling. That’s because a rotation of JaMycal Hasty, Jerick McKinnon, Jeff Wilson, and Tevin Coleman have all found themselves at different times seeing the majority of the work and value.
Should I start or sit Raheem Morris in Week 12?
With a matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, what is the expectation for Raheem Mostert if he is playing, and if not, which 49ers running back has the best upside in Week 12?
Why you should start Raheem Mostert today
Assuming he’s is playing in Week 12, it’ll be difficult to keep Raheem Mostert on your bench. Mostert has put up at least nine PPR points in each of his four games on the year, despite never playing more than 60% of the team’s snaps and only finishing two of those four games healthy.
He’s also recorded at least 14 PPR points in three of those four and has already put up two games with at least 18.5 points. The 17.1 PPR points he’s averaging on a per-game basis would make him the RB8 had he played enough to qualify.
Why you should consider keeping Mostert on your bench
The downside is the matchup, as the Rams are one of the hardest teams to move the ball on the ground against in the NFL. The Rams allow the fourth-fewest points to opposing running backs in fantasy at 19.84. They are allowing 74.7 rushing yards per game and an average of 3.89 per carry.
The one spot they have been weaker (in relative terms) is in the passing game. They have faced 71 attempts (12th most) and have allowed 52 receptions for 397 yards and one touchdown. Of the 202.4 fantasy points allowed on the season to running backs, 48.7% of that has been through the air; 9.77 PPR points per game.
The Final Verdict: Raheem Mostert’s fantasy outlook in Week 12
If Raheem Mostert is playing today, I have him in the low-end RB2/high-end RB3 range for two reasons. First, I don’t love the matchup, and second, I don’t like how Shanahan uses his running back for fantasy. In the NFL, it is great, but for us looking for stability, this is not a situation where you will find it.
If Raheem Mostert is out this week due to injury, Jerick McKinnon moves up from an RB4 to an RB3 this week in my rankings.
Want more fantasy football analysis and news?
Be sure to follow us on Twitter: @PFN365 to stay up to date with all things around the NFL and the 2020 fantasy football season. Also, continue to visit Pro Football Network for NFL news and in-depth analysis while also seeing our fantasy football section for more coverage and up-to-date rankings.