Packers vs. Lions Player Props for Sunday Night Football: Targets Include Aaron Rodgers, Jared Goff, and Aaron Jones

The highest-stakes NFC North battle of the year. Here are the top Packers vs. Lions player props for Sunday Night Football.

If you’re planning to make NFL prop bets for this playoff-laced Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lionss Week 18 matchup on Sunday Night Football, then you’ve come to the right place.

We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.

Top Packers vs. Lions Player Props To Target

The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.

These recommended bets assume the Packers will beat the Lions by a rough score of 27-16. Both defenses are among the worst against the run. Fortunately for each team, they have the backfield talent to thrive in these matchups.

Additionally, this will be a battle between a fantastic Lions pass offense and a stellar Green Bay pass defense. But with the irreplaceable T.J. Hockenson long gone, rookie Jameson Williams still acclimating, there’s more pressure than ever on Amon-Ra St. Brown (and perhaps D.J. Chark) to help carry this team.

Aaron Rodgers Player Props

How bullish should we be about Aaron Rodgers? On the one hand, he’s one of the most experienced QBs this league has ever seen. I’m not just talking about games. I’m talking about a combination of high-stakes outings and on-the-field leadership spanning 15 years as a (usually) elite starter.

The question, then, is whether there’s still some eliteness in him. By all accounts, 2022 marks his most statistically muted campaign. After boasting the lowest interception rate for four straight seasons, he’s shockingly thrown 11 picks this year, contributing to a career-low 91.5 QB rating.

He’s also averaging his fewest pass attempts per game since 2010. Much can be blamed on losing Davante Adams and lacking a true No. 1 WR for the first time in his career. An injury-ravaged receiving corps hasn’t helped.

But the reality is, after starting 4-8, Green Bay is a victory away from the postseason in large part because of timely passing and elite RB production. “Timely” is key. Rodgers doesn’t need to throw for 400 yards. He doesn’t even need 300. And they can win if he throws for less than 200.

So how aggressive will he need to be? It might depend entirely on how effectively his backfield operates.

  • Passing yards under 254.5
    (-120) — BetMGM
  • Interceptions under 0.5
    (-155) — BetMGM

Aaron Jones Player Props

With their season on the line, the Packers will make sure Aaron Jones gets his touches. I can’t guarantee it. But it’s the most logical conclusion for an experienced, talented, high-ceiling RB who’s stepped up on countless big games.

He’s averaged 5.3 yards per carry and is enjoying a career-high 56 receptions. Detroit’s surrendering the second most yards per carry. Regardless of game script, Jones should feature prominently.

  • Rushing attempts over 12.5
    (-108) — FanDuel
  • Rushing yards over 58.5
    (-113) — FanDuel
  • Receptions over 2.5
    (-148) — FanDuel
  • Receiving yards over 17.5
    (-113) — FanDuel

AJ Dillon Player Props

AJ Dillon has exceeded 10 rushing attempts in each contest during the Packers’ four-game winning streak. There’s no good reason for this team to run Jones into the ground; those days are over.

Assuming a run-friendly contest, Dillon is a great bet for double-digit carries. And given his opponent, he’s also a great bet for 43+ yards.

  • Rushing attempts over 9.5
    (-120) — FanDuel
  • Rushing yards over 42.5
    (-113) — FanDuel

Jared Goff Player Props

The probability of Jared Goff coming up big on the road versus a tough pass defense is . . . low. I don’t say that with joy. Goff has revitalized his standing as a franchise QB this season, and assuredly he’ll be poised to take another step forward next season with a full 17 games (hopefully) from St. Brown, Williams, and perhaps a high-impact free agent signing.

But tonight, the odds are stacked against Goff, who repeatedly has struggled against top-10 pass defenses while beating up on bottom-10 pass defenses.

  • Passing yards under 248.5
    (-115) — BetMGM
  • Passing TDs under 1.5
    (-146) — FanDuel

D’Andre Swift Player Props

A healthy D’Andre Swift is near-elite, plain and simple. He’s netting an astounding 5.6 yards per carry while collecting 41 catches in 13 games. In fact, he’s about to play a 14th game for the first time in his career.

Swift is game-script proof. Even if Detroit is down big at halftime, we should see plenty of Swift in the passing game if Goff can’t find openings downfield.

  • Receptions over 3.5
    (+126) — FanDuel
  • Receiving yards over 24.5
    (-113) — FanDuel

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