Packers vs. 49ers Best Touchdown Scorer Bets: Picks Include Deebo Samuel and Aaron Jones

Besides Christian McCaffrey, who are the best touchdown scorer bets for Packers vs. 49ers? Our experts share their top picks for this Divisional Round matchup.

This playoff matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers has the highest total of the four Divisional Round games at 50.5, so expect a lot of points. But what are the best touchdown scorer bets in Packers vs. 49ers?

Packers vs. 49ers Best Touchdown Scorer Bets

Deebo Samuel (+105 at FanDuel)

Soppe: It’s rare that I play someone toward the top of the odds board in the anytime touchdown market due to the variance of the statistic, but this profiles as a strong spot for San Francisco’s do-it-all receiver.

The Packers are a top-10 defense in terms of blitz rate, pressure percentage, and length of opponent touchdown passes (in terms of fewest yards per TD toss). To me, that matchup encourages short and medium usage at elite levels.

Short And Medium Usage at Elite Levels.

Deebo Samuel’s aDOT this season is 52.2% lower than that of Brandon Aiyuk, giving him more target equity in this specific spot than usual, and that’s on top of the touchdown equity that Samuel carries via his touches as a running back (16 rushing scores over the past three seasons, more than D’Andre Swift, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Justin Fields).

I like the 49ers to win this game and flirt with the 30 points that sportsbooks have them penciled in for. If that is the case, we are talking 3-4 touchdowns — I’ll take my chances at plus money!

Bearman: The obvious choice is Christian McCaffrey, but who is laying -320 odds? If not McCaffrey, the next-best choice would be Deebo Samuel, who has scored 12 touchdowns this season, with five of them coming on the ground.

Shanahan loves mixing it up and playing Deebo everywhere, and CMC can’t score every touchdown, so this is who I’m rolling with.

Aaron Jones (+125 at ESPN BET)

Rolfe: While I do not think for a second we will see the same level of touchdown scoring we saw from Aaron Jones last week, I think we will see him find the end zone again this week. The 49ers had some vulnerability against the run at times in the last month of the season, allowing three rushing touchdowns in the final four weeks.

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Jones has broken the duck that had seemingly started to haunt him since Week 9 and has clearly demonstrated he is the best back for the Packers. I expect we see a lot of Jones in both the run and pass game, with at least one touchdown.

Jayden Reed (+210 at FanDuel)

Katz: Last week, I bet Jayden Reed’s receiving yards over. As you may recall, he didn’t catch a pass.

Well, I’m expecting a bit more of a competitive game this time around. The Packers are heavy underdogs once again. This time, I expect them to actually see negative game script. That means more passing and more of a focus on getting the ball to Reed.

Reed found the end zone 11 times in the regular season. The way to beat the 49ers is via the air. Look for them to get creative in utilizing their best receiver. If you want to get really cheeky, I think Reed scores on the ground.

Christian Watson (+340 at FanDuel)

Blewis: This is purely a longshot play, hoping Jordan Love can connect with Christian Watson on a deep shot, especially in garbage time.

Watson, coming off of a hamstring injury, only had one target in last week’s blowout win over the Cowboys. But he doesn’t have an injury status for this week, meaning he should be closer to playing at 100%.

In his short NFL career, Watson has been a touchdown machine at the wide receiver position, scoring on 10% of his 119 targets. Watson’s red-zone target share of 27% and aDOT of 15.4 lead all other Packers pass catchers by a mile, and they both bode very well for him finding his way into the end zone.

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