NFL Wild Card Round Player Prop Bets for Sunday’s Games: Picks Include Dak Prescott, Matthew Stafford, and Others

We have a three-game slate for Sunday's playoff games, and our betting experts give all of their best NFL Wild Card Round player prop bets.

With a two-game slate on Sunday, that means plenty of NFL player props are available for us to bet on.

If you’re looking for some extra action, check out the NFL Wild Card Round player prop bets for today’s games from our betting experts.

Player Prop Bets for the NFL Wild Card Round: Sunday Games

Aaron Jones Over 74.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at ESPN BET)

Rolfe: In the three weeks Aaron Jones has averaged just under 120 rushing yards per game, crossing the 100-yard mark on all three occasions.

In those three games, he has averaged 21 rushing attempts per game, crossing that 20-carry number in all three games.

As if that wasn’t enough, now he gets to face a defense allowing an average of just under 120 yards per game in the last four weeks to opposing running backs in the Dallas Cowboys. Jones should dominate the backfield for the Packers, and 74.5 feels way too low of a line right now.

Jayden Reed Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Katz: For the better part of the second half of the regular season, Jayden Reed has been the Green Bay Packers WR1. In his final three games of the season, Reed’s lowest receiving yardage total was 52.

The Dallas Cowboys have a great defense. But Jordan Love is going to be able to complete passes. Where the Cowboys struggle the most is defending the slot. Reed runs 68% of his routes from the slot.

With the Cowboys installed as touchdown favorites, we can reasonably project a negative game script for the Packers. 49 yards is a low bar for Reed to cross.

Dak Prescott Over 275.5 Passing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Blewis: As I mentioned earlier, the Cowboys’ offense has been a juggernaut at home, and Dak Prescott, in particular, has been impressive. In eight home games this season, they went 8-0 in, Prescott averaged 308.8 passing yards per game. Only three times he didn’t throw for at least 276 passing yards at home, and each of those three games was a blowout, with an average margin of victory of 25 points.

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Although they’re giving a touchdown against Green Bay, I don’t anticipate this being a lopsided game. I think this should be competitive enough to the point where the Cowboys are still looking to attack through the passing game in the fourth quarter.

Dak Prescott Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-120 at DraftKings)

Soppe: Prescott has been nothing short of astounding this season with his arm and that could well continue in this spot. The Packers’ defense ranks no outside of the top half of the league in …

  • Yards per pass
  • Yards per completion
  • Completion percentage
  • Percentage of yards gained through the air

Prescott could (and should) be just fine in this matchup, but I expect his success to come through the air, not on the ground. In Dallas’ past six wins, he’s picked up an average of 9.2 rushing yards per game and has thrown 17.3 passes for every rush attempt. In today’s NFL, many offenses are built around dual-threat quarterbacks – this isn’t one of them.

Green Bay has plenty of problems stopping the run (10th worst in yards per carry), a scab I expect Dallas to pick at with their traditional ground game. Betting props is about evaluating your number of outs, so it doesn’t hurt that we have the potential to get bailed out by the Cowboys going into victory formation late in this game!

Brandin Cooks Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Blewis: While CeeDee Lamb is the obvious choice of Cowboys wide receivers to have a big game, his receiving yards line is high, so I’m going to go in another direction.

Brandin Cooks has been a huge beneficiary of Dak Prescott’s success at home this season, and he has gone over this yardage total in all but one home game — a 38-3 blowout win over the New England Patriots.

As long as this game isn’t a blowout, which I don’t expect it to be, I’m expecting Cooks to get enough opportunity to record at least 40 receiving yards.

Jake Ferguson Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at DraftKings)

Soppe: Over Green Bay’s past five games, they held DJ Moore, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, Mike Evans, and Darius Slayton to a total of 288 receiving yards.

Over Green Bay’s past five games, secondary options in Cole Kmet, Jordan Addison, DJ Chark, Chris Godwin, and Wan’Dale Robinson have racked up 401 receiving yards.

That’s not to say that CeeDee Lamb is destined to get shut down with Jaire Alexander back in the Packers secondary. But it is to say that we could see usage spread a little thinner than normal from this Dallas pass game.

While Brandin Cooks has been scoring the touchdowns and earning fantasy football points, Jake Ferguson has seen at least six targets in six straight games and has proven himself as the secondary target earner in this efficient offense. Pair that with the fact that the teams facing the Packers have a below-average aDOT and the short pass game should be voluminous enough to cash Ferguson props.

Matthew Stafford Under 0.5 Interceptions (+100 at DraftKings)

Soppe: The Lions own the third-best per-carry run defense in the league and are the top pressure unit in the league. That profile, along with the ability of Los Angeles’ top two receivers to get open in a phone booth, makes me think that we could be looking at a lower-risk game plan for Stafford.

The veteran QB has played in three games against top 10 pressure defense this season and he has fired just one interception on 106 attempts in those games (0.9% of throws, against all other defenses: 2.4%).

There is no denying that Stafford is more comfortable indoors (68.1% complete over the past two seasons) than outdoors (61%), so while this is a road game, it’s far from an uncomfortable setting for the former Lion.

Kyren Williams Under 82.5 Rushing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Blewis: Kyren Williams had an incredible season, finishing with the third-most rushing yards in the NFL despite missing five games. But if there’s any strength of his Lions defense, they can stop the run.

During the regular season, the Lions were a top-five rushing defense by yards allowed and EPA/play. The key to attacking this Lions’ defense is through the air, which this could lead to a very pass-heavy script from Sean McVay and the Rams.

Puka Nacua Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at ESPN BET)

Rolfe: If we discount Week 18 where he was pulled early in the second half, Puka Nacua has topped 80 receiving yards in four of his last five games. This week is gets a Detroit Lions defense that is allowing an average of more than 250 receiving yards to wide receivers in the last four weeks.

I could easily make the case here for taking over on both Nacua and Cooper Kupp’s receiving totals this week. This game just screams shootout with a projected total of 51.5.

David Montgomery Longest Rush Under 13.5 Rushing Yards (-122 at FanDuel)

Katz: David Montgomery is a way better running back than I initially gave him credit for. But one thing he is not is explosive.

Montgomery is a power back. He can get you 4, 5, 6 yards, but he’s not the type to bust out a 15+ yard rush. In the regular season, just 3.7% of his carries went for 15+ yards.

While the Los Angeles Rams are not the best against the run, they are above average, allowing 4.1 yards per carry. More importantly, they’re a pass-funnel defense. This could be the type of game where the Lions are more apt to air it out and use Jahmyr Gibbs, limiting Montgomery’s short-yardage and more obvious run situations. He could still have a nice game without any long runs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125 at ESPN BET)

Blewis: Amon-Ra St. Brown is an obvious candidate to score a touchdown, so this is far from an under-the-radar pick, but the odds at ESPN BET are very appealing as is the current state of the Lions’ offense.

Even if Sam LaPorta is active, he can’t be expected to be playing at 100% after suffering a knee injury just last week, which could open up even more red-zone opportunities for Amon-Ra St. Brown.

During the regular season, 20 of Jared Goff’s 30 touchdown passes were thrown to St. Brown or LaPorta, and the two pass catchers combined for over 60% of the red zone target share. If LaPorta is out or not a focal point in the game plan due to his injury, St. Brown should see even more red zone looks than he did during the regular season.

Josh Reynolds Under 30.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Soppe: If we are to believe that this is an aggressive Detroit passing attack (in part because of how the Rams are approached by opponents and in part because 7% of Jared Goff passes at home since the beginning of last season have been touchdowns), let’s continue to fade the short pass game.

Donovan Peoples-Jones was acquired midseason and was a spectator for much of his debut in Week 11. From then on, Josh Reynolds’ role has changed in a significant way:

  • Reynolds aDOT, Weeks 1-11: 11.92
  • Reynolds aDOT, Weeks 12-18: 7.56

That’s a 36.4% dip in the depth of the target and a potentially damning trend in this specific spot. Through his first six games this season, Reynolds was good for 64 yards per game, notching a 20+ yard catch in each of those games.

Since? Since then, he is averaging 20.4 receiving yards per game and has a 20+ yard catch in two of 11 contests. If the big play role is out of his profile, only volume will beat us and that’s something I can live with from a player that hasn’t seen more than four targets in 12 of his past 13 games.

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