NFL Week 4 Underdog Pick’ems for Thursday Night Football Include Jared Goff and Luke Musgrave

Thursday Night Football is your first chance to get in on some Week 4 fantasy football action. Here are our top Underdog Pick'em plays for TNF.

Fantasy football is more than just the weekly head-to-head games we all love. On Underdog, fantasy managers can put their player-projection skills to the test by predicting player stat lines.

Here are my top Underdog plays for the Thursday Night Football Pick ’em contest between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers.

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Top Underdog Pick’ems for Thursday Night Football

Underdog Pick’ems allows fantasy managers to predict stat lines and fantasy-point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. You can make two picks that pay out 3x even money or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts.

The levels are 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, progressing with each additional pick ’em you add to your entry. Let’s take a look at this week’s Thursday night Underdog Pick’ems.

Jared Goff Lower Than 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

For 31 NFL teams, they start the same quarterback every week (in theory). The Lions have two: Home Jared Goff and Road Jared Goff. These are two entirely different quarterbacks that vastly differ in talent.

MORE: Week 4 Fantasy Start’ Em, Sit’ Em

Over his last 13 road starts, Goff has thrown multiple touchdowns just once. While the Packers haven’t exactly faced the most imposing opposing quarterbacks, they have yet to allow more than a single passing touchdown in a game. Let’s hope the trend continues on Thursday night.

Remaining Pick ’em Entries

Heading into Thursday Night Football, the Packers have Aaron Jones and Christian Watson questionable, while the Lions have David Montgomery questionable.

Due to the uncertain statuses of these three key players, Underdog can’t provide pick ’em options for any running backs in this game and has limited options for the Packers wide receivers.

Rather than force a suboptimal pick ’em into an entry based on availability, it’s important to wait until we know whether these players are playing. Once we do, which will occur no later than 6:45 p.m. ET, I will edit this article to include another pick ’em or two.

Be sure to check back tomorrow for the full Underdog pick ’em entry.

Thursday Afternoon Update

Luke Musgrave Higher Than 37.5 Receiving Yards

With Christian Watson returning tonight, Luke Musgrave now appears undervalued. He’s gone higher than this number in two of his first three games.

Last week, Musgrave ran a route on 95% of Jordan Love’s dropbacks. He is heavily involved in the offense, and has been open downfield for a long reception every game this season. Love just seems to miss him. I think they connect tonight against a Lions defense that has allowed a higher percentage of receiving yards to tight ends (34.8%) than any other team in the league.

Aaron Jones Higher Than 16.5 Receiving Yards

Given that this is Aaron Jones’ first game back from his hamstring, I do think the Packers will take it easy on him. The best way to do that is by limiting his carries. He can protect himself much easier as a receiver.

Jones caught two passes for 86 yards in the opener. He is efficient after the catch, and can get above this number on just a single reception. He should see 3-4 targets tonight, minimum. That gives us a great chance at hitting here.

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