After another successful week on the NFL prop bet market in Week 3 (+8.93), our team is back with their Week 4 selections. Each week, our NFL betting team will be providing you with our favorite prop bets of the week to help win you some cash. This article will take you from Thursday Night Football through to Monday Night Football, as we continuously update our selections as more lines become available.
Week 4 starts Thursday night with an intriguing matchup between two 0-3 teams as the Denver Broncos and New York Jets face off in New Jersey. The week ends with the Atlanta Falcons looking to change the narrative on their season as they take on the Aaron Rodgers-led Packers, who enter Week 4 at 3-0. Let’s dive into some of our favorite prop bets for Week 4!
Baltimore Ravens at Washington Football Team | Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM
3u – Baltimore first half -7.5 @ -105
Until Washington beats me on one of these first half bets I am going to keep rolling by betting against on the first half line. The number is big but a wounded and probably angry Ravens will see a Washington defense that can’t do much well except rush the quarterback. But they won’t have Chase Young or Matt Ioannidis. And Washington might not have their best weapon in Terry McLaurin either. Baltimore will bounce back and could probably name the score.
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Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys | Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM
1u – Odell Beckham 2+ TDs @ +600
Odell Beckham Jr. loves playing the Cowboys and he’s played against much better secondaries than this. This game will be a shootout and Beckham’s exploded at the AT&T Stadium before.
1u – Michael Gallup over 4.5 receptions @ +133
Gallup and Dak Prescott got on the same page last week as the third-year receiver pulled in six of his nine targets for 138 yards and a touchdown. Gallup finished 2019 strongly, pulling in five or more receptions in three of his last four games. I expect this game to be dominated by the passing game for the Cowboys, and Gallup should see his fair share this week.
Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins | Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM
1u – Ryan Fitzpatrick over 280.5 passing yards @ -110
Here are the passing totals for teams playing the Seahawks this season; 434, 397, 461. The Seahawks offense has been rolling, forcing teams to throw plenty while their secondary has been a mess. Fitzpatrick should be able to take advantage this week. Look for big games for his receivers this week as the Dolphins attempt to keep up with Russell Wilson and the Seahawks.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals | Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM
1u – Gardner Minshew over 267.5 passing yards @ -110
Minshew has been throwing the ball all over the field this season. In the last two games, he has totaled 614 passing yards and he is getting his number one receiver D.J. Chark back this week. This game between the Bengals and Jaguars has the potential to be extremely high scoring, with neither having the defense to dominate the other. Look for Minshew to throw it plenty this week.
1u – James Robinson over 16.5 receiving yards @ -110
Here are Robinson’s numbers in the passing game this season; 11 targets, 10 receptions, and 129 yards. In all three games this season he has gone over 16.5 receiving yards and even with Chark back this week, he should be a key part of the Jaguars offense.
1u – Keelan Cole over 3.5 receptions @ +115
Another player who has been a key part of the Jaguars offense this year has been Cole. In all three games this year he has seen five or more targets and, more importantly, had four or more receptions. I do not think the Jaguars can dominate this game on the ground so look for them to lean on the likes of Cole, Chark, and Robinson through the air.
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams | Sunday, October 4, 4:05 PM
1u – Daniel Jones over 18.5 rushing yards @ -110
A common theme this season has been Daniel Jones running for his life and with Aaron Donald heading his way this weekend, that does not look like changing. Jones has carried the ball for at least 20 yards in all three games this season, and without Saquon Barkley to spark this offense, Jones’ legs become a crucial part of them staying alive in games.
Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears | Sunday, October 4, 4:15 PM
1u – Anthony Miller over 2.5 receptions @ +118
It has not been a pretty start to the 2020 season for Miller, but with Mitchell Trubisky under center that is hardly a surprise to hear. The Bears like what Miller can do in the open field enough to have made him their punt returner, so look for them to find ways to get the ball to a player capable of making impressive plays. At plus odds, this was too good to pass up.
Denver Broncos at New York Jets | Thursday, October 1st, 8:20 pm
1u – Noah Fant over 4.5 receptions @ +125
Entering Week 4, Noah Fant and Jerry Jeudy are the main pieces of this Broncos offense. Through the first three games, Fant has been targeted 21 times and has pulled in 14 receptions. In two separate games, he has pulled in five receptions, and last week was targeted a massive 10 times.
While QB Brett Rypien and Fant did not connect on any passes when Rypien entered the game, they have had the chance to get on the same page this week. Fant is one of the two biggest weapons in this Broncos passing attack, so look for Rypien to get him involved often.
The odds on this prop bet just seem wrong as we open up Week 4, given that Fant is averaging 4.66 receptions per game. Other than the disconnect between Fant and Rypien in that one drive last week, there is no reason to think Fant should not be a massive part of the Broncos passing game this week. Both he and Jeudy should combine for around 20 targets, given the lack of talent around them in the offense. However, the odds for Jeudy are less favorable at around -120.
1u – 6 point teaser: Denver Broncos +8 & Under 47 total points @ -120
This game opened with the Broncos as favorites and has slowly shifted towards the Jets being favorite. Rypien is not really a downgrade on Jeff Driskel, so this shift is unfair. Also, for the holes that the Broncos defense had, they held a solid Tennessee Titans team to just 16 points in Week 1.
I expect this game to be a messy, run-heavy, defense-dominated game. It would be stunning if these two teams combined for more than 47 points, and arguably the biggest transformation in fortunes of any team ever if the Jets were able to win by more than eight points.