The NFL fantasy football weather forecast for Week 12 is almost a direct copy of last week’s forecast. The Eastern part of the country will see colder temps and moderately concerning winds. However, we also are looking at some potentially significant rainfall amounts for Sunday’s games as well. The timing of the rain will be highly significant and something I will be keeping a close eye on come Sunday morning and updating as needed.
Before we break down the Week 12 weather forecast, here’s a reminder that if you have any questions regarding fantasy football, check out our recent articles from our talented staff here at PFN. We have you covered from PPR & Standard rankings, notable additions including an in-house mock draft, start/sit recommendations, podcasts, and much more to help you make the most of this fantasy season.
Note: All times are Eastern Standard.
Game Impacting Weather Forecast
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots -6 (4:25 PM) – 45 o/u
In what was already a problematic matchup for Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys, the weather looks to make it even harder. The forecast right now isn’t looking great and needs to be monitored closely. Rainfall seems to come in earlier in the day and stick around through game time. Being a 4:25 kickoff, I am more worried about the start of this game, as that is when we are likeliest to see the most substantial rain over the day.
Upwards of an inch of rain is expected to fall on Sunday, making the timing of it very relevant if you are starting anyone on your fantasy teams in this game. I will say the wind on its own (10-15mph) isn’t extraordinarily noteworthy, but with the given rain mentioned earlier, it will make conditions worse. As for fantasy, it’s crunch time, and you need to start your studs, but know that this could be a game where they don’t live up to season-long averages. Players like Ezekiel Elliott and Sony Michel could see a high volume workload to mitigate the risk of throwing in adverse conditions.
Chance of Rain
Oakland Raiders -3 at New York Jets (1:00 PM) – 46.5 o/u
The forecast here is relatively similar to what was mentioned earlier for New England, with the main difference being the rain. While we will see some, the total rainfall won’t be as significant. There is also a chance that it can move on before kickoff. I think that we will see some lingering rain throughout the first half, but I don’t see it affecting the game overall. Wind speeds of 10-15mph on their own are below the threshold where we see any noticeable impact, but when added to the rain can make for tricky conditions. I don’t see anything here as “fade-worthy” from a fantasy perspective and would start the usual suspects.
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles -1 (1:00 PM) – 47.5 o/u
Another game all about timing. The Week 12 forecast right now shows this moving off and out of the area before kickoff and clearing up as the game progresses. If any rain showers do occur, I don’t see them being an issue and would be relatively short. We see the same repeating wind forecast of 10-15mph as well as we have for all the previously mentioned games. So long as the rain is gone before the kickoff, the 47-degree temperatures won’t be too bad as both teams are accustomed to playing in colder conditions anyway.
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills -3.5 (1:00 PM) – 37.5 o/u
Likely the windiest game of the day, Buffalo is looking to see sustained winds of 15-20mph and gusts up to 25mph. At these levels, we see a statistical drop in deep pass completion percentage as well as kicking numbers (not that those needed any help). For a player like John Brown, this drops his projections a bit as he has thrived on deep passes and is second in the NFL in air yards, behind only Mike Evans. Don’t get me wrong; you’re still starting him. The 41-degree temperatures will be pushed down well into the 30s or high 20s because of the winds, making this a chilly game for everyone involved.
New York Giants at Chicago Bears -6 (1:00 PM) – 40 o/u
Will this finally be the week that Saquon Barkley gets it going? After the loss of Akiem Hicks, the Chicago Bears run defense hasn’t been the same as this makes for a sneaky upside matchup for Barkley. I have more faith in him rushing for over 100-yards than I do for Mitch Trubisky to finish this game. The 49-degree temperatures, mostly sunny skies, and 10mph winds won’t be an issue.
Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 at Cincinnati Bengals (1:00 PM) – 38 o/u
The Pittsburgh Steelers roster this week looks closer to a Week 2 preseason starting lineup than it does a Week 12 roster. Both JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Conner are out for this game, and Diontae Johnson was just cleared off concussion protocol. Both offenses will have to go through their running backs as both Jaylen Samuels and Joe Mixon look to get sizeable workloads this week, with Samuels getting the better matchup against a weak rush defense. The injuries are likely to play a role, but the 48-degree temperatures, partly cloudy skies, and 7mph winds won’t be a factor in this Week 12 divisional matchup.
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns -10.5 (1:00 PM) – 46 o/u
If there was ever a week where the Cleveland Browns could get their passing game right, it’s Week 12 against the Miami Dolphins. Both Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry get great WR/CB matchups and look ready to take a positive step forward in the hopes of moving past the headlines from last week’s game. With games still to come against the Cincinnati Bengals and Arizona Cardinals, it’s now or never for this offense. The 44-degree temperatures, partly cloudy skies, and 9mph winds won’t have any impact on the game.
Detroit Lions -3.5 at Washington Redskins (1:00 PM) – 40 u/u
Looking at this game, I have a hard time recommending starting anyone in this matchup. Yes, Bo Scarbrough was a favorite waiver wire add for fantasy this week, but can you really trust him if you need a win? Can you trust Terry McLaurin with Dwayne Haskins under center? Personally, I am fading this game other than the Detroit Lions’ passing game. The 53-degree temperatures, cloudy skies, and 13mph winds aren’t going to impact this game.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans -3.5 (4:05 PM) – 41.5 o/u
After making his return last week, Nick Foles looks to continue his impressive performance against the Tennessee Titans in Week 12. One of the concerns going into last week was if the chemistry between him and DJ Chark would be there. After an 8 catch, 104 yards, and 2 touchdown performance, I’d say it’s there. I am nervous about starting Chark this week, however, as he has been nursing a tweaked hamstring and runs the risk of injuring it Sunday. Other than that, the 54-degree temperatures, sunny skies, and 5mph winds mean the weather won’t be an issue.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers -3 (8:20 PM) – 48 o/u
While I’m not watching the weather here, I am going to be watching the injury report for the San Francisco 49ers. It looks like George Kittle will play; however, both Emmanuel Sanders and Matt Breida are questionable to see the field in Week 12. If they miss, both Deebo Samuel and Raheem Mostert get boosted value heading in the game. As for the weather, the 53-degree temperatures, cloudy skies, and 6mph winds won’t impact the game.
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 at Los Angeles Rams (Monday 8:15) – 46.5 o/u
Can anyone stop the Baltimore Ravens and MVP frontrunner, Lamar Jackson? At some point, yes, but I don’t see it happening this week as Jackson is my number one ranked QB this week, which shouldn’t be a surprise given his dynamic play over the year. It’s LA, so you already know that the 68-degree temperatures, partly cloudy skies, and 3mph wind won’t be a concern for the game or fantasy players in Week 12.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons -4 (1:00 PM) – 52 o/u
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints -10 (1:00 PM) – 46 o/u
Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings, Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Chargers
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Tommy Garrett is a writer for PFN covering Fantasy Football. You can follow him at @TommygarrettPFN on Twitter.