After a surprisingly close game last Thursday night in the NFC West, the NFL has thrown up another West Coast divisional matchup for Week 10. The Los Angeles Chargers and the Oakland Raiders are both at a crucial point in their season. The Raiders are currently 4-4 with the Chargers at 4-5, and a loss here would put the playoffs in serious jeopardy for either team. With all of the rumors surrounding the Chargers and a potential move to London, can Philip Rivers and the team cut out the background noise and back up their Week 9 victory against the Green Bay Packers? Or will it be the Raiders, powered by their star rookie running back Josh Jacobs who manage to stay on the heels of the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West race? Let’s take a look at the PFN picks teams’ thoughts for this Thursday Night Football clash in Week 10 of the NFL.
Location: RingCentral Coliseum
Time: 8:30 pm EST
Spread: Chargers -1
This game has not moved much since it opened, with the Chargers remaining one-point favorites, despite the majority of the money having been placed on the Chargers so far. That is in contrast to the total which has risen 1.5 points since Sunday and now sits at a reasonably high 49. It will be interesting to see whether the line shifts any closer to 50, given that divisional matchups can often be low scoring.
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This game has shootout written all over it for me. That is despite the general stinginess of the Chargers defense. The Oakland offense looks good, and their defensive is appropriately bad. The Chargers offense also looked reinvigorated under new play-calling and leadership. I can see a repeat of the Raiders-Lions game, where seven touchdowns were scored in an action-packed game. Both Raiders quarterback Derek Carr and Chargers signal-caller Philip Rivers are more than capable of slinging it when the situation is right.
1u – Over 5.5 Total Touchdowns | -120
Each week I am going to try and pick some longer odds touchdown scorers for games where I can see many points being scored. On Thursday Night Football in Week 10 of the NFL, there are two plays that I like, both on the side of the Oakland Raiders. Hunter Renfrow has 11 targets, and 10 catches the last two weeks, also scoring two touchdowns. Renfrow saw two targets in the red zone last week, and his success, catching both, should mean we see more of him this week.
In a similar vein, Zay Jones had two red-zone targets last week. In total, his targets double to four in his second week in the Raiders offense. Last season, Jones caught seven touchdowns for the Bills and had 47% of their red-zone targets. To put that in context, Jones had 16 red-zone targets last year, and no one else in the team had more than four! He should be a regular target near the end zone for the Raiders and could get his first touchdown for his new team this week.
0.25u – Hunter Renfrow Anytime Touchdown | +333
0.25u – Zay Jones Anytime Touchdown | +350
If you read the Monday Night article earlier this week, you already know I teased the Chargers with the Dallas Cowboys this week. Los Angeles is coming off consecutive wins over NFC North opponents after being left for dead immediately following the goal line debacle against the Titans three weeks ago. The Raiders, meanwhile, continue to surprise, specifically on the offensive side of the football where Derrick Carr has thrived since Oakland added rookie sensation Josh Jacobs to the mix. I expect a close game in this one, but the Chargers are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 Thursday Night Football appearances. They have also won four straight against the Raiders, including two in the Black Hole. I lean Chargers at -1 and love them getting a touchdown if you can swing it in a teaser.
According to Sharp Football Stats, the Raiders are 32nd in explosive passing defense and 29th in overall passing success rate. Their run defense is middle of the road in rush success rate, so it makes sense for the Chargers to attack them through the air. OddscheckerUS has Hunter Henry to score at (+225), which is what I will put down as an official play this week. However, I also have a strong lean towards Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler to score. Williams at (+175) is my second favorite after Henry. I would also be on the lookout for Philip Rivers passing touchdowns prop, which currently sits around -150 for over 1.5.
0.5u – Hunter Henry anytime scorer | +225
2u – Philip Rivers over 1.5 passing TD’s | -150
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