The first week of the NFL season is in the books, and I don’t know about you, but I was happy to be watching football again. Few things have felt normal in 2020. Sunday was one of the first times where it finally did give a sense of normalcy. While I’d love to sit here and reminisce on what all we saw, we need to get going and breakdown the Week 2 NFL weather forecast and see if any of our fantasy football matchups will be impacted.
As we get further and further into the season, the weather will become more and more volatile. While these first weeks could seem boring, be thankful, it won’t stay like this for long.
Note: All times are Eastern Standard time, and forecasts will be updated if any changes happen from the time of writing this up to kickoff. All betting lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Chance of Rain and Windy Conditions
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9 (1:00 PM) – 47.5 o/u
While I don’t expect the weather to impact this matchup, it is worth mentioning as Florida weather tends to do crazy things this time of year. As temperatures rise to roughly 94 degrees, so does the winds and the chance for afternoon showers. Wind speeds are currently forecasted to clock in around 14 to 17 mph with gusts north of 20 mph. We see our highest chance of rain around kickoff at 60%, which will drop to 40% as the game progresses. As with most games in Florida, the possibility of a pop-up shower is persistent, but the wind to me is the larger factor, as that is a constant.
If a gust were to hit at the right time while the ball is in the air, it can have an enormous impact on its trajectory and cause passes to both sail and get knocked down with missed field goals at longer ranges.
The first two people I think of the weather having a potential fantasy impact on are both Teddy Bridgewater and Tom Brady. However, neither are the type who take massive shots downfield, which helps to negate the effect the wind could have. In Week 1, Bridgewater attempted only four passes beyond 20 yards, with Brady trying only three. Although Bridgewater completed just one of these passes, it was for a 75-yard touchdown to Robby Anderson. It will not surprise me at all to see a similar approach taken by both teams.
The downside for Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is that he will likely be missing Chris Godwin, who remains in the NFL’s concussion protocol. Mike Evans will have to carry the majority of the load that is missed due to Godwin’s absence. The sneaky fantasy play is to pick up and start WR Scotty Miller. Miller saw six targets, catching five for 73 yards in Week 1, and he should see more looks in Week 2. Currently, he is available in nearly 85% of fantasy leagues.
Chance of Rain
Buffalo Bills -5.5 at Miami Dolphins (1:00 PM) – 41 o/u
Another Florida game with a similar weather forecast as we just went over above. I expect to see temperatures to reach 87 degrees with mostly sunny skies for the 1:00 PM kickoff. Right around this time, we see our highest chance of rain at 60%, which will slowly taper off as we get further into the game. Although we should expect winds to be lower than what we see in Miami at just 7 to 10 mph.
The Week 2 matchup between the Bills and Dolphins is the lowest implied total of the week, and I can understand why. The Dolphins were only able to score a single touchdown in Week 1 against a New England Patriots team who had eight defensive players opt-out. While playing from behind the entire game, Ryan Fitzpatrick struggled when being relied upon to get them back in striking distance. Three interceptions on his 30 attempts all but killed any momentum they were able to build.
Another issue facing the Dolphins this week is with wide receiver DeVante Parker who has missed both days of practice after tweaking his hamstring in their last game. If Miami gets behind early, again, fantasy managers need to be hoping for Fitzmagic to show up in garbage time to salvage the day for players like Preston Williams and Mike Gesicki. That won’t be an easy task against a solid Buffalo Bills defense.
I fully expect to see a similar performance from the Bills in Week 2 against the Dolphins defense that allowed 217 rushing yards last week. The Bills want to use the rushing trio of Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, and Josh Allen, to establish the run early. All three players should be started, with Allen being a fantasy must-start in Week 2. Last week’s 312 passing yards were the highest total of his career, and he should have similar success against the Dolphins’ secondary.
New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks -4 (8:20 PM Sunday) – 45 o/u
Typically when I mention Seattle weather, it is for some drizzly rain with a cold wind; however, this is a different situation. Fires continue to ravage the Pacific Northwest causing widespread issues even when not directly faced with the threat of flames. The air quality is the biggest concern and something we have already seen impact the MLB as it forced the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners to move their games after players complained of being unable to catch their breath.
The alert is set to expire midday on Saturday, but this doesn’t mean that we can’t see it extended into Sunday or that it will be perfectly fine for what is a very intriguing matchup. Outside of the air, the weather forecast for their Week 2 game is as good as could be hoped for with 64-degree temperatures, partly cloudy skies, and three mph winds.
I can’t wait to see this matchup personally, both as a fan of the NFL and for fantasy purposes. Will New England be able to rush the ball with Cam Newton the way they did in Week 1? I have my doubts as I expect Seahawks Safety Jamal Adams to live in the box and make life difficult for Newton. Also, Bobby Wagner has the speed to chase Newton down before he can turn the corner. I don’t believe he will be as successful this week due to the better defense he is facing.
Worry-Free Weather Forecast
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans -8 (1:00 PM) 44 o/u
Is MinshewMania actually happening? It sure seems like someone forgot to tell Gardner Minshew that they were supposed to be tanking for Trevor Lawrence. I don’t expect the Minshew to put up QB1 numbers in Week 1, but there is definite streaming promise in a good matchup.
As for The Titans, WR A.J. Brown has been ruled out for Sunday’s Week 2 matchup. If there was ever a time for Corey Davis to breakout and be a viable starter, this is the week. While Brown missed time, Davis led the team in targets with eight, catching seven passes for 101 yards. The other player who stands to benefit is my breakout player of the year, TE Jonnu Smith. Smith flashed his incredible athleticism on his way to a TE8 finish with 13.6 PPR points.
As for the Week 2 weather forecast, it’s going to be a beautiful day. Temperatures around 77 degrees, mostly sunny skies, and five mph winds won’t have any impact on your fantasy players.
Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers -7 (1:00 PM) – 40.5 u/o
Well, it didn’t take long for James Conner to give us his first questionable designation after injuring his ankle that caused him to miss the second half of last week’s game. On the bright side, Conner had no designation on Friday, meaning he is good to go for their game against the Denver Broncos. Trusting him enough to start for your fantasy team is a different problem. Also, on the injury front, WR Courtland Sutton is a game-time decision while Phillip Lindsay appears less likely to suit up. Remember, this is a 1:00 PM game so have a pivot ready just in case.
Expect perfect fall Pittsburgh weather for this Week 2 matchup with 67-degree temperatures, sunny skies, and five mph winds.
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles -1 (1:00 PM) – 45.5 o/u
After a surprising loss to the Washington Football Team, the Eagles need to get back on track, and it starts with getting healthy. Reports are that Lane Johnson will be back for Week 2, which could not come at a better time after the team gave up eight sacks in Week 1. Carson Wentz appears to be getting another weapon back as well, with Miles Sanders on pace to return from the hamstring injury that kept him out of their last game. All of this is a welcome sign for fantasy players as the Eagles are a team loaded with fantasy relevant players that we need to produce given how much we rely on them week to week.
The weather forecast is in our favor for this Week 2 game as we will see sunny skies, 65-degree temperatures, and four mph winds.
San Francisco 49ers -7 at New York Jets (1:00 PM) – 41.5 o/u
If there is one team this week that I want to avoid every single player on for fantasy, it is the New York Jets. Not only do they have significant issues on their side, but they also are getting a San Francisco 49ers team that is mad and looking to take it out on someone.
As for the 49ers, they are banged up themselves. George Kittle has already been ruled out for this game. Personally, I think it’s the right decision by the team. While it’s possible that Kittle could give it a go on Sunday, it’s best long-term to simply let him rehab for the week. If I have Kittle on my roster, I would almost prefer this decision by the 49ers. Yes, it hurts you in your Week 2 fantasy matchup, but you can still have 14 more weeks of him rather than risk something happening and losing him for a more extended period.
Looking at the Week 2 NFL weather forecast for this game, there will be no issues. Sunny skies with relatively no winds accompany 65-degree temperatures.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers-6.5 (1:00 PM) – 49.5 o/u
Remember when we were wondering if all Aaron Rodgers was going to do was throw to Davante Adams? The answer is a resounding yes, apparently. Adams was peppered with 17 targets in Week 1, catching 14 for 156 yards and a touchdown.
I have a hard time seeing Adams not be the WR1 every single week in my rankings. Also, the WR2 in Green Bay seems to be a committee approach, but fantasy viable. Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling combined for eight catches on ten targets for 159 yards and two touchdowns. Both players are low-end flex plays, but if one were to miss a game, they vault into low-end WR3 territory.
We have nothing to be worried about with the weather forecast. Expect 67-degree temperatures, sunny skies, with relatively no wind.
New York Giants at Chicago Bears -5.5 (1:00 PM) – 42 o/u
Mitch Trubisky is 1-0 to start his 2020 season. I still can’t believe I just wrote that. However, let’s not act like this was a cakewalk. The Bears trailed the Lions 23-6 entering the 4th quarter before Trubisky threw three touchdowns to take the lead. They would have lost the game if D’Andre Swift hadn’t dropped a wide-open touchdown with seconds left on the clock. How long will the leash be? I have no idea, but if they keep winning, it is his job to lose.
As for the weather forecast for this Week 2 matchup, we have perfect weather in the Windy City. The 68-degree temperatures, sunny skies, and no wind make for a perfect fall afternoon.
Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts -3 (1:00 PM) – 48.5 o/u
Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys -5 (1:00 PM) – 53.5 o/u
Washington Football Team at Arizona Cardinals -7 (4:05 PM) – 46.5 o/u
Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 at Los Angeles Chargers (4:25 PM) – 47.5 o/u
Baltimore Ravens -7 at Houston Texans (4:25 PM) – 50 o/u
New Orleans Saints -5.5 at Las Vegas Raiders (8:15 Monday) – 49.5 o/u
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