The NFL weather forecast and reports for Week 8 will be the first where we see wide-spread effects from heavy wind and rain, causing some tough fantasy football decisions to be made. It was only a matter of time until this happened, and we had gotten fairly lucky up to this point, but that all changes Sunday. As we get into this slate, you will see a common theme of wind playing a large factor in the Week 8 games.
As a general rule of thumb, the wind is a relative non-issue until we cross the 15 mph threshold. Beyond that, the wind starts to impact deeper passes and especially the kicking game. Once we get above 25 mph, we see real havoc begin to happen, and we have to downgrade the passing game while giving a boost to running backs and defenses.
As always, good luck. Stay safe. Let’s win the week.
Note: All times are Eastern Standard Time, and the NFL Week 8 weather report will be updated if any changes happen from the time of writing this up to kickoff. All betting lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
NFL Weather Forecast and Report, Week 8 | Strong winds impact the fantasy slate
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens -4 (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 46.5 o/u
The game of the week. The only remaining undefeated team takes on their divisional rivals in what could be a preview of the AFC championship. Unfortunately, this game won’t be spared from the wind and weather of Week 8. Charm City is also in line for wind and rain as well.
Starting around noon, things begin to ramp up, and we expect the rain to begin. Between one to two-tenths inches of rain is expected throughout the game, but it won’t fall straight down. Constant wind speeds will remain between 10 to 15 mph, with gusts above 20 mph throughout the game. At least we will see decent temperatures as they should hover around 57-degrees. In terms of the NFL weather forecast for Week 8, this will be a common theme.
For two teams who possess stifling defenses, this will play directly into their strengths. Throw in an ability to run the ball, and this could quickly become a war of attrition and who can win the time of possession battle. I would downgrade the Ravens pass catchers outside of Mark Andrews. Diontae Johnson is the only must-start receiver for the Steelers.
Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns -2.5 (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 49.5 o/u
Cold temperatures, high winds, and rain will make for another brutal NFL weather forecast for Week 8. The trifecta of a nasty weather forecast is expected to hit Cleveland. 39-degree temperatures will feel much colder thanks to the 25 to 30 mph sustained winds that will gust close to 40 mph on Sunday. We should end up seeing rain during the majority of the game, totaling around a tenth of an inch.
Cleveland sits right in the middle of this weather system and will be in it from start to finish. I am concerned about the passing games for both of these teams. While I am not going to bench players like Jarvis Landry or Henry Ruggs, I am lowering my expectations. I would expect both team’s tight ends to be their focus in the passing game, leaving Darren Waller to be my favorite target in this game. Also, Kareem Hunt comes in as a top-three option this week due to his versatility and the Raiders’ inability to stop the run.
Tennessee Titans -6.5 at Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 50.5 o/u
While in the same state, the weather forecast is a bit better than what we see for Cleveland, but not by a lot. Temperatures will be in the lower 40s, but the wind should be a bit less for the Cincinnati-area. Sustained winds will be around 15 to 20 mph. Gusts will reach as high as 35 mph during the game. The main difference in this forecast is the lack of rain. Outside of a potential quick drizzle, the current estimates call for a very low chance of precipitation.
I wouldn’t overthink this matchup in terms of your fantasy players for Week 8. The Titans run the ball 46% of the time, and Derrick Henry has totaled at least 19 carries in every game this year. In a game where I expect Tennessee to focus on the run, Henry is locked in as a top-five running back this week.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers -6 (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 50 o/u
We continue the theme of the week as we look at the weather for Green Bay. While the thermostat may read 36-degrees, it will feel closer to the mid to low 20s due to the wind chill. Sustained winds will be whipping at Lambeau Field. Expect sustained winds at kickoff around 25 to 30 mph with gusting close to 40 mph during the game. We could see the winds temper down a bit in the second half, but the improvement will be marginal.
The running backs will be the story of this game. Aaron Jones has been ruled out for another week, leaving Jamaal Williams to carry the load. He will be a low-end RB1 for Week 8. Vikings RB Dalvin Cook came into the game nursing a groin injury but was removed from the injury report on Friday.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills -4.5 (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 40.5 o/u
The Northeast is not immune from this weather front as Buffalo lives up to its reputation as one of the NFL’s windiest cities once again in the Week 8 weather forecast. Temperatures will hover around 45-degrees, but after that, things get worse. During the game, expect winds around 20 to 25 mph and gusts to be approximately 35 to 40 mph. Also, rain is going to be involved in Orchard Park. Starting at kickoff, expect rain to fall for most of the game with expected totals of one to two-tenths of an inch.
The Patriots are missing several critical players in this game, including N’Keal Harry, Julian Edelman, and Stephon Gilmore. Cam Newtown has been playing poorly, and they are facing the best team in the division in sub-optimal conditions. I would avoid every Patriots player this week if I could.
New Orleans Saints -4 at Chicago Bears (Sunday 4:25 PM) – 43 o/u
I feel like I could copy and paste at this point, as this game is identical to others we have mentioned. High temperatures will be around 40-degrees, 20 to 25 mph winds, and gusts out to 40 mph. Outside of Alvin Kamara and maybe Jared Cook, I am avoiding the rest of the Saints offense. Michael Thomas has been ruled out, and it is clear that Drew Brees is not the QB he used to be. He is a mid-QB2 in Week 8, regardless of the weather forecast.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -12.5 at New York Giants (Monday 8:15 PM) – 45 o/u
Oh, you thought because this game was on Monday that it would be safe? Nope, not even close. Temperatures will be in the low 40s, and winds will be 14 to 18mph with gusts up to 30mph. It’s not as bad as we have seen, and there is extra time for this to change. Even if it does, it won’t help the Giants. I am downgrading most players in this matchup. Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton are WR4s where Daniel Jones is on the low-end of the QB2 range.
NFL Weather Report, Week 8 | Worry-free NFL weather
Los Angeles Rams -4.5 at Miami Dolphins (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 45.5 o/u
I get it Miami, Tua Tagovailoa is starting – you can stop telling all of us. Are we really confident starting someone in fantasy who has Aaron Donald breathing down his neck and is throwing against Jalen Ramsey? Not saying I think he will fail, but we need to collectively temper those expectations. As for the NFL Week 8 weather report, look for 85-degree temperatures, clear skies, and five mph winds.
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs -19.5 (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 49 o/u
I don’t know if I have ever seen a spread this large in the NFL. Being a professional football team and nearly three-touchdown underdogs is honestly impressive, and I won’t even be surprised if the Chiefs cover. When looking at the forecast, expect 50-degree temperatures, sunny skies, and 10 mph winds.
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 at Denver Broncos (Sunday 4:05 PM) – 44 o/u
Justin Herbert has finished as the QB7, QB4, and QB1 over his last three games, throwing for over 900 yards, rushing for 121 yards with 11 total touchdowns. You rarely call a rookie QB a must-start, but that is where Herbert now is in fantasy. Look for 64-degree temperatures, sunny skies, and five mph winds in the Mile High area.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks -3 (Sunday 4:25 PM) – 53 o/u
Does anyone know who is going to be running the ball for these teams? Chris Carson is questionable, Carlos Hyde is doubtful, and Travis Homer is a game-time decision. Tevin Coleman is back from the IR, but how much of a leash are they willing to give him? Jerick McKinnon has “tired legs,” and the only healthy running backs on either team are a rookie from Miami (DeeJay Dallas) and a UDFA from Baylor. I am staying away from this, if at all possible. It seems like whoever you choose is destined to be a trap play in fantasy.
As for the NFL weather report for Week 8, sunny skies, 58-degree temperatures, and five mph winds won’t have any impact on your fantasy rosters.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 (Sunday 8:20 PM) – 42.5
So let me get this straight – in a game where the Cowboys are facing a team with a 2-4-1 record, they are looking at an implied line of just 19 points. Wow, things are not good in Jerry’s World. At least for the Eagles, they get a bit healthier as WR Jalen Reagor and TE Dallas Goedert make their returns from the IR.
I would give caution before throwing Goedert back into the TE1 category this week. The Eagles have a bye next week, and it would make sense to have him on a snap count and get him a few reps. Richard Rodgers showed he could fill the role for at least one more week.
As for the weather, look for 47-degree temperatures, overcast skies, and light winds for Sunday Night Football as the weather we see earlier in the day will have moved out of the area.
NFL Weather Report Week 8 | Indoor Games
- Indianapolis Colts -3 at Detroit Lions (Sunday 1:00 PM) – 49.5 o/u
Teams on a Bye in Week 8
- Washington Football Team
- Arizona Cardinals
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Houston Texans
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