49ers vs. Eagles Underdog Pick’ems: Miles Sanders and A.J. Brown Are Top Plays for the NFC Championship

The NFC Championship features the 49ers vs. the Eagles on Sunday afternoon. Here are our top Underdog Pick'em plays between the two teams.

Fantasy football is more than just the weekly head-to-head games we’ve all grown to love. On Underdog Fantasy, managers can put their player-projection skills to the test by predicting player stats. Here are my top Underdog Pick’em plays for the San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFC Championship pick’em contest.

Top Underdog Pick’ems for 49ers vs. Eagles

Underdog Pick’ems allows fantasy managers to predict stats and fantasy-point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. You can make two picks that pay out 3x your entry fee or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts.

The levels are 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, progressing with each additional pick’em you add to your entry. Let’s take a look at this week’s Underdog Pick’ems.

Brock Purdy Lower Than 19.5 Completions

Brock Purdy replaced Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 13. In that game, he completed 25 of 37 passes. But since then, he’s completed more than 19 passes just once. While Purdy has obviously exceeded all expectations, it’s not as if he’s lighting the world on fire. He’s still largely a game manager.

The Eagles are more of a run-funnel defense. That’s perfect for the 49ers, who possess not only one of the best running schemes in the NFL but arguably the best running back in the NFL. As a result, look for them to keep it on the ground as much as possible. If the Eagles let them, which I think they will, that will limit how much Purdy has to throw.

MORE: Brock Purdy Will Have To Find Balance To Beat the Eagles in the Playoffs

Additionally, I think this is going to be a lower-scoring game. Both of these offenses clearly have the firepower to shoot out, but we just saw the 49ers play a 19-12 slog against the Cowboys; 20-17 sounds like what we’re getting this week.

That means more running, less passing, and Purdy falling short of 20 completions.

Miles Sanders Lower Than 52.5 Rushing Yards

It’s been quite the season for Miles Sanders. He’s averaged 4.9 yards per carry, running very efficiently. This projection is a number he’s exceeded in all but five games this season, including the playoffs. Yet, it remains this low.

The 49ers allowed 3.3 ypc and 61.6 rushing yards per game this season. Both marks were tops in the league. If Sanders is getting to 53 rushing yards, he’ll need to do it on volume, and that seems unlikely.

Over their past three games, Philadelphia has been using Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott much more. Sanders has played exactly 40% of the offensive snaps in each of those three games. This is a full-blown committee.

Additionally, each of those three games has seen a different game script. We saw a blowout win, a two-score loss, and a single-score win. Regardless, Sanders ceded 60% of the snaps to Gainwell and Scott.

Head coach Nick Sirianni is too smart to slam Sanders into San Francisco’s defensive line over and over again. I’m expecting a pass-heavy game plan, making it exceedingly difficult for Sanders to see anywhere near enough to work to get to 53 rushing yards.

A.J. Brown Higher Than 5 Receptions

One of the most important aspects of my process is projecting game flow. We’ve already established how I think the Eagles will go pass-heavy. That means more targets for the wide receivers.

More recently, that’s meant DeVonta Smith and not A.J. Brown. The supposed WR1 has caught four balls or fewer in three consecutive games, but I think he gets going in a big way this week.

Brown was quite vocal about his frustration over his lack of targets. That gives us a squeaky-wheel narrative in addition to the “pass funnel” defense. I put pass funnel in quotes because it’s not as if the 49ers are bad against the pass — they’re just impenetrable on the ground.

MORE: Fantasy WR Rankings Conference Championships

Look for Jalen Hurts to get the ball to Brown early and often. The reason I like his receptions rather than his yards is because I think we see at least two or three targets close to the line of scrimmage, giving him a chance to get a couple cheapies.

In the postseason, the 49ers have really struggled against WR1s. Both CeeDee Lamb and DK Metcalf popped off for 10 catches and over 100 yards against them. We just need Brown to get to half that.

Underdog pick'ems

Listen to the PFN Inside Access Podcast!

Listen to the PFN Inside Access Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Fantasy Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms.  Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review!

Related Articles