The Jacksonville Jaguars enter Week 9 at 4–3 and are looking to end a two-game losing streak as they travel to Las Vegas to face the 2-5 Raiders. Both teams are coming off a bye week, as the Jaguars are on the hunt to maintain a winning record, and this is an absolute must-win for the Raiders to keep any playoff dreams alive.
Two Quarterbacks Haunted by Interceptions Face Off
The quarterback matchup is a clear advantage for the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence has taken a significant step forward in Liam Coen’s offense, showing improved processing, fewer turnover-worthy throws, and notable improvement in ball security after years of turnover issues. He has provided stability, and even with a depleted receiver group, his command of the offense gives Jacksonville an advantage in this game.
Geno Smith enters the week with the second-most interceptions in the league with 10. The Jaguars’ defense also enters with the second-most defensive interceptions in the NFL with 10, making this a dangerous pairing against Las Vegas.
Jacksonville thrives when opponents make mistakes, and Smith has put the ball at risk frequently this season. However, Jacksonville’s secondary has struggled heavily this season and is weakened without Travis Hunter, giving Smith a chance at a productive day if he protects the football.
Will the Raiders’ Defense Struggle to Contain the Jaguars’ Weapons?
For Jacksonville, this matchup presents a favorable opportunity. The Raiders have the second-worst-ranked defense in the NFL against wide receivers, which opens the door for a strong passing day from the Jaguars.
Even with injuries to Hunter and Tim Patrick, Jacksonville has enough firepower to exploit this secondary. Brian Thomas Jr. is positioned to be the focal point of the offense and should be expected to deliver one of his biggest performances of the season.
For the Raiders, the return of Brock Bowers is a major boost. He immediately becomes the centerpiece of their passing attack and the most difficult matchup for Jacksonville to handle.
Rumors that Las Vegas may sit Jakobi Meyers complicate things as the team may sit their most reliable receiver, but with Jacksonville’s secondary stretched thin, the Raiders will still look aggressively to the air. Again, if Smith avoids turnovers, Bowers and the remaining receivers can challenge the Jaguars’ secondary.
Tale of Two Different Running Units
The Jaguars are expected to take a more balanced approach this week. They moved away from the run too quickly in losses to Seattle and Los Angeles and appear motivated to correct that mistake. Travis Etienne and Bhayshul Tuten should both factor in early, they could especially have a big game if Jacksonville builds a lead and can dictate pace.
For Las Vegas, rushing success will be hard to find. Jacksonville has allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards in the league and has been one of the most disciplined run-defense units all season. The Raiders are unlikely to rely heavily on the ground game for consistent gains and will instead focus primarily on their passing attack. Ashton Jeanty certainly has the ability to rip off a big-time play at any moment, though, no matter the game’s situation.
How Do the Trenches Stack Up on Both Sides of the Ball?
Jacksonville holds a meaningful advantage in the trenches. The Jaguars’ offensive line grades out as the stronger unit overall compared to the Raiders; however, the pass protection will need to bounce back after allowing seven sacks in back-to-back games.
The biggest assignment by far for Jacksonville this Sunday is Maxx Crosby. Walker Little has struggled heavily this season, and Crosby is the strongest opposition he has faced yet. Crosby has the ability to take over a game completely, so if Jacksonville wants to be effective, they will need to find a way to limit 98.
The Raiders’ offensive line is anchored by LT Kolton Miller, who is the top-ranked lineman between the two teams. The rest of the group for the Raiders is a massive concern, though. According to PFSN’s OL Impact Rankings, LG Dylan Parham is ranked 105th, RT DJ Glaze is ranked 136th, and C Jackson Powers-Johnson is ranked 142nd. Having three starters all ranked outside of the top 100 linemen in the league is detrimental to Las Vegas in the trenches.
This sets up a favorable matchup for Jacksonville’s pass rush. Josh Hines-Allen and a healthy Travon Walker should have opportunities to disrupt the backfield and pressure Smith throughout the game. If Jacksonville consistently wins at the line of scrimmage, the Raiders’ offense will struggle to establish rhythm.
Final Prediction
Jacksonville’s advantages at quarterback, in the trenches, and in the turnover battle give them a strong position heading into Week 9. If the Jaguars execute a balanced game plan and capitalize on defensive mismatches, this presents a prime opportunity to end their losing streak and maintain strong playoff hopes.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville 31, Las Vegas 20