Are you scouring the Internet or your kid’s sock drawer for ideal Week 11 NFL Survivor Pool picks? Winging it usually doesn’t get the job done. So, how should we strategize with an eye toward the rest of the season? Let’s talk survivor pool NFL betting strategy, and optimal team picks.
NFL Week 11 Survivor Pool Picks
Picking one team that is a virtual certainty to win each week sounds easy in theory. However, most NFL survivor pool rules dictate that you can’t select the same team twice.
Sometimes it’s best to lock in a nearly guaranteed win. Other times, it’s better to take a chance to preserve safer options for later. Before we get into this week’s picks, let’s walk through last week’s strategy and results.
In Week 10, I advised readers to pick the Giants over the Texans. “This is the time to strike!” I screamed at no one in particular. Because an injury to the oft-injured Saquon Barkley would make the one-dimensional G-Men virtually unstartable in survivor pools. This marked the last great matchup for a team that couldn’t realistically get much healthier later this year.
The Giants prevailed. We can sleep a bit easier.
Oh, and for backup plans, I also recommended the Chiefs and (sadly) the Eagles. I’d recommended Philly on this page back in Week 4 as my primary Survivor play. And KC? I’m still saving them for late December or early January against the Texans or Broncos.
And you? Perhaps you had saved them. Maybe you’d already played the Giants, or else you didn’t trust my advice (totally cool). That’s why backup options are a popular PFN feature. We’ve got you covered like melted cheese on an IHOP scramble to go.
Hey, look at this. We’ve reached the part of the article where I start recommending Week 11 teams. And the only one I haven’t recommended before is Buffalo.
That’s right. I’ve been saving the Bills for as long as possible, picking my moments earlier this season with the Giants, Bengals, and even the Rams.
But now it’s time to unleash the reeling Bills on the betting public. All of Buffalo’s three losses have been heartbreakers in the closing minutes. This is still a great team — albeit one that appears vulnerable — headed toward a likely postseason appearance.
However, the opposing Browns are in worse shape. And if you think Deshaun Watson will save them, think again. It’s quite possible they’ll be 3-8 when Watson returns — presumably rusty from his nearly two-year layoff.
Why would a franchise that gave this QB roughly $250 million guaranteed risk a serious injury to their prized asset in a lost season? Surely the Browns understand this. And surely they know a road game in Buffalo puts them in the hole before the game’s even begun.
So as much as the Bills have struggled these past two weeks, the Browns — 1-5 since the start of October — lack the defense to contain Buffalo’s elite offense and lack the passing game (although it’s overachieved) to break through against Buffalo’s pass defense.
That leaves Nick Chubb, and he can’t do it alone, especially with T.J. Watt back in the fold.
If you’re thinking of holding the Bills until later this season, I wouldn’t. Of course, you know your survivor universe best. But this week constitutes their last “very favorable” matchup. Road games in Detroit, Chicago, and New England are scary for different reasons. The Jets and Patriots won’t be walkovers in the slightest. And Miami and Cincinnati easily could take them down.
Expect the rebounding Bills to conquer the not-quite-competitive Browns in Week 11.
If you want a backup option, the Ravens look promising at home against the Panthers. Denver in Week 13 and Atlanta in Week 16 make them tentative stashes. So, by all means, if you still have the Bills and agree with my position, then save the Ravens for one of these later contests.
But if you want the Ravens to be nevermore after this weekend, then lock them in. We should see the return of Mark Andrews, and, quite possibly, Gus Edwards. In other words, we should expect a pretty high-functioning offensive attack.
For the Panthers, it’s the return of Baker Mayfield. Yes, Mayfield gets perhaps his final shot at earning the No. 2 role somewhere in 2023. It has to be a tough pill to swallow for the former No. 1 overall pick.
It’s also reality. He has not elevated an offense in years. Despite Baltimore’s defensive holes, I don’t think the Panthers — even with the heroic D’Onta Foreman — have enough firepower to keep this one close.