Who would have thought that the New York Giants and New York Jets would be rising in their 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds as the season nears the end of its second month? The Giants and Jets are playing well enough to wonder whether a subway Super Bowl could be in order. We’re breaking down the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds in the aftermath of Week 6.
2023 Super Bowl Odds Heading Into Week 7
We’re here to make sure you’re locking in the best payoffs for all of your NFL betting picks. Each franchise has a varying record, but as you can see below, they don’t all offer the same betting odds.
For example, a $100 bet on the team with the best Super Bowl odds — the Kansas City Chiefs at +500 — would pay a $500 profit if they manage to win Super Bowl LVII. Let’s take a look at the latest 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds and break down the teams whose odds present the best value.
New York Giants (+6000)
All hail Brian Daboll. The first-year New York Giants head coach has been spectacular through his first six games with the franchise, proving to be the real deal after being wonderfully successful in Buffalo as offensive coordinator.
Despite having one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL, a depleted wide receiver corps, and one of the 10 youngest rosters, the Giants have a 5-1 record and sit second in the NFL Standings for the NFC East.
Most of the Giants’ best talent is still on their rookie contract, but they play with a toughness that helps overcome their lack of explosiveness. Saquon Barkley has been tremendous, propelling a unit that is top-five in all key rushing stats and literally carrying an offense that is 10th in scoring rate despite their flaws. Barkley has 616 rushing yards and 155 receiving yards on the season.
Of course, the defense has been the key factor in their sudden success. Despite losing James Bradberry right before the season, this is the NFL’s No. 8 unit in yards allowed. It’s not a fluky number that has been skewed by turnovers, either, they’ve registered only one interception through six games. This unit can be even better if the offense stops pitting them with the fifth-worst starting field position.
Are the Giants real Super Bowl contenders? I don’t see it with Daniel Jones averaging just 6.4 yards per attempt. It’s an improvement that he hasn’t been a catastrophe, but the stakes will grow as the schedule gets more difficult in December and in the playoffs.
New York Jets (+9000)
I actually think the Jets’ 4-2 record is more surprising to me than the Giants’ 5-1 record considering their strength of schedules. The Jets’ offense hasn’t been better since Zach Wilson has taken over for Joe Flacco, but they’re more balanced, which has, in turn, helped the defense tremendously. Robert Saleh’s horses have been getting after quarterbacks much more effectively and forced seven turnovers.
Their latest win over Green Bay has been the most complete and impressive of their three straight victories. The Packers may be overrated, but they’re well-coached and generally dominate the regular season. The Jets have found their identity thanks to the immediate impact of Sauce Gardner and Breece Hall.
Both Gardner and Hall could win their Rookie of the Year honors for their defensive and offensive contributions, respectively. There are more things to like about what’s happening in New York, but for this team to reach the next level, there’s a lot to clean up as well.
Wilson must be more dynamic and be a playmaker. That isn’t a rush, as he is showing some progress so far in his second season. But offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur can do a better job integrating rookie wide receiver Garrett Wilson, who has disappeared from the offense since Wilson took over. That must change quickly as competition ramps up in the coming weeks.
Are the Jets a true Super Bowl contender? Not yet, but this no longer appears to be a situation where Wilson and Saleh will be replaced in 2023, and that’s a fast and rapid improvement already.
Cincinnati Bengals (+2800)
The AFC North hasn’t been the bloodbath I had expected, but the Cincinnati Bengals did well to cash in on a needed win against the New Orleans Saints in Week 6. This team is now in a great position to rip off four more wins before facing a gauntlet to end the season.
After their matchup in Pittsburgh after their bye week in Week 10, the Bengals face the Titans, Chiefs, Browns with Deshaun Watson, Buccaneers, Patriots, Bills, and Ravens.
Cincinnati doesn’t have an especially strong profile thus far, but the results of their games are more impressive than the raw numbers.
The offense ranks 15th in points and 21st in yards created, but some of that is due to boasting the 10th-best starting field position. While the passing game has started heating up, the rushing attack with Joe Mixon has been brutally painful to watch. The offensive line has been partially to blame, but Mixon has also not been the star talent he’s shown capable of being.
Things can change quickly if Joe Burrow continues to produce with Ja’Marr Chase as they did this week, with seven receptions for 132 yards and two scores. I’m looking for the defense to step up a bit as well, though their three-straight weeks of allowing fewer than 20 points was an encouraging sign.
Cincinnati still has a high ceiling, making them a quality value bet that can be had right now before they hit their ceiling.
Green Bay Packers (+2000)
The Packers have continued to make personnel moves that make them seem unserious about winning, and now their on-field product appears to resemble their front office’s disinterested approach.
This roster has immense talent on the defense, and the offense should be above-average, considering the talent at quarterback, running back, and along the offensive line. And yet, they have outright lost two consecutive games in which they were seven-point favorites or more.
Both the Jets and Giants deserve credit for their level of play, but the Packers are at a breaking point in their season. Difficult home games against the Cowboys and Titans are in the middle of road games at the Bills, Lions, and Eagles before the bye week.
With the Vikings now two games up in the NFC North, the margin for error for the Packers’ divisional title hopes is gone.
Their offense has simply not done enough to replace Davante Adams despite boasting a tremendous running back duo of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon, ranking 16th in attempts and 20th in run EPA. But the passing game has been worse at 22nd in EPA despite Aaron Rodgers again being efficient and working to extend plays as long as he possibly can.
There’s no answer for the Packers to turn this around. Signing Odell Beckham Jr. might help, but watching Robbie Anderson be traded to Arizona for peanuts while the Packers have an obvious need for a playmaker is a sign not to expect much anytime soon. The Packers should have significantly worse Super Bowl odds.
Cleveland Browns (+8000)
The Browns had a real opportunity to be in the playoff race by the time Deshaun Watson returned to the active roster in the final stretch of the season. But it would require winning a few coinflip games and taking care of business against foes.
Now on a three-game losing streak with two ugly last-minute failures against the Falcons and Chargers, then a blowout loss to New England, the uphill climb looks impossible.
Mistakes and poor defensive play have plagued this team all season.
It’s hard to argue with the offensive playcalling, but Jacoby Brissett’s limitations have been exposed repeatedly as he’s been forced to throw more often as the defense continues to fail. The Browns need to limit foes to less than 24 points, or else Brissett starts forcing passes, and interceptions have crushed their efforts.
Opponents have punished the Browns’ young defense through the air and on the ground alike over the last three weeks and far too often this season in general.
Cleveland must now rip off seven wins with only 11 games left. It’s possible, especially with the Ravens, Bengals, Dolphins, and Buccaneers looking more vulnerable at times this season than might’ve been expected. But things need to change quickly before Watson’s return for the Browns to have any hopes of the postseason.