The Pro Football Network’s betting team is facing its first slump of the NFL season, with back to back losing weeks. It is the first time we are in this position, but we continue to study and look towards bringing in more profits. As a whole, we are still up over $100 on the year. However, we need to recoup and look at what we can do better. Making NFL picks is a tough business, but the team continues to analyze the early NFL odds to be able to have a massive bounce-back in Week 8.
Through all of our platforms, the Against the Spread podcast, Twitter Live All-Access plays, and weekly articles, we lost a little over seven units. The books have had two very strong weeks, but we will get it all back.
Here is a quick look at some of the opening NFL odds for Week 8.
NFL Week 8 lines (BetOnline):
WAS @ MIN -16
SEA @ ATL N/A
NYG @ DET -7
TB @ TEN -2.5
DEN @ IND -6.5
ARI @ NO N/A
LAC @ CHI -5.5
PHI @ BUF -1.5
CIN @ LAR* -12.5
NYJ @ JAX N/A
OAK @ HOU -6.5
CAR @ SF -5.5
CLE @ NE N/A
GB @ KC +3
MIA @ PIT -14.5
BYE weeks: BAL, DAL
— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) October 21, 2019
NFL Picks: The Week 8 PFN Rundown
Whether it be on our Against the Spread podcast, numerous articles on the site, or our live Twitter plays, we will always do our best to bring profitable NFL picks to our subscribers. Sports betting is not easy, and we are here to ensure that you have all the information necessary to give you a chance to win. Here is a look at how each handicapper did in their respective category.Through 14 weeks of the NFL season (minus MNF on 12/9), the PFN betting group has over 25 units of profit (~625$). With your All-Access Pass, you have an exclusive look at our running record of best bets, not to mention 24/7 availability of the betting group should you have an individualized question. Sign up for the All-Access Pass that'll pay for itself and more.
Ben Rolfe: Totals Expert
A tough week in the totals market, with Ben going 1-4 for Week 8. The reasoning was sound, but unfortunately, some injuries and unexpected offensive explosions hurt Ben’s NFL picks.
He had over 54 in the Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta game. The number looked like it was going to soar past 54, but Atlanta could not put the ball into the end-zone. The New Orleans Saints and Teddy Bridgewater surprised everyone putting up over 30 points on the vaunted Bears defense. Nearly 80% of the money and bets were on that under before the game started. The Saints nearly hit the over alone.
2019 Record: -3.5 units
Jason Sarney: The Prop Master
The Prop Master came in on fire this week. He was able to win nearly two units by himself and has improved his “Prop of the day” two-unit record to 5-1 on the year. This week he put all his chips on the success of Leonard Fournette.
“His 584 yards through six games nets him an average of 97.3 yards a game. Sure his 225 yards rushing back in Week 4 against Denver helped the average. Fournette is running hard, looks healthy, and all the stars are aligning this week for a heavy work-load and perhaps his third triple-digit rush total of the year.”
Fournette did, in fact, surpass his over yardage prop of 90.5 with ease. He finished the game with 131 rushing yards against the weak Bengals run defense.
He finished the week with a 3- 5 record but with the two-unit play as a win. Unfortunately, his triple Monday night football prop performance hurt, with James White missing his over by a measly three yards.
2019 Record: +3 units
Chris Smith: Handicapping Specialist
Our PFN expert handicapper had another tough week, but he started off strong with a 2-0 record on the Kansas City Chiefs Thursday night win. He was also able to pick up on an important trend in his Baltimore +3 win.
“I’m also fading a Seahawks team that’s 0-4 against the spread in their last four home games.”
The Seahawks were blown out at home by the mobile Lamar Jackson and this Ravens offense.
Guess what? He also gave another survivor winner with the Bills. That is seven straight winners in any and all survivor pools.
2019 Record: -0.25 units
James Aguirre: The Volatility Expert
Another difficult week for our Volatility Expert. He breaks down what he learns from every single win and loss in his weekly article. Having one of the sharpest, analytical football minds in the game, James will look for another bounce-back performance in Week 8.
2019 Record: +2 units
Against the Spread Podcast NFL Picks
Our new Saturday version of the Against the Spread Podcast struggled for only the second time in the NFL picks season. We went 2-4 on the week struggling in the later games. The New York Jets decided they didn’t want to compete in their AFC East showdown with the Patriots, losing 33-0. If there was any solace, co-host Ryan Gosling’s favorite team, the Dallas Cowboys finally got a leg up in the NFC East over the Eagles.
2019 Record: +1.5 units
Week 8 NFL odds and early action
Taking a look at some of the opening NFL odds, there are two games that the public and sharps have jumped on. Will we join the herd or break away?
Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints:
Over 47.5 92% of the bets and 52% of the money on the over
This number might seem high at first look, but why would anyone believe that the Arizona Cardinals’ defense could stop anybody. The defense is allowing 129.1 rushing yards per game, 25th in the NFL. On the other hand, the Arizona offense is 11th in the league with 127.4 rushing yards per game and 12th in third-down conversion percentage. On the season, QB Kyler Murray has 1,768 passing yards and seven touchdowns against four interceptions. It might be a tough task against this improved Saints defense, but the offense should still be able to put up a few points.
The Saints offense has been impressive under Bridgewater. Even though Alvin Kamara was out this past week, Latavius Murray stepped in and didn’t miss a beat. This Arizona defense is awful and has allowed every team they have played put up at least double-digit scores.
If Arizona can at least put up 14-21 points, then this number should go over 47.5 easily. The Saints are very good at home and should score nearly 30 on this terrible Cardinals defense. The fact that this game will be played in a dome also helps the total. Follow the 92% of the bets and join the herd on this over!
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts:
Under 44 69% of the bets and 61% of the money on the under
The Denver Broncos will be heading into Indianapolis after an embarrassing loss to the Chiefs without Patrick Mahomes. The money and the bets are coming in on the total in this game, with most bettors staying away from the spread. A couple of significant trends to keep in mind here, the Broncos are 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. The under is also 20-6-1 in Denver’s last 27 games overall.
The under is hitting at such a pace with Denver because they are a run-heavy team that likes to rely on their defense. Meanwhile, the Colts are also a run-heavy team that likes to lean on Marlon Mack.
This past week against Houston, Jacoby Brissett was just fantastic for Indianapolis, completing 26/39 for 326 yards and 4 touchdown passes. He didn’t throw an interception and took only one sack all game, though it did result in a lost fumble. Their offensive line is one of the best in the NFL, and it shows in Brissett’s protection. The Colts aired it out more than usual against Houston, which is necessary against this potent Texans offense. The Broncos do not have that offense. Flacco will struggle on the road again here, and I will join the herd and bet the under!
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