The grind that is the long NFL regular season continues to trudge along but our eyes are already set on the Week 7 betting lines. Before looking at some of the next week’s NFL picks and odds, it is important to take a look at our results from this past week. Simply, after a massive bounce back in Week 5, the team struggled out of the gate.
Through all of our platforms, the Against the Spread podcast, Twitter Live All-Access plays, and weekly articles, we lost a little over seven units. After winning double-digit units last week, we gave a couple of them back. One bright spot on the week was that we hit our first-ever consensus PFN betting play with the over in Atlanta and Arizona.
That said, we are still up over $300 on the year for our All-Access members. Similar to Week 5, we will look for a big bounce back this week. We’ll do so by aggressively looking at the early Week 7 opening NFL odds.
NFL Week 7 opening lines (BetOnline):
KC @ DEN +4.5
OAK @ GB -7
SF @ WAS +9.5
ARI @ NYG -3
HOU @ IND -1
MIN @ DET pick 'em
JAX @ CIN +3.5
MIA @ BUF -16.5
LAR @ ATL +3.5
LAC @ TEN -2
BAL @ SEA -3.5
NO @ CHI -3.5
PHI @ DAL -3
NE @ NYJ +10
BYE weeks: CAR, CLE, PIT, TB
— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) October 13, 2019
NFL Picks: The PFN Rundown
Whether it be on our Against the Spread podcast, numerous articles on the site, or our live Twitter plays, we will always do our best to bring profitable NFL picks to our subscribers. Sports betting is not easy, and we are here to ensure that you have all the information necessary to give you a chance to win. Here is a look at how each handicapper did in their respective category.Through 14 weeks of the NFL season (minus MNF on 12/9), the PFN betting group has over 25 units of profit (~625$). With your All-Access Pass, you have an exclusive look at our running record of best bets, not to mention 24/7 availability of the betting group should you have an individualized question. Sign up for the All-Access Pass that'll pay for itself and more.
Ben Rolfe: Totals Expert
Ben was one of the few handicappers that managed to pull out a profit this week. Focusing solely on the totals market, Ben managed to avoid some of the unexpected side outcomes. His read on his hometown London game was spot on. He took the over 47.5 in what he expected to be a high scoring, entertaining affair.
“Yes, London makes this a little crazy, but a 27-24 type scoreline should be the least to expect from a game with all the components to be a huge scoring entertaining Sunday morning thriller in London.”
He was also part of the consensus PFN win with Atlanta over 51. He missed the mark on the San Francisco game simply because Los Angeles surprised us all and decided not to show up. Kyle Shanahan evidently won the coaching battle with Sean McVay. It looks like the Super Bowl hangover might be a real thing for this Rams team.
2019 Record: 16-14
Jason Sarney: The Prop Master
Our Prop Master had a tough week overall. He hit on his two-unit prop of the day. Unfortunately, it was the only play that he was successful with. Watching the timeless Adrian Peterson turn back the clock for over 100 yards was quite satisfying.
“A lackluster start, a weak overall team, and father-time creeping up is usually a formula to avoid in all things props and daily fantasy but not here. Peterson should cover this over in minutes, as interim Redskins coach Bill Callahan has stated he wants to establish the run. That makes sense against the 32nd ranked defense in the league.”
The enigma that is Mark Ingram continues to confuse, once again not surpassing his yardage prop in what was a run-heavy game. Unfortunately, the only person running the ball effectively was quarterback Lamar Jackson.
2019 Record: 19-18
Chris Smith: Handicapping Specialist
Chris started the week hot with two winners in the Thursday night New England Patriots vs. New York Giants game. He also proved how valuable the All-Access Twitter (@PFN365AA) account is with a live bet on the New York Jets against the Dallas Cowboys. Other than his NFL odds live plays, the letdown by the Los Angeles Chargers and Cowboys gave us a loser in his Tommy Teaser.
On the plus side, going into Week 7, he is still handing out survivor winners with the Baltimore Ravens getting it done.
2019 Record: 19-17
James Aguirre: The Volatility Expert
The Volatility Expert had another tough week but is still positive on the year. Teams that were expected to bounce back like Dallas and the Cleveland Browns continued to struggle. The analysis was there, but some teams continue to prove that predicting the outcome of any game is tough. James is the Volatility Expert for a reason and will look to have a big bounce back with his NFL picks next week.
2019 Record: 27-21-3
Against the Spread Podcast NFL Picks
Alongside Ben, the Against the Spread podcast was also able to squeeze out a profit during a tough week of NFL picks. Once again, co-host Ryan Gosling saw his teaser play lose outright when his Cowboys decided not to show up against the Jets. Luckily, the podcast was on the right side of the Miami and Cincinnatti games, where the spreads simply made no sense. Two last-minute touchdowns guaranteed a profitable week early on.
2019 Record: 13-7-1
Week 7 NFL odds and early action
Bets have been coming in fast and heavy as many of the above mentioned NFL odds have already moved.
NFL Week 7 early line movement (BetOnline):
KC @ DEN +4.5 ? +3.5
OAK @ GB -7 ? -6.5
JAX @ CIN +3.5 ? +3
LAC @ TEN -2 ? pick'em
PHI @ DAL -3 ? -2.5 https://t.co/KOyUrUbkar
— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) October 14, 2019
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-3): 72% of the bets on Eagles 57% of the money
This is a tough one because of the question marks surrounding the Cowboys. Tyron Smith was on the verge of playing against the Jets, which means he will most likely play this week. He is an integral part of what the Cowboys want to do on the ground. Ezekiel Elliot has not looked good in his absence, and the line has struggled to protect Dak Prescott. There is also a chance that La’el Collins returns in this game to help the offensive line.
The biggest issue is that Amari Cooper left last week’s game with a quad injury. He was seen walking on the sideline, but we are unsure what his status will be against the Eagles.
A big weak spot on this Philidelphia team is its secondary. We just saw Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings light them up for nearly 400 yards and 4 touchdowns. If Cooper plays, Dallas should be able to do the same thing. If Cooper is out, the Cowboys would be relying on guys like Michael Gallup and Tavon Austin to catch the ball. That would be an issue.
The money coming in on the Eagles makes sense. The Cowboys are now less than a field goal favorite at home. I will break away from the herd here and expect Cooper to play in this critical matchup. The Cowboys need to win this one at home to keep their NFC East title hopes alive. Grab America’s team before the number gets bet back to -3. If you are scared of a complete flop, grabbing the Eagles money line now wouldn’t be a terrible idea.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (+3): 60% of the bets and 99% of the money on the under
I will be staying away from the point spread in this one and will instead be looking at the total. This number opened at 47.5 and has already been bet down by four points! That is a huge swing this early in the week.
With both of these teams struggling to put up points, the under is the play that makes the most sense. Everyone’s favorite mustached quarterback Gardner Minshew finally came back down to Earth this week, and the Bengals can’t seem to put up points against anyone.
This play makes a lot of sense considering the offensive struggles the Bengals have had. Jalen Ramsey will most likely be in the game for Jacksonville making life difficult for Andy Dalton. A good defense against a subpar offense is the perfect combination for an under play. Even at the current 43.5, I will join the herd and bet this under before it gets any lower.