NFL Fantasy Trade Analyzer: Look ahead by trading for David Montgomery

The Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer is here to help you decide which players to trade for and away ahead of Week 7.

Hello, I’ll be your Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer today. Beep boop. Robot noises. You put your names into the trade machine, and I spit out my advice. Except, I’m picking the names, so … awkward. During this #Byepocalypse (I told you I’m using it in every article this week), trades are a great way to fill the void left by one of the roughly 10,000 fantasy-relevant players currently on a bye week. Let’s look into some trades to make.

Week 7 Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer | Three players to trade for this week

We’ll get started with some players to trade for, including two that you should be targeting before they return from their short-term IR stints.

Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson is currently sitting on the IR for the first time in his career because of a dislocated finger that required surgery. This one might be early, as Wilson will be out through the team’s Week 10 bye. Yet, if you have a deeper roster or an IR spot where you can stash him, he makes for a great under-the-radar target right now.

Wilson was the QB10 through the first four weeks, connecting with Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf on a number of deep targets. He scored over 22 fantasy points in three of his first four games. He might not offer game-breaking upside for fantasy purposes, but he’s a rock-solid QB1 when healthy.

David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears

David Montgomery is another trade candidate that’s currently hanging out on the IR. Just like Wilson was the QB10 through four weeks, Montgomery was the RB10 over the same timeline. Khalil Herbert and Damien Williams have looked good in his stead, but Montgomery will regain RB1 honors when he returns from injury, which is expected to be in about another two weeks.

The last time we saw Montgomery, he turned 23 carries into 106 yards and 2 TDs against the Detroit Lions. He should be viewed as a high-end RB2 to low-end RB1 when he returns to the lineup.

A.J. Green, WR, Arizona Cardinals

A.J. Green has been a surprise to many this year. When he signed with the Arizona Cardinals, some people (it’s me, I’m people) said, “well, this makes sense, because AZ is a great place to retire.” Oops.

Green has 3 receiving touchdowns this year and has seen, oddly, exactly 6 targets in five out of six games. In half-PPR scoring, Green has posted double-digit fantasy points in four of six matchups. He’s a perfectly viable flex option in an explosive offense with MVP front-runner Kyler Murray at quarterback. Go trade for him.

Week 7 Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer | Three players to trade away this week

Sometimes, the best move is to capitalize on an increased value. Here are three names that fit the bill.

Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

I know, I know — trading away any running back with a pulse this year is a bold decision. If you’re going to trade one, try to get one back. Joe Mixon is the RB11 on the season but is RB16 in points per game in half-PPR formats. He’s coming off his best fantasy output, posting 21.3 points on the back of 94 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 59 receiving yards, and 1 receiving TD last week

It’s a good time to sell. This season, Mixon has two strong games, scoring 21.0 points in Week 1 and 21.3 points in Week 6. Outside of that, he’s failed to crack double digits in three of the other four games and had precisely 1 reception in four straight contests. His instability scares me, and I would rather acquire a similar running back with less name-brand value and an additional asset.

Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Playoff Lenny turned into Vintage Lenny, as Leonard Fournette has been looking fantastic as of late. The RB13 on the season has been the RB4 over the last three weeks. However, I’m simply not buying that the workload is sustainable.

In an offense with Tom Brady under center (who is leading the NFL in passing yards), with Antonio Brown, Mike Evans, and Chris Godwin at receiver, Fournette has seen over 20 carries in two of the last three games. It’s in those games that Fournette has done all of his damage, scoring all 3 of his touchdowns on the season and posting his three highest yardage totals.

Maybe this is the new norm, but his two best games have correlated to Evans’ two worst outings.

Not everyone can eat in this offense every week. It’s been Fournette’s turn lately, but it could quickly revert to a workload similar to the 12 carries for 67 yards he saw two weeks ago.

Hunter Henry, TE, New England Patriots

Over the last three weeks, Hunter Henry has been the TE4, scoring more fantasy points than unanimous TE1 Travis Kelce. What a time to be alive.

Henry has done so on the back of a touchdown in each of the last three games, despite having only 12 receptions total over that span. His touchdown rate is unsustainable, and the workload and yardage simply aren’t there to maintain a top-tier TE1 pace. If someone is hurting at tight end and you have Henry plus another on your roster, it’s a perfect time to sell.

Jon Helmkamp is a fantasy football and NFL contributor for Pro Football Network. You can find him on Twitter: @JonHelmkamp and find more of his work here. Don’t forget to listen to the PFN Fantasy Football podcast and check out our free fantasy newsletter.

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