NFL DFS Picks: Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, or Gabriel Davis?

Looking at the Saturday DraftKings DFS slate, what's the fantasy outlook for Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, and Gabriel Davis?

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) is a great way to get that fantasy football fix in the NFL playoffs. With just four weeks of football remaining, our time is limited. Fortunately, we have three separate days of football this week to get our fill. Let’s take a look at the Saturday DraftKings DFS slate and the fantasy outlooks for Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, and Gabriel Davis.

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NFL DFS Picks: Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, or Gabriel Davis?

Of these four AFC wide receivers, who has the highest upside in DFS formats for Wild Card Weekend?

Is Stefon Diggs worth his steep price?

Diggs is the second-most expensive wide receiver ($7,300) on the DraftKings Saturday slate. He finished the regular season as the overall WR9 (minimum eight games played), averaging 16.8 PPR fantasy points per game. It was a significant step back from his 20.5 ppg in 2020, but still a WR1 season.

With limited options on a two-game slate, Diggs is going to be very popular in lineups. In the Bills’ Week 16 victory over the Patriots, Diggs caught 7 of 13 targets for 85 yards and a touchdown. Here’s the thing with Diggs this week. Bill Belichick has a reputation for erasing the opponent’s best weapon. For the Bills, that’s Diggs. This is also playoff Belichick, who will undoubtedly have a plan to slow down Josh Allen and this passing attack, starting with Diggs.

Looking back multiple years is not necessarily indicative of what will happen. This year’s Patriots team is very different than the Super Bowl-winning squad from the 2019-2020 season. Nevertheless, it’s worth mentioning that the Patriots held Keenan Allen to 2-75-1 in the Divisional Round and Tyreek Hill to 1-42-0 in the AFC Championship that year. Brandin Cooks did have 8-120-0 in the Super Bowl, though.

There’s certainly nothing wrong with building a lineup around an Allen-Diggs stack. However, it is the most expensive stack possible. You may be better off pivoting to stacking Allen with his ancillary receivers or going with a Bengals stack and using Diggs as the bring-back guy.

Emmanuel Sanders is little more than a veteran depth piece

Sanders is the second-most expensive Bills wide receiver, which surprised me a bit. At $4,300, he can fit in just about any lineup. With that said, just ignore Sanders. He’s done.

He got off to a scorching start this season. From Weeks 1-6, he averaged 15 PPR ppg. Yet, something changed in Week 7. Sanders didn’t catch a pass, and after a decent 4-65 effort in Week 8, he never returned startable production.

Since Week 10, Sanders has recorded between 20-28 receiving yards in every single game. His highest single-game receptions total is 3. He hasn’t scored since Week 5. Over the past month, he’s been dealing with a knee injury as well and has only played in one game since Week 14.

As if Sanders being unproductive and banged-up isn’t enough, the Patriots allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season. Despite his veteran status, I don’t see him returning this week and immediately resuming his WR2 role. In fact, I think he will be definitively fourth behind the next two guys.

Gabriel Davis is a better DFS value than Cole Beasley

I’ve decided to lump Beasley ($4,200) and Davis ($3,900) together. For a time, Beasley was the clear WR3 on this team behind Diggs and Sanders. As recently as Week 14, Beasley played 81% of the offensive snaps. However, as the season has progressed, we’ve seen a clear move towards Davis as the WR2.

Last week, Buffalo may have had an easy matchup against the Jets, but it was a must-win game to secure the AFC East title. Sanders didn’t play, but we can still read into the usage and targeting of Beasley and Davis. In that game, Beasley saw 5 targets against Davis’ 14. Beasley played 51% of the offensive snaps. Davis played 91% of the snaps — more than Diggs (82%).

Davis appears to be severely underpriced, given his role in this offense. I view him as the team’s WR2. Even though the matchup isn’t great, Davis almost feels like a player you have to force into your DFS lineup as his potential to significantly overperform his price is high. Beasley, on the other hand, is nothing more than a low-upside floor play with a floor lower than it was earlier in the year.

Jason Katz is a Fantasy Analyst at Pro Football Network. You can follow him on Twitter: @jasonkatz13 and find more of his work here.

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