The only college football game on Thanksgiving — the Egg Bowl — rightly stands alone in rivalry week. We’ve got the latest college football betting odds, DFS and fantasy picks, and a Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss prediction ahead of the most hate-filled rivalry game in all of college football.
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Betting Preview
Ole Miss (-2)
Ole Miss (-125); Mississippi State (+105)
- Game time
7 p.m. ET
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
- Predicted weather at kickoff
48 degrees, intermittent clouds, 5-6 mph winds
- How to watch
Having won the first two Lane Kiffin vs. Mike Leach Egg Bowl matchups, Ole Miss enters this edition of the rivalry game on a two-win head-to-head streak and an 18-game all-time cushion over their hated rivalries. I’d expect them to extend both of those advantages with a ninth win of the 2022 season, despite some negative momentum following the Alabama loss.
Only one Egg Bowl this millennium has been decided by less than the two-point spread, so if you’re as confident in an Ole Miss win as we are, it makes sense to take the Rebels outright and against the spread. Ole Miss is 2-0 as a single-digit spread favorite this season.
The two teams combine to be 13-9 on the over this season. However, there hasn’t been a 60+ point Egg Bowl since 2016. Averaging 68.8 points between them this season, this game could buck the trend. Cautiously attack the over if you’re feeling on the adventurous side this Thanksgiving.
Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Plays
- QB Will Rogers, Mississippi State ($10,400)
- QB Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss ($9,800)
- RB Quinshon Judkins, Ole Miss ($9,800)
- RB Zach Evans, Ole Miss ($8,000)
- RB Jo’quavious Marks, Mississippi State ($7,600)
- RB Dillon Johnson, Mississippi State ($6,600)
- WR Malik Heath, Ole Miss ($9,200)
- WR Rara Thomas, Mississippi State ($7,800)
- WR Jonathan Mingo, Ole Miss ($7,200)
- WR Caleb Ducking, Mississippi State ($7,000)
- WR Lideatrick Griffin, Mississippi State. ($5,800)
- WR Justin Robinson, Mississippi State ($5,000)
- WR Rufus Harvey, Mississippi State ($4,200)
- WR Jordan Watkins, Ole Miss ($3,800)
For the most up-to-date salaries, find entries on DraftKings.com.
With this Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss matchup as the only Thanksgiving college football game, who should make up your DFS picks? Setting a winning lineup can be tricky in a game that comes with such high emotion, but some decisions are easier than others.
That starts at the QB position, where Will Rogers has comfortably outperformed Jaxson Dart from a fantasy perspective all year. The Mississippi State offense runs through their signal-caller, and you should slot him into your lineup.
You can feel confident in playing electric Ole Miss freshman Quinshon Judkins as your Super Flex/MVP. He’s a top-10 fantasy running back who has scored a touchdown in all but one game this season and has 100+ rushing yard games in all but three, including five consecutive. Take that 1.5 times the points and prosper.
Judkins has overshadowed the fact that Zach Evans has been sensational this season too. Plug the TCU transfer in as one of your running backs, with Jo’Quavious Marks as a potential low-cost second option. If rain dictates the game, Marks’ ability on the ground and as a short-game receiver should score points.
With pass-catchers aplenty on the Mississippi State roster, take two and pair them with Ole Miss WR Jonathan Mingo for maximum points. Rara Thomas leads the Bulldogs with 599 yards, with Caleb Ducking the most prolific touchdown threat with eight scores. Both have 40+ targets this season.
Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
You’ve got the latest betting odds, we’ve helped you get your picks in place for fantasy and DFS, and now, it’s time for a Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss prediction. Can Leach lead his Bulldogs to victory in Oxford, or will Kiffin’s Rebels record a third consecutive Egg Bowl win?
You can scour the statistics. You can fawn over the film. In a rivalry game that transcends the rest of the regular season, that often goes out of the window. Ole Miss will be hoping that their negative momentum and swirling rumors of the departure of their head coach will go the same way.
Ole Miss’ pass defense does give the Bulldogs reason to be optimistic. The Rebels have allowed the fourth most passing touchdowns (19)in the SEC this season while allowing the third-highest completion percentage (63.5%). That very much plays into Leach’s “Air Raid” offense and the skills of Rogers.
However, in a game that could be impacted by the weather, Mississippi State’s middling run defense that has allowed the fourth most rushing touchdowns (19) in the SEC should allow the tandem of Judkins and Evans to dictate the tempo of the game, and ultimately the result of it too.
Prediction: Mississippi State 28, Ole Miss 31