Matt Breida Waiver Wire Week 12: Fantasy outlook for Bills RB

In a cloudy Bills backfield, Matt Breida led the way in Week 11 -- is he worth a fantasy football waiver wire add ahead of Thanksgiving?

Backfields are complicated enough when you have to figure out a two-person committee. When there are three, it’s more frustrating than a dry Thanksgiving turkey. Buffalo currently has a three-headed attack that we need to figure out, with Matt Breida entering the fantasy football picture in Week 11. Is Breida worth a waiver claim heading into Thanksgiving?

Matt Breida led the Bills backfield in Week 11

In a lopsided blowout at the hands of Jonathan Taylor and the Colts, the Bills’ backfield was as muddy as it gets.

In Week 11, Breida, Zack Moss, and Devin Singletary all split reps. Singletary played 38% of the snaps, Breida played 32%, and Moss played 29%.

Out of that mess came Breida, who led the backfield with a measly 5 rushing attempts. However, he turned that into 51 yards, adding a reception for 16 yards as well. The second-most productive back was Singletary, with 15 rushing yards.

It was a weird game script. Losing 41-15, it’s reasonable to expect the running backs to get phased out, but Josh Allen wasn’t productive through the air either. He attempted 35 passes, completing 21 for only 209 yards. Nothing about this Buffalo offense looked good.

Are any Buffalo running backs fantasy-viable?

This is the question we need to sort out. Heading into Week 11, I talked about how the Bills running all over the Jets in Week 10 was a great example of good coaching exploiting the other team’s weakness. The Jets have a historically bad run defense, allowing 132 rushing yards per game.

From a fantasy perspective, New York wasn’t covering RBs in the passing game either, allowing the most fantasy points per game to the position at 30.4.

You would expect good coaching to go after a weakness, and the Bills did that. They ran for 139 total yards while scoring 4 TDs on the ground. Singletary and Moss each had 7 carries, Breida had 3, and a few other players got some work on the ground as well.

No running back on this team has seen more than 8 rushing attempts since Moss did against the Dolphins on Halloween. In case you forgot, it’s the week of Thanksgiving. Nobody in this backfield is getting any type of considerable, meaningful run.

Should you pick up Breida off the fantasy waiver wire?

In short, I guess? If you have injuries at the position or an open bench spot and you’re looking for a body that will see the field, then Breida fits that mold.

Personally, I’m not sure why Singletary isn’t the lead back in this backfield. He’s averaged 5.6 yards per carry and has an 89.5% catch rate since Week 6. When he’s given the ball, he’s dynamic and is capable of making big plays, but Buffalo’s coaching staff insists on keeping him in a rotation with Moss and Breida. I digress. This isn’t about Singletary’s mismanagement, it’s about Breida.

If you want to add Breida for depth or if injuries happen above him on the depth chart, I understand the move. Just know what you’re getting — a player that I can’t recommend that you start in the flex unless his situation changes.

Jon Helmkamp is a fantasy football and NFL contributor for Pro Football Network. You can find him on Twitter: @JonHelmkamp and find more of his work here. Don’t forget to listen to the PFN Fantasy Football podcast and check out our free fantasy newsletter.

RELATED
FANTASY
NFL
RELATED POSTS