Marquez Valdes-Scantling Waiver Wire Week 12: Fantasy outlook for Packers WR

With fantasy managers set to place waiver wire claims, should Packers WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling be a top addition in Week 12?

When Thanksgiving rolls around, you know we are in the home stretch of the fantasy football season, which means there is little time remaining for fantasy managers to make impactful additions to their team through the waiver wire. As he comes off a season-best outing, should fantasy managers take a hard look at Green Bay Packers WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling when scouring the waiver wire in Week 12, or was his success an anomaly?

Marquez Valdes-Scantling goes for 123 yards against Minnesota

We know Valdes-Scantling has game-breaking skills and only needs a few chances in any given game to leave his mark on the outcome.

We saw that take place in Week 11 as Valdes-Scantling had his best game of the season. MVS hauled in 4 of his team-high 10 targets for 123 yards, including a 75-yard touchdown catch in the fourth quarter to tie the game at 31-31.

Valdes-Scantling’s 36 snaps and 32 routes run were also a high-water mark for him this season. The Packers fell behind quickly, and at one point were down 23-10 in the third quarter. That likely led to MVS having a larger day than usual, as Aaron Rodgers kept taking deep shots trying to get Green Bay back into the game.

Valdes-Scantling was one of the most active receivers in the league last week. His 56.7% intended air yards share was the third-highest for any WR last week, behind only Ja’Marr Chase and Terry McLaurin.

Valdes-Scantling’s usage will always leave him as a boom-or-bust option

Now that he’s in his fourth season, we know how the Packers want to use Valdes-Scantling. He is their vertical threat/field stretcher. Since entering the NFL in 2018, MVS has the second-highest yards per reception average at 18.02 (behind only DeSean Jackson at 19.56). However, of the 116 receivers who have seen 100+ targets over that time frame, Valdes-Scantling is No. 100 in catch percentage at 49.5%.

When he hits, Valdes-Scantling hits big — but that is not a regular occurrence. In his 54 active NFL games, Valdes-Scantling has finished as a WR3 or worse 80% of the time. It’s all or nothing.

But perhaps last week’s outing was a sign of things to come for MVS. He missed four weeks earlier this season after being placed on injured reserve due to a hamstring injury he sustained in Week 3. While he was out, no other Packers pass catcher stepped up in a way that would make you believe Valdes-Scantling has slid down the pecking order.

He will continue to operate as Green Bay’s No. 2 receiver behind Davante Adams. And anyone who is getting targeted by Rodgers needs to be considered.

Should fantasy football managers target Valdes-Scantling off the waiver wire in Week 12?

Let’s be honest — this is not a good week for waiver wire claims. If you need a receiver, Valdes-Scantling is one of the better options. He is in consideration along with Cedrick Wilson and Van Jefferson. While MVS is volatile, he arguably has the highest rest-of-season upside among those three choices.

Wilson will revert to the WR3 role in Dallas once CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper return, and we need to see how the Rams try to incorporate Jefferson with Odell Beckham Jr. now on the roster.

With Valdes-Scantling, we expect him to remain the Packers’ No. 2 option even after Allen Lazard returns. There will always be a massive risk when starting MVS due to his boom-or-bust usage.

However, we could see Green Bay in another shootout with the Rams in Week 12, which could put Valdes-Scantling in a similar game script as last week. He has WR2 upside, but he also has a WR5 floor on Sunday.

Tommy Garrett is a Fantasy Analyst for Pro Football Network and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). You can read all of Tommy’s work here, listen to him on PFN’s Fantasy Football podcast, and check out his contributions in PFN’s free fantasy newsletter. Give him a follow on Twitter: @TommyGarrettPFN.