The Green Bay Packers have been a bit of an offensive surprise thus far in 2023. Despite missing 2022 breakout receiver Christian Watson, they’ve been top eight in points thus far. With Aaron Rodgers gone, the young team has been a revelation, and one player that’s been solid so far is TE Luke Musgrave.
Tight end scoring in fantasy football continues to be just the elite players and everyone else. Despite being a rookie, Musgrave is already showing real potential. Is Musgrave a worthwhile waiver addition or better left to someone else?
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Should Luke Musgrave Be a Fantasy Waiver Wire Add in Week 3?
Currently the TE12 on the season in half-PPR, Musgrave is off to a fantastic start. Week 3 may have kicked off a stretch of quality production. After three and two catches, respectively, in the first couple of weeks, Musgrave caught six of eight targets in Week 3. He put up 49 yards, falling a yard short of his 50-yard Week 1 output.
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Musgrave has been running high-value routes. While not a huge red-zone factor, Musgrave has been utilized downfield repeatedly. He currently leads all tight ends in average depth of target (aDOT) at 13.7 and sits fourth in air yards (96). He’s been a big part of the Packers’ offense and should continue growing into a better option.
The biggest concern with Musgrave is what’s been missing in Green Bay. The presumed top option, Watson, has yet to suit up for the Packers, and that leaves it challenging to project what could happen to Musgrave’s role in the future. On a short week and missing practice Monday, Watson seems likely to also miss Week 4.
The timing of that makes Musgrave, at the very least, a strong streaming option. The Packers play the Detroit Lions on Thursday night, and that is great news for Musgrave.
Any guesses where the Lions rank in fantasy points allowed to the TE position? Anyone who said the second-most points would be correct!
The Lions have also allowed the most targets (35), receptions (24), and yards (253). The only reason they’re not last is that they’ve managed to allow a single touchdown, while teams at 32 and 30 allowed three each.
That means Musgrave should have a stable floor with a solid ceiling in Week 4 for anyone needing a tight end this week.
At the end of the day, Musgrave is worth an add for most leagues, especially deeper ones. The elite TEs are not worth benching, but for many, he’s likely to perform better than an underperforming starter.
Musgrave already has two top-12 TE finishes, and this week will likely result in a third. Add him this week and fire him up as a starter you can be confident in. You very well could have a starting option at a barren position for the rest of 2023.
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