The Buffalo Bills will face the San Francisco 49ers in Week 13. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding QB Josh Allen.
Is Josh Allen Playing in Week 13?
Josh is not listed on the injury report this week, so barring any setbacks, he is on track to play this weekend.
We’ll continue to monitor the Bills’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.
Should You Start or Sit Josh Allen in Week 13?
Why is Josh Allen’s interception rate (1.5%) trending toward a career low? His quick pass rate sits at 67%, easily a career-high (2023: 58.4%). I find that to be an interesting approach in this matchup, specifically against a defense that blitzes at the third-lowest rate in the league.
Will Allen hold the ball longer and thus create splash-play opportunities? Will San Francisco sit in coverage and attempt to jump those quick hitters?
The nerd in me will be on full display when watching this game, but from a fantasy lineup setting scope, there’s nothing to act on. Allen has a rushing touchdown or multiple passing touchdowns in six straight contests, finishing as a top-10 signal-caller in five of those games. I don’t think this will be a peak Allen performance, but I find it highly unlikely that you lose your Week 13 matchup because you put your trust in the MVP front-runner.
Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Week 13 Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.
Josh Allen’s Fantasy Points Projection in Week 13
As of 8 AM ET on Sunday morning, Allen is projected to score 23.3 fantasy points in Week 13. This includes 245.4 passing yards, 1.9 passing touchdowns, and 0.7 interceptions. It also includes 6.5 rushing attempts for 35.9 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.
Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.
PFN Insight on the Rams' Defense
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been recovering from a terrible start to become a league-average unit. After ranking outside the top 20 in the first three weeks, the Rams had ranked inside that mark in the following eight games, with four ranking inside the top 12. After dropping outside the top 20 in Week 12, they ranked sixth against the Saints in Week 13.
That has left Los Angeles performing slightly below last year's numbers, which, given it changed defensive coordinator and lost Aaron Donald, is not a huge surprise.
The Rams have struggled in the passing game this year, but despite losing Donald, they've been much better at putting pressure on opponents without having to blitz (33.1%; 12th). Los Angeles has improved its sack (7.3%; 15th) and turnover (12.0%; 11th) rates this year.
If the big plays on the back end can be eliminated, this pass defense has a ton of potential. The run defense, however, remains a concern. They've been exposed at times in each of the last three weeks.
The Rams improved on the ground against Alvin Kamara and the Saints as the game went on but were still vulnerable to the big play.
For more insight on all other team defenses, head to our PFN Defense+ Metric Analysis.
Josh Allen’s Fantasy Ranking
Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 11:40 AM ET on Sunday, December 8. If you're in a Superflex league, make sure you check out our Weekly Consensus Superflex Rankings.
Week 14 QB PPR Rankings
1) Josh Allen | BUF (at LAR)
2) Jalen Hurts | PHI (at CAR)
3) Joe Burrow | CIN (at DAL)
4) Kyler Murray | ARI (vs. SEA)
5) Baker Mayfield | TB (vs. LV)
6) Tua Tagovailoa | MIA (vs. NYJ)
7) Patrick Mahomes | KC (vs. LAC)
8) Brock Purdy | SF (vs. CHI)
9) Jared Goff | DET (at GB)
10) Justin Herbert | LAC (at KC)
11) Sam Darnold | MIN (vs. ATL)
12) Jordan Love | GB (vs. DET)
13) Russell Wilson | PIT (vs. CLE)
14) Geno Smith | SEA (at ARI)
15) Will Levis | TEN (vs. JAX)
16) Matthew Stafford | LAR (vs. MIN)
17) Derek Carr | NO (at NYG)
18) Jameis Winston | CLE (at PIT)
19) Caleb Williams | CHI (at SF)
20) Bryce Young | CAR (vs. PHI)
21) Kirk Cousins | ATL (at MIN)
22) Aaron Rodgers | NYJ (at MIA)
23) Aidan O'Connell | LV (at TB)
24) Cooper Rush | DAL (vs. CIN)
25) Drew Lock | NYG (vs. NO)
26) Mac Jones | JAX (at TEN)
27) Justin Fields | PIT (vs. CLE)
28) Tommy DeVito | NYG (vs. NO)
29) Desmond Ridder | LV (at TB)
30) Brandon Allen | SF (vs. CHI)
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams Trends
Buffalo Bills
Team: This is Buffalo's first of two straight on the road. They had a three-game road trip earlier in the season, and that’s where they ran into problems (1-2 from Weeks 4-6, road games against the Ravens, Texans, and Jets).
QB: Josh Allen’s reckless aggression is gone, and it looks good on him. On non-pressured pass attempts this season, his average depth of throw sits at just six yards (career average: 7.4), and that has supported an upward ticking passer rating in such spots (2022: 96.6, 2023: 101.9, and 2024: 108.4).
Offense: Buffalo has scored a touchdown on seven of eight red zone trips over their past two games (Chiefs and 49ers) – they converted at a 62.8% rate this season prior.
Defense: The Bills have forced a turnover on over 20% of opponent drives in three straight games, a rate they hit just once in the first nine weeks of this season.
Fantasy: Teams are loading up to stop the run against Buffalo, and it doesn’t really matter. James Cook has run into a loaded box 49.7% of the time this season (2023: 24.9%,) and despite the chaos in front of him, his yards per carry after contact this season are up 15.9% from a season ago.
Betting: Unders are 5-2 in the Bills’ past seven road games.
Los Angeles Rams
Team: Nine of Los Angeles’ 12 games this season have been decided by a single score
QB: Matthew Stafford has completed just one of his 12 pressured pass attempts over the past two weeks.
Offense: For just the second time this season, on Sunday, the Rams converted all of their red zone drives into touchdowns (three-for-three at Saints).
Defense: Bend-don’t-break. The Rams allowed the Saints to average 8.5 plays per drive, the most they’ve allowed in a game this season, but they surrendered just 14 points.
Fantasy: Kyren Williams ran for a season-high 104 yards against the Saints on Sunday and ran for his 10th score, but the pass game involvement has evaporated (one target over the past three weeks), and the splash plays are non-existent (zero gains of over 30 yards on his 248 touches this season).
Betting: The Rams have failed to cover four of their past five home games.