If you’re betting on Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Giants player props for Week 7, you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated as well as fall short of expectations.
Top Jaguars vs. Giants Player Props To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.
Jaguars Player Props
The Giants’ defense has been solid against the pass. However, they’re giving up the most yards per carry (5.6) in the league. Interestingly, they’re also tied for second with only two rushing touchdowns yielded.
What do we do with this information? We dig deeper to understand the context. For example, in their first six games, the Giants have given up passing a total of five TDs from one, two, four, seven, and 12 yards away. They’ve also forced opponents to kick seven field goals between the 4- and 14-yard lines.
So while the Giants have “only” given up two rushing touchdowns, opponents have knocked on New York’s doorstep a lot. Jacksonville is 18th in red-zone TD conversions, hitting paydirt 55% of the time. Whether it’s through the air or on the ground, they should find success against this typically bend-don’t-break defense.
Trevor Lawrence rushing yards over 13.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Lawrence passing TDs over 1.5
(+105) — DraftKings
Lawrence passing yards under 228.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Travis Etienne Jr. rushing yards over 48.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Christian Kirk over 49.5 yards
(-120) — DraftKings
Zay Jones over 39.5 yards
(-115) — DraftKings
Giants Player Props
Is Wan’Dale Robinson the real deal? Given how the preseason began, it was fair to wonder if the rookie would be anything more than the No. 3 or No. 4 receiver with Kenny Golladay, Kadarius Toney, and Sterling Shepard competing for targets. Instead, Robinson might be the mainstay go-to receiver Daniel Jones has been waiting for.
Facing the Jaguars’ stout run defense (third-best in the NFL, averaging 3.6 yards per carry), New York might need a lot more than Saquon Barkley to prevail. Sounds strange, given how central Barkley’s been to this team’s offense, especially as they’ve cycled through receivers like I cycle through umbrellas. (Where do they all go . . .)
MORE: Top Jaguars vs. Giants DFS Lineup
But before we get too excited about the Giants’ improving passing game, consider that Jacksonville at home has been much different than Jacksonville on the road, giving up merely one touchdown in two games and an average of 148 passing yards.
Sure, they faced Houston and Indianapolis, so we should have some perspective. Yet, the Giants’ passing attack resides in the bottom five of the league.
Daniel Jones rushing yards under 34.5
(-120) — DraftKings
Jones passing TDs under 1.5
(-270) — DraftKings
Jones passing yards under 195.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Saquon Barkley over 76.5 rushing yards
(-115) — DraftKings