Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer: A.J. Brown has never been more affordable

With a slew of bye weeks and injuries upon us, let's look at the Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer to shore up your roster for Week 7.

I’ll be your Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer as Week 7 approaches. I really don’t like being the harbinger of bad news. I don’t. It’s not fun. But, as an analyst, I have a responsibility to provide accurate information. That begins by informing you that, after the conclusion of tonight’s Monday Night Football clash between the Titans and Bills, #Byepocalypse is upon us. 

Teams on a bye in Week 7: Buffalo Bills, Los Angeles Chargers, Dallas Cowboys, Jacksonville Jaguars, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Minnesota Vikings.

Dear lord. That’s four of the top-10 quarterbacks, four of the top-seven running backs, and nine of the top-30 wide receivers. *hyperventilating* It’s okay, breathe. We’ll get through this together. 

Now is a good time to take a look around your fantasy league and see if you can swing a trade to fill some of those gaps, so let’s go over some candidates to trade for or trade away.

Week 7 Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer | Three players to trade for this week

Who are the top players to trade for that you won’t have to spend lavishly to acquire?

Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle was a locked-and-loaded trade target last week, and all he did on Sunday was reel in 10 receptions on 13 targets for 70 yards and 2 TDs. Yes, he balled out. Yes, I’m still calling him a buy. Sometimes, it’s okay to buy high. Waddle is growing in the NFL, looks like a PPR machine, and will continue to be one of the key features in an offense with Tua Tagovailoa back under center.

There will likely be some lean weeks — he’s a rookie on a not-so-great offense — but the ceiling is the roof for Waddle on a weekly basis. He’s exactly what I want on my roster as a WR2 or flex play, and that’s weekly boom potential.

A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans

Heading into the season, A.J. Brown was widely regarded as a top-tier WR. But through five games (he has yet to play on Monday Night Football), he has yet to record more than 4 receptions or top 49 receiving yards in any game and has only scored double-digit fantasy points in one contest. That’s not great, but it’s hard to think it’ll continue.

While Derrick Henry has been leading the universe in rush attempts, Tennessee’s passing game has taken a back seat. The Titans have thrown the ball the fifth-fewest times this season, with only 174 attempts through five games. Brown has never been a highly-targeted wide receiver — instead, he’s thrived thanks to efficiency and an ability to score touchdowns. 

In suggesting that you trade for Brown, I’m indicating that his volume, efficiency, and lack of touchdowns are all bound to positively regress closer to the mean. If his current manager is apoplectic because of his current WR84 ranking, see if you can acquire him for cheap. Brighter days are ahead.

Michael Carter, RB, New York Jets

In recent games, Michael Carter has been getting some run as the lead back for the Jets. In the two games prior to New York’s Week 6 bye, Carter saw a total of 23 carries, while Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson handled 7 each. Carter is the lead back for the Jets — by a lot.

The total stats haven’t quite been there, but Carter found the end zone in each of the previous two games. He looks like a viable flex, especially in a Week 7 landscape decimated by injuries and bye weeks. If the Jets’ offense can find ways to sustain some drives — they’ve run the fourth-fewest plays of any offense this year — Carter will find more opportunities, and therefore more fantasy points. He’s a great trade target.

Week 7 Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer | Three players to trade away this week

Who could you flip to help bring more assets to your fantasy squad?

Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team

Remember when Antonio Gibson was supposed to be a breakout running back this year? So do I. It hasn’t happened. Washington is quite stubbornly intent on utilizing J.D. McKissic in the passing game, and they also used him to spell Gibson while he’s dealt with a stress fracture in his shin. 

Gibson seems intent on playing through his injury, but it’s apparent it was bothering him yesterday. He logged 10 carries for 44 yards with 2 catches for zero yards. Meanwhile, McKissic carried it 8 times for 45 yards and was heavily used in the passing game to the tune of 8 receptions for 65 yards. 

Between workload questions and a nagging injury, it’s hard to imagine Gibson being anything more than an RB2 for the rest of the season. If you can sell at name value, do it.

Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens

The Baltimore Ravens felt a need to address their wide receiver position this last offseason and did so by using a first-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft on Rashod Bateman. Bateman missed the first five weeks with a groin injury but was activated from the injured reserve this weekend.

Marquise Brown has had a very solid start to the season, scoring 5 touchdowns through the first five weeks, topping 90 yards three times, and receiving 10 targets in two games. Over those first five weeks, Brown was the WR6 in half-PPR scoring. I’m here to tell you that his value will never be higher.

In his career debut, Bateman outpaced Brown, 6 targets to 5. That’s not good news for the veteran. While Brown will still have value, Bateman is here to at worst be a thorn in Brown’s side and at best take over as a dominant lead WR for Lamar Jackson. Sell Brown while you can.

Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton looked absolutely fantastic on Sunday, which makes it the perfect time to cash out. As is the case with most “sell” candidates, I’m not suggesting that you sell for nothing. However, with the return of Jerry Jeudy on the horizon, Sutton’s 25 targets in the last two weeks are bound to regress.

Sutton is the WR5 over the last two weeks, converting 15 of those 25 targets into 214 yards and 2 touchdowns. It won’t last.

Sutton is a physical, 6’4″ wide receiver capable of being an alpha. But with Jeudy in the mix, the volume won’t be there to sustain these performances. He’s a great trade chip to add depth to your roster, which is critical as bye weeks and injuries begin to mount. 

Jon Helmkamp is a fantasy football and NFL contributor for Pro Football Network. You can find him on Twitter: @JonHelmkamp and find more of his work here. Don’t forget to listen to the PFN Fantasy Football podcast and check out our free fantasy newsletter.

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