If you’re looking for early Week 6 DFS targets before crafting your lineups, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess which player on each team has a great shot at outproducing expectations. Some of these guys will be pricey for good reasons. Others might be cheap, high-upside bargains.
Favorite Week 6 Undervalued DFS Targets
The following recommended fantasy football lineup (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aims to lock in a relatively high floor while maximizing upside.
Thursday Night Football
The challenge with Chicago is that the best players don’t have realistic paths to 25+ DFS points. Minnesota has Justin Jefferson. Detroit has D’Andre Swift (when healthy). Green Bay has Aaron Jones. And that’s just the NFC North. Almost every team has an elite-upside talent.
But the Bears don’t (yet). Still, no one is safer or has higher upside than Justin Fields, who’s beginning to find his groove in an otherwise top-heavy offense. I can envision him throwing for one score, rushing for another, and producing 250+ total yards against a middling-at-best Washington defense.
Speaking of the Commanders, I’d opt for Logan Thomas if healthy or the ultra-cheap Cole Turner if he isn’t. Turner played on 51% of his team’s snaps last weekend, and the rookie is poised for continued looks if Thomas remains sidelined.
Sunday 1 p.m. Eastern Games
There are eight games on this docket, and if you’re good at math, you know that means 16 teams. So here we go with a rundown.
Steelers vs. Buccaneers
In the Steelers-Buccaneers contest, don’t get cute with an expensive receiver, especially since George Pickens is officially post-hype in DFS competitions, and therefore, a bit pricey. I’d rather go with Kenny Pickett, who did everything but score while throwing for 327 yards against the Bills.
Since the start of last season, only Tom Brady has thrown for more yards in a regular-season game against Buffalo. Speaking of Tampa Bay, Cade Otton is the de facto No. 1 TE barring something unforeseen, and he’d be a great fill-in in an otherwise top-heavy lineup.
Falcons vs. 49ers
Shifting to the Falcons vs. 49ers, I recommended bargain Olamide Zaccheaus in DFS last weekend. This Sunday, I’m eyeing the very cheap Younghoe Koo in what could be a low-scoring game.
For San Francisco, expect a rebound for Deebo Samuel. Yes, he’s very expensive, and he’s also clear and away the cornerstone of any DFS lineup in this contest.
Browns vs. Patriots
Who’s looking forward to the Browns vs. Patriots? That makes two of us, and likely millions more. Nick Chubb’s price tag will be exorbitant for all the right reasons. The challenge is that there are no safer options.
Even Amari Cooper brings boom-bust baggage. And for New England, Rhamondre Stevenson is “the guy” with chaos at QB and the Patriots’ desperation to play to their strength so they don’t fall to 2-4.
Packers vs. Jets
We can’t trust anyone in Green Bay’s receiving corps, at least not yet, especially with Aaron Rodgers on pace for less than 4,000 passing yards. I’m all in on a rebound game for Aaron Jones.
For New York, there’s no avoiding Breece Hall. He was the first RB taken in this year’s NFL draft for good reasons.
Colts vs. Jaguars
How about that Colts-Jaguars rematch? I’m looking forward to seeing if Indy can avenge two straight inexplicably lopsided losses. If Jonathan Taylor’s healthy, he’s the unquestioned DFS go-to. I don’t care if he’s three times as expensive as Alec Pierce (hint: he probably won’t be). Taylor will carry this team if he’s back in the fold.
For Jacksonville, expect a big rebound performance for Christian Kirk after his Week 5 implosion.
Dolphins vs. Vikings
All eyes are on who will be quarterbacking for Miami, as well as whether their top two receivers will be healthy. There are no other “safe” options. Raheem Mostert isn’t used enough in the passing game to bring value unless he scores.
I’d go with Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle — whoever is healthiest. And for Minnesota, of course Justin Jefferson, whatever his DFS price.
Saints vs. Bengals
A lot of people will say Taysom Hill. And who can blame them? Except Cincy’s run defense is pretty good, and he’ll be pricier than usual. With all the injuries to the team’s receivers, as well as to Jameis Winston, it’s honestly too soon to know which guy will be the best bargain. But for now, Alvin Kamara is the safest option.
I’m also all in on a rebound for Ja’Marr Chase. Cincinnati needs to go back to the drawing board, and that should lead to 12+ targets for their co-No. 1 WR.
Giants vs. Ravens
For the final 1 p.m. game, it would seem safe to bet on Saquon Barkley. But . . . if Darius Slayton is a third of the price, and if he’s starting, then I believe Slayton will bring better price-based value. (Of course, start Barkley as you would normally.)
For Baltimore, it’s Mark Andrews for the win. I don’t care what his price is. He and Lamar Jackson are like jam and jam. They belong in the same jar.
Sunday 4 p.m. Eastern Games
Rams vs. Panthers
For LA, the easy answer is Cooper Kupp. So let’s keep it easy. For Carolina, I’m actually not high on Christian McCaffrey as a “bargain,” because I doubt he’ll exceed 15 DFS points. Instead, assuming Shi Smith is less than half the price of DJ Moore, roll with Smith and hope P.J. Walker connects with him frequently in catch-up mode.
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
This contest should feature a heavy dose of Kenneth Walker III. Is he ready? How expensive will he be? I’d rather pay more for the high-flying Geno Smith against a barely middling defense.
While Marquise Brown makes sense for Arizona in a vacuum, if we’re talking value (and we are), then the considerably cheaper Eno Benjamin would be a must-play if James Conner and Darrel Williams sit.
Chiefs vs. Bills
The final 4 p.m. contest features one of the greatest games not yet played, in a rematch of one of the greatest playoff games ever played. For the Chiefs, I can’t get excited about anyone in their backfield against Buffalo, which I also believe will do everything in their power to not let Travis Kelce beat them.
Instead, I’d roll with Patrick Mahomes as the best value play, regardless of his price. And for Buffalo, I pushed Gabe Davis last week and will push him again, assuming he’s at least 15% cheaper than Stefon Diggs.
Sunday Night Football
Eagles vs. Cowboys. 5-0 vs. 4-1. It doesn’t get much better than this in mid-October. For Philly, Jalen Hurts should be the highest producer in this game. It would be shocking if he isn’t, although a rebounding A.J. Brown seems likely. Still, I’d go with Hurts as the best bargain, despite his steep price.
For Dallas, rookie Jake Ferguson gets my vote if Dalton Schultz is on the shelf. While Ferguson might not net more than six DFS points, he also might be the cheapest starter available. Not a bad way to backfill a top-heavy lineup.
Monday Night Football
Finally, for the Chargers vs. the Broncos, let’s not get cute with Joshua Kelley. Austin Ekeler offers weekly 20+ point potential and should be in all DFS lineups. For Denver, it’s tough to bet on Russell Wilson with his should injury.
That said, if the price is right on Mike Boone (if he’s considerably cheaper than Melvin Gordon III), then I’d roll with Boone and hope he catches a few more balls.
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