Should You Start Drake London or Michael Thomas in Fantasy Football Week 4?

Drake London and Michael Thomas are polar opposites in terms of range of outcomes for fantasy football -- who is the better start in Week 4?

We’re diving into the outlook for Drake London fantasy managers and the same for Michael Thomas fantasy managers. To do this at any level, we’ll also dive into some discussion on fantasy football strategy. London and Thomas are massively different players, so who should you start in Week 4?

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Drake London Fantasy Outlook This Week

London fantasy managers have had quite a roller coaster ride so far in 2023. Such is the life of rostering a Falcons pass catcher with this offense. London has played over 80% of snaps in every game so far this season and has seen his targets fluctuate from one to eight to six in his three games.

The floor of London was on full display in Week 1, as London didn’t haul in his one target, giving fantasy managers a big goose egg. He bounced back strongly in Week 2 with six catches for 67 yards and a TD, finishing as WR21 in half-PPR leagues. Last week, he caught just two of six targets for 31 scoreless yards, good for WR80.

This week, London travels to, well, London, to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars matchup is fine for fantasy, as they’ve allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to WRs. The Jaguars’ stingy defense has limited points to RBs, so Atlanta may have to open up the passing game again to put up points.

Michael Thomas Fantasy Outlook This Week

Thomas, like London, has played a good amount, seeing over 75% of snaps every week so far despite how minimally he’s played the last couple of seasons. Thomas has seen eight or nine targets in every game this season.

Despite that, Thomas has had minimal fantasy impact. He’s caught five to seven of those targets weekly for between 50 and 61 total yards. He’s also yet to find the end zone in 2023. This has led to between eight and nine half-PPR fantasy points in every game, with finishes between WR38 and WR49 on the year.

Week 4 sees the Saints host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and their defense, which has struggled to slow down the pass all year. The Buccaneers have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to WRs on the year while being right around middle of the pack to RBs.

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Derek Carr seems unlikely to play, so Jameis Winston could change the pecking order. Winston threw four TDs in 2022 with the Saints, three of which went to Thomas. The other thing is Alvin Kamara will return from suspension in Week 4. Kamara’s return may lead to a change in the offense, but that’s an unknown still.

Which of the Atlanta Falcons’ or New Orleans Saints’ WRs Should You Start?

The biggest issue for managers deciding between London and Thomas in Week 4 is what your team needs. London has a good matchup and has the potential to put up great numbers, as he did in Week 2. Thomas has the floor to give fantasy managers, where he’s unlikely to give a zero but hasn’t shown any upside.

Ultimately, the choice comes down to how each person manages. I’ll always target ceiling outcomes since most fantasy matchups are won by a couple of big weeks from players rather than everyone giving you 10 points. If your lineup has significant volatility already though, maybe a safer option like Thomas makes more sense.

Realistically, both are viable. And if you’re rostering both, they pair well together. Ideally, someone like Thomas as a WR2 with safe volume (and some upside with Winston’s TDs going to him), while an upside play like London in the Flex spot is always good. Nonetheless, London feels like a better play.

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