If you’re competing in a DFS tournament or 50/50 competition for Sunday’s Divisional Round games featuring the Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve run through dozens of potential game scripts to arrive at the most likely scenarios and how these scenarios would impact fantasy football performances. Here are our top NFL DFS picks and recommended lineup, based on DraftKings pricing.
Top NFL DFS DraftKings picks for Sunday’s Divisional Round | QB, RBs
This lineup assumes the Rams’ offense thrives against a hit-or-miss Buccaneers defense. It also assumes Buffalo’s bell-cow running back continues to flash.
Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams ($6,200)
Matthew Stafford has waited a long time for this moment. The Rams have lost four games since Week 3, and all were to playoff teams. In those four losses, he averaged 18.4 DFS fantasy points. It’s been hard to slow Stafford this year, and with his star running back finally healthy, he has the weapons to (quite possibly) maneuver through the Bucs’ defense.
Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills ($5,900)
Had the Bills continued to stubbornly split touches among Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, and Matt Breida, this would have been a backfield to avoid. Instead, Singletary has rightfully emerged as the team’s bell cow. The 2019 third-round pick sports a terrific 4.6 yards-per-carry mark and 40 receptions. Formerly underappreciated, he’s now a main cog in a dynamic offense.
Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams ($5,500)
Even if Stafford has a huge day, there’s room for Cam Akers to shine. Akers secured progressively more catches each college season, culminating in 30 (in 11 games) his senior year. He is a true every-down back who last week earned a healthy 18 touches in his second game back from an Achilles tear. As long as the Rams are competitive today, Akers should earn his DFS price.
Top NFL DFS DraftKings picks for Sunday’s Divisional Round | WRs
These receivers assume Tampa Bay’s top remaining healthy/unretired wideout steps up. It also assumes the Rams’ passing attack keeps pace with Tampa Bay’s stellar offense.
Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams ($8,600)
The last time Cooper Kupp faced Tom Brady (Week 3 this season), he crushed it with 9 catches for 96 yards and 2 touchdowns. The previous time (Week 11 last season), he racked up 11 catches for 145 yards. The time before that … well, it was supposed to be Super Bowl LIII in 2019. But an ACL tear prevented us from seeing what Kupp could do on the biggest stage against the league’s top defense.
The side story for today’s game is Kupp vs. Brady. Can this season’s top wideout lead his team to victory over the league’s most prolific quarterback? This lineup assumes Kupp once again will rise to the occasion.
Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,800)
Mike Evans has more career outings with 12+ targets (22) than 5 or fewer (20). With Chris Godwin on the injured reserve and Antonio Brown semi-retired, arrows point to a big-target game for Brady’s No. 1 receiver. Whether that translates into 100+ yards and a score is anyone’s guess. But in DFS, volume is the gateway to production.
Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Los Angeles Rams ($5,300)
We tried to make this lineup work with Tyreek Hill ($6,600) or Stefon Diggs ($6,500). But we couldn’t justify downgrading at one or two other positions. The fact is, either the Rams will boom or bust today. There’s not a lot of middle ground, especially facing the defending Super Bowl champions — a team that’s given up more 20-plus-yard pass plays (76) than any other team. Beckham is a strong play if we’re invested in the Rams’ offense.
Top NFL DFS DraftKings picks for Sunday’s Divisional Round | TE, Flex, D/ST
This lineup assumes Josh Allen targets his star tight end at least once in the end zone. It also assumes the Bucs’ recently minted starting wideout finally breaks through while Kansas City’s defense steps up at home.
Dawson Knox, TE, Buffalo Bills ($4,900)
Dawson Knox is the third-most-expensive DFS TE in Sunday’s games, and he’s also averaging the third-most DFS TE fantasy points playing today. Although he’s not “safe” in a traditional betting sense, few NFL TEs can match his upside.
Tyler Johnson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3,700)
We could take a flyer on Emmanuel Sanders ($4,200), Cole Beasley ($4,000), Tyler Higbee ($4,000), or Mecole Hardman ($3,900). Each carries a similar boom-bust tag. The advantage of Johnson is his recently high offensive snap count (82% combined these past two weeks) and the reasonable expectation of 6+ targets, particularly with Breshad Perriman sidelined.
Kansas City Chiefs, D/ST ($2,800)
Have you seen any Chiefs in this DFS slate? Neither have we. This lineup assumes the mostly healthy Chiefs will spread the ball around to 2-3 running backs, four receivers, their all-world tight end, and of course, their dual-threat quarterback.
This lineup also assumes Kansas City’s defense will play their best football of the season — which should be good enough to win, even against the high-flying Bills.