Dolphins vs. Patriots Player Prop Bets for Sunday Night Football: Raheem Mostert, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Jaylen Waddle Are Guys To Target

It's Dolphins vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football, and our betting experts give their favorite player prop bets on Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and others.

Tonight, we have a Sunday Night Football matchup between two AFC East division rivals — the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots. The Dolphins are fresh off a shootout victory over the Chargers, while the Patriots lost a highly competitive contest against last year’s NFC Champions, the Eagles.

The star power is on the Dolphins’ side, with Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Tua Tagovailoa. For this Sunday Night Football matchup, how should we be approaching their player prop bets? We break those down for tonight and give you our favorite plays.

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Top Dolphins v. Patriots Player Prop Bets To Target

Our team of betting experts give out their favorite player prop bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

  • Passing Yards: 264.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
  • Pass Completions: 21.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
  • Pass Attempts: 34.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -130/Under +100)

Tagovailoa came out blasting last week, tossing up 45 passes and completing 28 for 466 yards and three touchdowns. The Dolphins are going to be very pass-heavy. The question for this week is whether Bill Belichick will find a way to stop it.

There may be some unknown to capitalize on here, but that can work both ways. As a result, I’m passing on Tua props for this one.

Raheem Mostert Player Props

  • Rushing Yards: 48.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  • Receiving Yards: 11.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
  • Receptions: 1.5 (Over -160/Under +124)
  • Rush Attempts: 11.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
  • Longest Rush: 12.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
  • Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +135
  • First Touchdown Scorer: +850

Mostert was the clear lead back last week with Jeff Wilson on IR and De’Von Achane out. Despite playing 73% of the snaps, he still carried the ball just 10 times.

This week, Achane is back. Plus, the Dolphins should get more resistance defensively from the Patriots compared to the Chargers. I don’t have an official play for Mostert, but I do have a lean.

Lean: Mostert under 11.5 rush attempts +105

Tyreek Hill Player Props

  • Receiving Yards: 79.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Receptions: 6.5 (Over +114/Under -145)
  • Longest Reception: 26.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
  • Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +110
  • First Touchdown Scorer: +650

If there’s one thing I’m not going to do, it’s bet any Hill under. So, it’s over or bust. But man, 79.5 and 6.5 for yards and receptions, respectively, are high numbers.

Of course, it’s warranted. Hill just caught 11 of 15 targets for 215 yards. Before the season, he said he wanted to become the first WR to hit 2,000 yards this season. I believed him then. I believe him now. But that doesn’t mean he won’t have some 5-60 games. I’m not touching this one.

Jaylen Waddle Player Props

  • Receiving Yards: 62.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Receptions: 4.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
  • Longest Reception: 24.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
  • Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +150
  • First Touchdown Scorer: +850

Make no mistake about it; this is not a 1A/1B scenario. Hill has been and remains the clear WR1. Waddle is the WR2. It was mindboggling that anyone thought Waddle could threaten Hill as the 1 last year. It remains equally as ridiculous this year.

With that said, Waddle has become the efficiency guy. He’s going to catch 4-5 passes, but he can easily rip off chunk gains and put up big numbers. Again, no official play here, but there is a lean.

Lean: Waddle’s longest reception over 24.5 yards -110

Mac Jones Player Props

  • Passing Yards: 243.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
  • Pass Completions: 22.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
  • Pass Attempts: 34.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -130/Under +100)

Jones looks much improved from the guy who was temporarily benched for Bailey Zappe last season. And I’m buying into it. Against a tough Eagles defense, Jones threw for 316 yards and 3 touchdowns last week.

The Dolphins limited Justin Herbert to just 229 yards and 1 touchdown, but a lot of that seemed flukey. They still scored 34 points. I think the Patriots will score in this one, as well.

Lean: Jones over 1.5 passing touchdowns +105

Rhamondre Stevenson Player Props

  • Rushing Yards: 50.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  • Receiving Yards: 23.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
  • Receptions: 3.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
  • Longest Rush: 13.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  • Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -105
  • First Touchdown Scorer: +650

Stevenson got nothing going on the ground last week. Just 12 carries for 25 yards. His utility came as a receiver, where he caught six passes for 64 yards.

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I think we get a chance to pace this week, with Stevenson far more effective on the ground. The Dolphins had no answer for Austin Ekeler and Joshua Kelley last week. I’m not confident enough to bet it, but…

Lean: Stevenson’s longest rush over 13.5 yards -120

Kendrick Bourne Player Props

  • Receiving Yards: 38.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
  • Receptions: 3.5 (Over +100/Under -135)
  • Longest Reception: 17.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
  • Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +220
  • First Touchdown Scorer: +1200

With DeVante Parker out and JuJu Smith-Schuster’s knee set to detonate at any moment, Bourne served as the team’s WR1. He had one of the best games of his career, catching six passes for 64 yards and two touchdowns. It was just the third multi-touchdown game of Bourne’s career.

To be candid, I have no idea what to expect from this team’s WR corps. If Bourne does it again, I will buy into him as the top option. For now, I’m in wait-and-see mode. This is a pass.

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