D’Ernest Johnson’s Dynasty Value | Fantasy Outlook, Ranking, and More

As he's set to hit free agency, does D’Ernest Johnson’s dynasty value stand to increase in a meaningful way this offseason?

Jacksonville Jaguars RB D’Ernest Johnson’s dynasty value is rooted in hope. The undrafted RB out of USF has only been unleashed four times over the course of his five NFL seasons, and when he was, he showed out well.

That said, starting gigs are hard to find, and there is no obvious way for Johnson, entering his age-28 season, to walk into a fantasy football-friendly role. Should dynasty managers roll the dice, or is it wiser to look elsewhere for value over the next few seasons?

D’Ernest Johnson’s Dynasty Outlook

Fantasy goodness occurs at the intersection of talent and opportunity. Without a large sample size for consideration, it’s hard to be positive about the former in the case of Johnson, but he has given us signs of hope in limited opportunities.

In his four career games with 10 carries, Johnson has looked like a fantasy starter:

There were 39 running backs who played at least eight games and averaged 10+ carries per game. That’s not too much to ask, is it?

The growth of Johnson as a versatile option is encouraging. During his professional career, 18.4% of his touches have come by way of the passing game, up from 14.6% in his collegiate career.

MORE: Fantasy Football News Tracker

Naturally, some of that number is a product of the situations in which he has been on the field, but at the very least, it would appear that his skill set is that of a productive fantasy option.

The downside, of course, is a lack of opportunity. Johnson touched the ball just 51 times in his 17 games with the Jaguars last season. As good as he has been when given the opportunity, the fact that NFL teams have refused to expand his role is a problem and the result of his low ranking for me.

Johnson’s Dynasty Ranking

Where does Johnson land in the dynasty RB landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Johnson lands in comparison to other top names at the position.

1) Bijan Robinson | ATL
2) Christian McCaffrey | SF
3) Breece Hall | NYJ
4) Jonathan Taylor | IND
5) Jahmyr Gibbs | DET
6) Travis Etienne Jr. | JAX
7) Kyren Williams | LAR
8) James Cook | BUF
9) Saquon Barkley | NYG
10) Kenneth Walker III | SEA
11) De’Von Achane | MIA
12) Isiah Pacheco | KC
13) Tony Pollard | DAL
14) Alvin Kamara | NO
15) Javonte Williams | DEN
16) Rhamondre Stevenson | NE
17) Josh Jacobs | LV
18) D’Andre Swift | PHI
19) Rachaad White | TB
20) Aaron Jones | GB
21) Zamir White | LV
22) Austin Ekeler | LAC
23) Tyjae Spears | TEN
24) Joe Mixon | CIN
25) Nick Chubb | CLE

26) Najee Harris | PIT
27) David Montgomery | DET
28) Brian Robinson Jr. | WAS
29) Jaylen Warren | PIT
30) Raheem Mostert | MIA
31) Derrick Henry | TEN
32) Khalil Herbert | CHI
33) James Conner | ARI
34) Kendre Miller | NO
35) Zach Charbonnet | SEA
36) Roschon Johnson | CHI
37) Dameon Pierce | HOU
38) Tank Bigsby | JAX
39) J.K. Dobbins | BAL
40) AJ Dillon | GB
41) Miles Sanders | CAR
42) Alexander Mattison | MIN
43) Gus Edwards | BAL
44) Zack Moss | IND
45) Tyler Allgeier | ATL
46) Chuba Hubbard | CAR
47) Elijah Mitchell | SF
48) Jerome Ford | CLE
49) Antonio Gibson | WAS
50) Devin Singletary | HOU

51) Justice Hill | BAL
52) Darrell Henderson Jr. | FA
53) Jamaal Williams | NO
54) Chase Brown | CIN
55) Rashaad Penny | PHI
56) Kenneth Gainwell | PHI
57) Deuce Vaughn | DAL
58) D’Onta Foreman | CHI
59) Jordan Mason | SF
60) Sean Tucker | TB
61) Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN
62) Samaje Perine | DEN
63) Pierre Strong Jr. | CLE
64) Cam Akers | MIN
65) Michael Carter | ARI
66) Leonard Fournette | BUF
67) Damien Harris | BUF
68) Jeff Wilson Jr. | MIA
69) Ezekiel Elliott | NE
70) Zach Evans | LAR
71) Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC
72) Jerick McKinnon | KC
73) Kareem Hunt | CLE
74) Israel Abanikanda | NYJ
75) DeWayne McBride | MIN

76) Evan Hull | IND
77) Malik Davis | DAL
78) Isaiah Spiller | LAC
79) Eric Gray | NYG
80) Zonovan Knight | DET
81) Cordarrelle Patterson | ATL
82) Chase Edmonds | TB
83) Keaontay Ingram | KC
84) Joshua Kelley | LAC
85) Ty Chandler | MIN
86) James Robinson | GB
87) D’Ernest Johnson | JAX
88) Dalvin Cook | BAL
89) Tyrion Davis-Price | SF
90) Chris Evans | CIN

Should You Trade Johnson in Dynasty?

Are you considering trading Johnson? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!

There is no way of knowing where Johnson will land at this moment. That said, the free agent pool at the running back position could leave some lead roles at least in question. Some of the RBs set to hit the market this offseason include:

It should be noted that more than half of those teams have a likely predecessor on their roster that they spent draft capital on, but the overall point remains that we are heading toward a game of musical chairs at the position.

Johnson averages 3.03 yards per carry after first contact for his career, a number that doesn’t happen by accident. He isn’t going to return anything in the trade market right now, but due to the talent he’s flashed, I’m keeping him as the last man on my roster if I have the space.

KEEP READING: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart

Do I think he turns into anything? Honestly, no. But given the movement at the position and the fact that it only takes one team to fall in love to make him an asset in 2024, Johnson is the type of lottery ticket I like to hold onto if it’s at all possible.

With the fantasy football season behind us, why not start preparing for your rookie drafts with our dynasty rookie rankings? Additionally, as you look to improve your team heading into 2024, our dynasty trade calculator can help you find the perfect deal to boost your championship chances.

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