David Montgomery Start/Sit Week 12: Montgomery set to feast on Thanksgiving

In a rematch with the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, what should fantasy managers expect from Bears RB David Montgomery?

David Montgomery is back, having played in the last two games on either side of the Chicago Bears’ bye week. Fantasy football managers might be frustrated by Montgomery’s production lately, and with him slated to play on Thanksgiving Day, a decision on whether to start him this week needs to be made early. What should we expect from Montgomery and the Bears’ offense on Thursday?

David Montgomery’s last two games haven’t been great

Montgomery was out from Weeks 5-8, returning to action in Week 9 against the Pittsburgh Steelers in a game that Justin Fields completely deserved to win, but I digress. The Bears then went into their bye week in Week 10, returning to play the Baltimore Ravens in Week 11.

Over those two games, Montgomery averaged 13.5 carries for 60.5 yards, adding only 1.5 receptions per game for an additional 13 yards through the air. He didn’t score a touchdown in either of the two games and failed to top 9 fantasy points in half-PPR formats. That’s less than ideal for a running back that was previously trusted as a high-end RB2 to start the season.

Detroit is a familiar foe

This division battle is one that Montgomery is no stranger to. He does incredibly well against Detroit, posting massive RB1 games against them in recent matchups. In his last two games against the Lions, Montgomery has rushed 40 times for 178 yards (4.45 ypc) and 4 TDs. That’ll work.

The Lions are soft against the run as well. They’re allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the RBs (23.2).

Last week, the Cleveland Browns ran for 184 yards and a TD against Detroit. Yes, Cleveland is a better team on the ground than the Bears, thanks to an excellent offensive line and the presence of Nick Chubb. I get it.

Still, with Fields slated to miss Thursday’s game, and with the Lions being so beatable on the ground, I would expect to see a heavy dose of Montgomery.

Fantasy expectations for Montgomery in Week 12

My advice? Start Montgomery. The Lions have given up some monster games on the ground this year, including a 4-score ground attack from Philadelphia three weeks ago. In games against teams that feature a lead back instead of a committee, Detroit has allowed a lead RB to go over 100 yards in five of eight games this season. Joe Mixon barely missed that mark with 94.

You’re starting Monty. He’s an RB2 at minimum with the potential for a top-five RB finish based on what he’s previously done against the Lions. Start Montgomery with confidence on Thanksgiving, and enjoy getting off to a strong start in Week 12 before the turkey is even out of the oven.

Jon Helmkamp is a fantasy football and NFL contributor for Pro Football Network. You can find him on Twitter: @JonHelmkamp and find more of his work here. Don’t forget to listen to the PFN Fantasy Football podcast and check out our free fantasy newsletter.

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