Curtis Samuel Fantasy Waiver Wire: Should I Pick Up the Commanders WR This Week?

Curtis Samuel has been up and down in 2023 for the Commanders. Is the Washington slot WR a worthwhile waiver addition for fantasy managers?

Predicting which Washington Commanders pass catcher(s) to start in fantasy football every week has been a huge challenge all season. None of them have shown any consistency, despite QB Sam Howell leading the NFL in pass attempts. Curtis Samuel is coming off a strong two-week showing. Is he a worthwhile waiver wire addition going into Week 15?

Should Curtis Samuel Be a Fantasy Waiver Wire Add in Week 15?

Predicting what fantasy options to start from the Commanders’ passing game is nearly impossible. Terry McLaurin has been up and down all year, Jahan Dotson has had a few big weeks, Logan Thomas has had some relevance for a couple of weeks, and Samuel has had some relevance on a few occasions.

Coming off the Commanders’ bye in Week 14, Samuel may be out there in some leagues despite a few relevant weeks before their week off. Is he worth adding, though? The answer probably depends on what your roster makeup is right now. However, for lineups that just lost a starter at the WR position with an injury, he’s worth taking a chance on.

Samuel is a hard play for teams in the fantasy playoffs, though. He actually has not eclipsed 60% of snaps in a game since Week 6. Over that span, he’s had just two weeks as a top-40 WR in fantasy. He’s seen at least five targets in four of those six games, including all his games over 50% of snaps.

The remaining schedule for the Commanders is the Los Angeles Rams, New York Jets, and San Francisco 49ers. Two of them, Los Angeles and San Francisco, should force the Commanders into a pass-happy game script. The Jets, though, have been shutting every passing game down and present a big risk.

For managers, the primary focus should be the Rams game, as getting through what’s typically the first week of the playoffs should be the goal. Worry about the following week once you’re through the first opponent. So what to make of the Rams game for the Commanders?

Well, surveying how the Rams defended the Ravens in Week 13, the primary slot CB was Cobie Durant. Durant has been decent in coverage all year, allowing just 23 catches for 313 yards and no touchdowns. While that doesn’t seem great, he’s allowed a higher passer rating when targeted than their outside CBs.

MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor

The likely lack of touchdown upside does severely limit expectations for Samuel. He’s likely to be a decent play not to leave you with a zero in your starting lineup, but he has only hit 10 half-PPR fantasy points in four of 12 games on the year and just once after Week 6.

Adding Samuel is the equivalent of swinging for a single in a baseball game or taking a checkdown option despite single coverage on the downfield route. His last six outings have seen him score fewer than five fantasy points four times. His last two were the two that beat that, so it’s all a matter of what you think.

Personally, I’ll look to avoid Samuel where possible. Other options like Dontayvion Wicks, Jalin Hyatt, and even Parker Washington are more interesting, albeit somewhat riskier, plays.

Just playing the “give me a few points game” from Samuel means you need your elite options in your starting lineup to deliver. I want to roll the dice on someone who can help push my lineup over the top as I chase a fantasy championship.

Looking to make a trade in your fantasy league? Having trouble deciding who to start and who to sit? Setting DFS lineups? Check out PFN’s Free Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer, Start/Sit Optimizer, and DFS Lineup Optimizer to help you make the right decision!

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