These two teams have combined for 10 Super Bowl titles and have plenty of history against one another. In fact, the winner of tonight’s game will hold the all-time edge in this series (current: 19-19-1), not to mention an important tie-breaker as we sort out the playoff seeds in December.
With that in mind, let’s walk through what this game could look like and build out some same game parlay picks for Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers!
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Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds
- Spread
49ers -3.5 - Moneyline
Cowboys +160, 49ers -192 - Total
45
We here at Soppe HQ like to encourage responsible gaming, and in that vein, I’ll always offer you a trivia question off the top of these articles. Pose this question to a buddy you are watching the game with: answer correctly, and you pay for the SGP, misfire, and he/she is on the hook.
Trivia Question: Dallas once won a Super Bowl that was played in California: Can you name the opponent or the MVP of that game?
Whether it’s fantasy football or betting on football, this game we love is one of matchups. Everybody at this level is supremely talented and more than capable of excelling in the right spot, but they are all also falling flat in the wrong spot.
While I understand that these are two of the top five teams in our Week 5 PFN NFL Power Rankings, I’m having a hard time projecting this game as close as most seem to think.
The 49ers are pacing for a third straight season in which they allow fewer than 4.0 yards per carry, and if they shut down Tony Pollard, this could get ugly in a hurry. Toss in the fact that the 49ers are +35 in first halves this season and have yet to be held under 17 points in the first 30 minutes — I like them to control this game from the hop.
With the 49ers consistently among the leaders in time of possession and Brock Purdy leading this offense to 30 points seemingly every game, a lack of Dallas balance could put Dak Prescott in a spot where he is needed to produce big plays. Can he do that in this spot? Consider me skeptical. Here are his recent yards per completion marks:
- 2019-20: 12.5 yards per completion
- 2021-22: 10.9
- 2023: 9.4
San Francisco owns the seventh-lowest blitz rate (and eighth-highest hurry rate) through four weeks, a defensive game plan that suggests that chunk plays through the air could be hard to come by, with the short pass game instead being Dallas’ only bet.
The Week 5 fantasy TE rankings include some younger options inside the top 10 who have proven capable of earning targets ahead of some bigger names. https://t.co/eS1huO1kiP
— PFN Fantasy (@PFNFantasy)
2023 average depth of target (aDOT):
- Michael Gallup: 8.9
- CeeDee Lamb: 7.9
- Brandin Cooks: 7.4
- Jake Ferguson: 4.4
We can agree that Dak’s best days as a runner are behind him (one game since last Halloween with 25 rush yards), right? The 49ers have played one stuck-in-the-pocket QB this season (Week 2 at Matthew Stafford).
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That week, Stafford’s aDOT was 28.3% lower than in his other three games this season, something I think we see happen with Prescott on Sunday night.
- Trivia Answer: Troy Aikman was the MVP of a 52-17 win over the Buffalo Bills (1992 season)
- Same Game Parlay Pick: 49ers halftime/fulltime, Cowboys under 20.5 points, Jake Ferguson 40+ receiving yards
- Odds: +660 at FanDuel