Colts vs. Jaguars Player Props: Jonathan Taylor, James Robinson, and Michael Pittman Jr. Are Top Targets

What are some of the top Colts vs. Jaguars player props to target for this week's game in Jacksonville? We highlight some of our favorite bets.

The AFC South was expected to be a dumpster fire this year, but the early results have been much more interesting than preseason projections. The matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars has some intriguing player prop bets to consider.

We’re covering all sports betting aspects of this matchup, with lines courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook. Want to cash in on the NFL this season? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.

Top Colts vs. Jaguars Player Props To Target

For this key AFC South showdown, we’re using every tool at our disposal to make sharp prop bets, including fantasy averages, player trends, and the best vig. Let’s dive into the best prop bets you can target.

Jonathan Taylor Anytime TD (-105)

As Taylor appears ready to return to the Colts lineup for the first time since suffering an ankle injury in Week 4, we have to once again be on board with the star rusher being more likely than not to score.

Sure, the Colts haven’t been overly successful on the ground, seeing Taylor average only 4.0 yards per carry and reach the paydirt once this season. But right now, he’s the guy this team must rely on since the passing game is struggling.

The Jaguars’ rush defense has been stellar this season, allowing only 3.7 yards per carry and the sixth-fewest yards total. It’s possible their 16th run defensive EPA is more telling than the raw numbers. This is unquestionably an uphill battle for Taylor and the Colts either way.

Still, I have faith in Taylor emerging sooner than later. There will be desperation in the air for Indianapolis as they look to grab a winning record.

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Christian Kirk Anytime TD (+210)

The last time these teams faced off in Week 2, Kirk caught 6 passes for 78 yards and 2 touchdowns. What have the Colts learned since then? We’re about to find out whether they can successfully implement some of the strategies the Eagles and Texans used to slow Trevor Lawrence and Kirk over the last two games. Kirk has caught only three passes for 71 yards after looking like a WR1 over the first three weeks.

The problem for the Colts is Gus Bradley’s Cover 3 defense is inherently weak against seam threats, and Kirk is one of the premier pass-catchers in the middle of the field across the league. The Colts have allowed the second-fewest points to receivers, instead shredded by tight ends.

Kirk has been the exception, and I’m looking for head coach Doug Pederson to replicate that success once again in Week 6. I also love the payoff of their best receiver getting a score.

Matt Ryan Under 1.5 Passing TDs (-130)

One reason this Jaguars team has been surprisingly competitive has been their ability to keep offenses out of the end zone. They rank 28th in drives ending in a score but fourth in points. This stinginess doesn’t bode well for Matt Ryan and the struggling passing game.

Ryan has been atrocious this season as he tries to overcome a lacking receiving corps and a broken offensive line. He’s not able to at his age, instead looking like the latest washed veteran who hung on too long. I’m not sure how the Colts can reverse what we’ve seen thus far since there are no quick fixes along the line.

Ryan may get one passing touchdown, but he’s had as many games with zero passing scores (two) as he has with two. He finished with zero in Week 2 against this defense, instead completing three passes to the Jaguars’ defense.

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James Robinson Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (+110)

The Colts have one of the best run-stuffing defenses in the NFL, which is not a surprise given their trench talent. They’re third in run defense EPA, fourth in total yards allowed, and second in yards per carry allowed. But they have given up more volume over the last two weeks, seeing Tennessee and Denver go over 125 total rushing yards.

While it’s not fair to say it’s a weakness yet, determined teams can run on the Colts with some success. Jacksonville totaled 96 yards in Week 2, and James Robinson finished with 64 yards on 23 carries. I don’t think Robinson goes over with efficiency but rather a blunt force that the Jaguars are more than comfortable inflicting.

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Michael Pittman Jr. Under 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

This really goes hand-in-hand with betting against Ryan’s success. Michael Pittman Jr. is awesome, but he’s the main victim of this rudderless offense. Pittman missed Week 2 against the Jaguars due to injury.

Recent weeks have been uninspiring for Pittman’s outlook for the rest of the season. He’s getting a decent target share, but the offense isn’t getting into the red zone often enough for Pittman to bring scoring value. He’s combined for 100 yards on eight catches over the last two games after totaling 17 receptions for 193 yards and one score in Week 1 and 2.

The Jaguars have the seventh-best defense in fantasy points allowed to receivers and are third-best in pass defense EPA. I don’t think Pittman is in the right situation to enjoy a breakout performance.


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