Cincinnati Bengals record prediction 2022: Odds, props, and picks

The Cincinnati Bengals won the AFC last year and almost won the Super Bowl. What are the Bengals' odds and record prediction for the 2022 season?

The Cincinnati Bengals were the ultimate breakthrough team in 2021. Quarterback Joe Burrow led the Bengals to the brink of a Super Bowl victory. Let’s examine the 2022 Bengals’ current record prediction, projected win totals, any intriguing prop bets involving the franchise, and their odds to win the AFC North, AFC, and Super Bowl in 2023.

All odds are from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise stated and are correct as of Aug. 25 at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals record prediction 2022

Following the release of the NFL schedule, Caesars has provided odds and spreads for 11 of the Bengals’ 2022 regular-season matchups. Based on those numbers, Cincinnati is projected as the favorite in six games, underdogs in three, and a push in two. If their season matches those predictions, the Bengals will have a 6-3-2 record following Week 12 of the 2022 campaign.

Coming off a 10-win season where Burrow led the seventh-best scoring offense despite a horrible offensive line, the Bengals are trending upwards. Unfortunately for them, so is the rest of their division and conference. Cincinnati will also no longer catch foes off-guard after they upset the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs.

The Bengals prepared for a tougher campaign. Signing blockers Alex Cappa, La’el Collins, and Ted Karras should help tremendously. Burrow, Joe Mixon, and this array of playmakers should continue their ascending trajectory.

For as good as the offense is, though, it was the defense that pushed this team over the top in the playoffs. They ranked just 17th in scoring during the regular season but suffocated everyone they played in the postseason.

The Bengals were one drive away from winning the Super Bowl over the Los Angeles Rams. Can they propel that momentum forward or will they suffer a Super Bowl loss hangover?

Bengals odds, picks, and props

Now we know the sportsbooks’ predictions for the Bengals on a week-by-week basis. Let’s look at their season-long odds for win totals, the division, conference, and the Super Bowl.

  • Bengals win total: 10 (over +100, under -120)
  • Bengals make the playoffs: Yes (-130), No (+110)
  • AFC North winner: +170
  • AFC winner: +1100
  • Super Bowl winner: +2200

No longer just a fun team trying to find their way, the Bengals entered the big leagues last year. Now with the eighth-hardest schedule and the reality of high expectations, the Bengals have a tougher pathway in 2022. How their regular-season plays out hinges on their ability to take care of business early, then win tough games late in the year.

Cincinnati did well to upgrade their roster where they could. They still lack some playmaking on defense, especially at cornerback, but their depth is improved and it’s a versatile unit. It helps that this offense should be insane.

Oddsmakers are fading the Bengals’ outlook. Despite having a higher win total than the Ravens, the Bengals are favored to land second in the AFC North and get a Wild Card spot. Surprisingly, they have the sixth-highest odds to win the AFC again.

Maybe it’s fair to be skeptical of a team that seemingly came out of nowhere. But with Deshaun Watson sidelined for 11 games and the Ravens already having an injured receiver room, the Bengals might once again be primed to be a feared playoff foe.

Bengals odds and player props

There’s quite a bit of star power on the Bengals with Burrow and second-year receiver Ja’Marr Chase leading the way. We certainly want action on those two for awards and player props. But the rest of the team suffers a bit from their dominating presence, and the defense lacks a Hall of Fame talent.

Still, we have several solid player props available. Let’s take a look at the most playable ones below.

  • MVP
    Joe Burrow +1200
  • Offensive Player of the Year
    Ja’Marr Chase +3000
  • Most regular-season receiving touchdowns
    Ja’Marr Chase +500
  • Joe Burrow regular-season passing yards
    Over/Under 4,450.5 (over +100, under -120)
  • Joe Mixon regular-season rushing yards
    Over/Under 1,050.5 (over +100, under -120)
  • Ja’Marr Chase regular-season receiving yards
    Over/Under 1,250.5 (over -110, under -120)
  • Tee Higgins regular-season receiving yards
    Over/Under 975.5 (over -135, under +105)

In terms of the MVP race, Burrow is a decent pick. He’s already a beloved figure and has shown the ability to create big plays out of nowhere. He’ll need to push the Bengals into an unexpected number of wins to earn MVP, but his production and narrative are strong.

Chase is in a more difficult situation. He’s incredibly talented and will produce because of his unique chemistry with Burrow. In total, he earned 128 targets and caught 81 passes for 1,455 yards and 13 scores.

Can he repeat his ridiculous rookie numbers if Tee Higgins doesn’t miss three games as he did in 2021? The margin for error with Chase’s receiving-yards total is small. Then again, the Bengals attempted the 20th-most passing attempts last year so an uptick is reasonable.

Let’s dig into the best picks for the Bengals’ 2022 season.

2022 picks

The AFC is loaded, and there will be teams that disappoint. But I don’t think the Bengals will be one of them.

Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo figured out how to maximize his available talent at the right time last year, and now he has Dax Hill and Joseph Ossai as valuable depth pieces.

What matters for bettors is how the Bengals respond to expectations as a young coaching staff and roster. With games against the Jets, Dolphins, Steelers, Falcons, Browns, and Panthers before their Week 10 bye, Cincinnati’s 10-win line looks very gettable if they win six of their first nine matchups. Battles against Tennessee, Kansas City, Cleveland (with Watson), Tampa Bay, and Buffalo await after their bye.

I originally wanted to stay away from the Bengals’ 10-win line because their schedule is so challenging. But, we’re getting positive value for them to go over, and Watson’s extended absence moves one major competitor for the divisional crown more into the Wild Card mix. I think it’s most likely we hit the over or the bet washes.

With Baltimore building a one-dimensional offense and relying on an unusually high number of players coming off a major injury, I’m more comfortable taking the value for Cincinnati to win the North once again.

1u: Bengals win the AFC North (+170)
1u: Bengals make the playoffs (-130)
1u: Bengals over 10 wins (+100)

Player props

Some of the Bengals’ player props are eye-boggling at face value. Burrow averaged almost 290 passing yards per game last year thanks to outbursts of 525 and 446 yards against Baltimore and Kansas City. But those performances also helped make up for back-to-back weeks of 148 and 190 yards only six weeks prior.

His 4,450.5-yard total is favorable, even if it is a little intimidating. Burrow averaged 268 yards per game as a rookie and his 2022 betting total would require an average of only 261 yards. Behind an improved line, this is achievable so long as Burrow doesn’t miss multiple games.

This will cascade across the unit, including Chase and Mixon.

Mixon will enjoy his most efficient season yet thanks to the line additions, and he’s even a sleeper pick for the NFL’s leading rusher, although I didn’t list it here. He hit 1,205 yards in 16 games last year despite only a 4.1 average per carry.

1u: Burrow over 4,450.5 passing yards (+100)
1u:
Mixon over 1,050.5 rushing yards (+100)
1u: Chase over 1,250.5 receiving yards (-110)

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