Chiefs vs. Bills Same Game Parlay Featuring Rashee Rice and Dalton Kincaid

Could the Chiefs vs. Bills game be a peek into the future? A pair of rookies highlight this same game parlay for the final game of the week.

The second we knew we’d get a playoff rematch between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills for a right to play for the conference title next week, my wheels started turning. We aren’t there yet, but this could certainly be this generation’s version of Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning.

Taking over in these much-hyped games can be dangerous, but a single thread is all that needs to be pulled to make our Chiefs vs. Bills same-game parlay click.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

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  • Spread
    Bills -3
  • Moneyline
    Chiefs +130, Bills -150
  • Total
    45.5

Chiefs vs. Bills Same Game Parlay

We here at Soppe HQ like to encourage responsible gaming, and in that vein, I’ll always offer you a trivia question off the top of these articles. Pose this question to a buddy you are watching the game with: answer correctly and you pay for the SGP, misfire and he/she is on the hook.

Trivia Question: What happened faster — Patrick Mahomes’ legendary drive to force overtime against the Bills in the Divisional Round of the 2021 playoffs or Usain Bolt’s record sprint of 150 meters (164 yards) at the Manchester City Games in 2009?

In a game that features Josh Allen and Mahomes, any player is capable of having a big day, that much we know. These are two creative offenses that pick on opposing weaknesses — it just so happens that these two defenses share a common flaw.

On passes thrown outside the hashes by opponents this season …

  • Chiefs: Fifth-highest opponent aDOT (average depth of target)
  • Chiefs: 32nd in INT% (one interception on 244 throws)
  • Bills: 27th in first-down rate
  • Bills: 29th in completion percentage

They are both good defenses with a similar blind spot that the All-Pro QB on the other side can exploit in a major way. With the knowledge of where to look, the only thing left to do is find the players that are used in those advantageous areas.

Dalton Kincaid ranks second among TEs in both catches (42) and catch rate (82.4%) on those perimeter passes. For the season, he and Stefon Diggs have seen 47.1% of Buffalo’s such targets and accounted for 47.3% of their catches on those passes.

If you believe that L’Jarius Sneed is focused on Diggs and/or are worried about Diggs’ recent usage, Kincaid (third among TEs in perimeter routes, 15th in routes run elsewhere) is the man for you.

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As productive as I think Kincaid has the potential to be, I don’t have him as my favorite rookie in this game. Rashee Rice popped up in initial research due to him ranking second among receivers in yards after the catch per reception and the Bills encouraging opponents to check down (second lowest aDOT). My optimism only grew with time.

When on the perimeter, Rice has caught a pass on 24.1% of his routes, a rate that dwarfs that of Travis Kelce (15.3%). Kansas City’s budding star earned 35.2% of the targets last week against the Miami Dolphins and might well prove to be the skeleton key for a Chiefs team eyeing a repeat.

Trivia Answer: Mahomes’ drive took just 13 seconds while Bolt’s 150-meter record sits at a sluggish 14.35 seconds.

Same Game Parlay Pick: Dalton Kincaid over 4.5 receptions and 40.5 receiving yards, Rashee Rice over 6.5 receptions and 67.5 receiving yards

Odds: +500 (at DraftKings)

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