Buccaneers vs. Saints Player Props for Monday Night Football: Tom Brady, Chris Godwin, Andy Dalton, and Alvin Kamara

Buccaneers vs. Saints Player Props for Monday Night Football: Tom Brady, Chris Godwin, Andy Dalton, and Alvin Kamara

If you’re planning to make NFL prop bets for this exciting Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Week 13 matchup on Monday Night Football, then you’ve come to the right place.

We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.

Top Buccaneers vs. Saints Player Props To Target

The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.

These recommended bets assume Tampa Bay will win by a rough score of 23-16. When these teams last met in Week 2, the Bucs prevailed 20-10 despite being without Chris Godwin and — as long as we’re on the subject of missing WRs — Julio Jones.

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Although, in fairness, New Orleans was missing Alvin Kamara. However, two of the Saints’ top three targets were Michael Thomas and Juwan Johnson. While Kamara is rarin’ to go tonight, clearly, we won’t see Thomas or Johnson. The Saints’ current offense is largely Kamara-and-Chris-Olave or bust.

Back to the Bucs: they’ll have their top four wideouts in this one for only the third time this season. This creates some havoc when assessing their production outlooks. Assuming Saints CB Marshon Lattimore is good to go, Mike Evans could take a hit, opening the door for higher numbers elsewhere.

Tom Brady Player Props

It’s been an eventful year for Tom Brady. Perhaps unretiring will have been worth it only if he wins another ring. We might never know, since the 5-6 Bucs — assuming they win the NFC South — might have to beat a great team like the Cowboys in the opening round.

But first thing’s first: taking care of business at home and going a full two games up on Carolina for the division lead. Brady is leading the league in pass attempts. The Saints have a league-low two interceptions. The all-time great should exceed his prop lines with a full complement of receivers at his disposal.

  • Passing yards over 272.5
    (EVEN) — DraftKings
  • Passing touchdowns over 1.5
    (-130) — DraftKings
  • Interceptions under 0.5
    (-125) — DraftKings

Chris Godwin Player Props

Godwin had 10+ targets in five of six games from Weeks 4-9. Yet he had no touchdowns to show for it. But after scoring in each of his last two outings, Godwin has become Tampa Bay’s most hyped Week 13 receiver, possessing the highest reception and receiving-yard prop lines.

While a 7-68 receiving line is doable, more realistically, he’ll lose one or two looks to the returning Russell Gage, while Julio Jones should continue to get a small-yet-meaningful portion of targets. And we can’t ignore Evans, even if Lattimore tries to lock him down.

I like Godwin snagging 5-6 balls for 55-65 yards. A fine performance, but not the blow-up variety we saw last week.

  • Receptions under 6.5
    (+105) — DraftKings
  • Receiving yards under 68.5
    (-113) — FanDuel
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Andy Dalton Player Props

For weeks, I’ve marveled at New Orleans’ commitment to Andy Dalton. His overall numbers are actually half decent: 14 TD passes, seven interceptions, and 225 passing yards per game.

But half of those TDs came in two contests. His completion percentage and QB rating are the lowest in the fourth quarter. One might argue that defenses figure him out, and he and the Saints often have not adjusted effectively.

Realistically, he could get benched in this one. It might depend on whether the Saints can keep it close. I have my doubts.

  • Passing yards under 221.5
    (-113) — FanDuel
  • Passing touchdowns under 1.5
    (-265) — DraftKings

Alvin Kamara Player Props

The Saints don’t have a better option than to run Kamara as much as possible as long as victory remains within reach. If they lose, they’re effectively out of postseason contention. But a win would bring them within a half-game of the Bucs for the division lead — a remarkable scenario given this team’s season-long struggles.

I’d be shocked if Kamara doesn’t earn two of the Saints’ first three touches. Eight touches in the first quarter seem realistic. While he might not be efficient, volume should carry him in prop bets.

  • Rushing yards over 47.5
    (-113) — FanDuel
  • Receptions over 3.5
    (-155) — DraftKings
  • Receiving yards over 26.5
    (-113) — FanDuel