Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prop bets for Sunday Night Football include Tom Brady, Mike Evans, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Here are our recommended Week 4 NFL Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prop bets based on likely game-script analyses for this Sunday Night Football contest.

If you’re planning to make Week 4 NFL prop bets for Sunday Night Football’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.

We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated as well as fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, or BetMGM.

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prop bets to target

The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data.

DraftKings Sportsbook

States: NY, LA, AZ, CO, PA, NJ, IN, IL, IA, MI, VA, WY, TN, WV


Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. Criteria such as age, durability, shifting personnel, scheduling, and other factors help shape these final assessments.

Tom Brady Week 4 prop bets

Tom Brady is off to a rough start. But as a fellow 40-something-year-old, I can attest that most of my days are off to rough starts.

Aside from a weakened offensive line, the Bucs’ relative struggles are correctible, and getting starting receivers back in the fold is key, especially against a beatable Kansas City pass defense.

Brady has strong 280+ yard, two-TD potential tonight, even if his defense keeps the Chiefs’ offense somewhat in check.

Passing completions over 25.5 (-110) — BetMGM
Passing yards over 273.5 (-120) — BetMGM
Passing TDs over 1.5 (-185) — BetMGM
Interceptions under 0.5 (-145) — BetMGM

Mike Evans Week 4 prop bets

A suspension sidelined Mike Evans in Week 3. Not much can contain him in Week 4. I’m expecting a vintage performance in a passing attack looking to get back on track. Evans realistically could hit double-digit targets, and anything less than 80 yards would be surprising.

Score first TD (+750) — DraftKings
Receiving yards over 69.5 (-115) — DraftKings

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Week 4 prop bets

How patient will the Chiefs be with Clyde Edwards-Helaire? On paper, his 5.3 yards per carry makes him look like a no-brainer “over” for the following low rushing-yardage line. However, the opposing Bucs are more likely than not to shut him down. And if this game goes the way I think it will (a 9+ point Bucs win), K.C. could largely abandon the run by the second half.

Rushing yards under 34.5 (-110) — BetMGM

Patrick Mahomes Week 4 prop bets

Mahomes looked human last week in Indianapolis, and I believe he’ll look human again in Tampa Bay. We can never count him out, but his projections seem a little too inflated against a team whose offense should move the ball early and often and whose defense should force multiple three-and-outs.

Rushing yards under 15.5 (-110) — DraftKings
Passing TDs under 1.5 (+150) — DraftKings


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