The final game of tonight’s Monday Night Football doubleheader features the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers in an AFC North battle. These teams are coming off opposite Week 1 performances, as the Browns won by double digits, and the Steelers got blown out 30-7 at home.
Tonight’s game is expected to be low scoring, as the total has dropped from 42.5 to 38 since the lines first came out — a 4.5-point decrease. But how does that impact the player prop betting for tonight? Will Kenny Pickett have a bounce-back game at home, or will he struggle against this Browns defense? Is Nick Chubb poised for another big game?
Let’s take a look at the Browns vs. Steelers player prop bets for this evening.
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Top Browns vs. Steelers Player Prop Bets To Target
Our team of betting experts give their favorite Browns vs. Steelers player prop bets on Monday Night Football.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
Deshaun Watson Player Props
- Passing Yards: 204.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +160/Under -210)
- Pass Completions: 17.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
- Pass Attempts: 27.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +114/Under -120)
Blewis: Even in their 24-3 win over the Bengals last week, Deshaun Watson’s struggles from last season continued, going 16 of 29 for 154 passing yards with one touchdown and an interception. Weather conditions played a major factor last week, but there’s no rain in the forecast tonight in Pittsburgh.
In last week’s 21-point victory, Watson had 29 pass attempts despite not throwing the ball again after their final touchdown with 9:11 remaining in the fourth quarter. I expect this game to be much closer than their win over the Bengals last week, meaning he’ll have to continue throwing the football late in the fourth.
Player Prop Bet: Lean Deshaun Watson over 27.5 pass attempts (-110)
Nick Chubb Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 82.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Rush Attempts: 17.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Longest Rush: 17.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receiving Yards: 13.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Receptions: 2.5 (Over +140/Under -180)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -135
- First Touchdown Scorer: +370
Blewis: It was business as usual for Nick Chubb on the ground last week, rushing for over 100 yards. But it was also the rare game where he was involved in the passing game, recording four receptions. In 2022, Chubb went over this total in the season opener and then never again for the rest of the season.
MORE: Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions for Browns vs. Steelers
Was last week a fluke, or is this a change of role for Chubb with Kareem Hunt no longer on Cleveland’s roster to be the receiving back? If there was a night for him to repeat his receiving production, it’s tonight when the Browns are most likely going to be without their best receiver in Amari Cooper.
Player Prop Bet: Nick Chubb over 2.5 receptions (+140)
Elijah Moore Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 41.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
- Longest Reception: 19.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +275
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1200
Blewis: As I mentioned above, Cooper is not expected to play tonight, which opens up an opportunity for Elijah Moore to be the No. 1 option in the passing game.
Moore had 43 yards last week on seven targets in a game where Watson only threw for 154 yards. This week, he just needs 42 yards to go over his yards prop.
Player Prop Bet: Elijah Moore over 41.5 receiving yards (-115)
Kenny Pickett Player Props
- Passing Yards: 201.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +195/Under -260)
- Pass Completions: 18.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Pass Attempts: 30.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Blewis: The Steelers’ offense was one of the most disappointing units last week after they were receiving a ton of hype after the preseason. Kenny Pickett particularly played poorly, throwing two interceptions and averaging just 5.0 yards per attempt on 46 passes.
For the second week in a row, Pickett will be facing one of the best defenses in the NFL in the Browns, who made life for Joe Burrow miserable last week.
If I leaned in any direction, it would be the over on pass attempts in what I believe will be a close game that comes down to the wire.
Player Prop Bet: Lean Kenny Pickett over 30.5 pass attempts (-115)
Najee Harris Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 53.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Rush Attempts: 13.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Longest Rush: 13.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receiving Yards: 11.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 1.5 (Over -180/Under +140)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +145
- First Touchdown Scorer: +650
Katz: Perhaps this is overreacting to last week, where the Steelers’ offense just looked completely inept. They looked like a team that just hadn’t really played in months … except Mike Tomlin had the starters out there for all three preseason games. I guess it’s just unnecessarily putting players at risk and doesn’t help.
It was admittedly about as tough a matchup as you could ask for against the 49ers.
MORE: Browns vs. Steelers Predictions, Picks, Odds Today
Najee Harris carried the ball six times for 31 yards. That may look decent, but it’s important to realize he had a 24-yard carry in there.
This week, Harris should see more volume, but he’s still in a near-even timeshare with Jaylen Warren. Something like 13 carries for 39 yards sounds perfect for Harris this week.
Player Prop Bet: Najee Harris under 49.5 rushing yards (-110 at BetMGM made earlier this week)
George Pickens Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 42.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Longest Reception: 19.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +250
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1100
Blewis: With Diontae Johnson out with an injury, it could be the George Pickens show tonight in the passing game for the Steelers.
Last week, Pickens had five receptions but for just 36 yards, averaging a lowly 7.2 yards per reception. His longest catch was just for nine yards, a rarity for a receiver who excels deep down the field.
Let’s bank on Pickens having a bounce-back week in a game where Pickett should be more efficient. After not recording a single catch over 10 yards last week, let’s buy low on his longest reception prop.
Player Prop Bet: George Pickens over 19.5 receiving yards (-125)
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