Boise State vs. UTEP betting preview: Prediction, odds, spread, DFS picks, and more

Examine the current lines closely and find your edge with our Boise State vs. UTEP betting preview and prediction for their Friday clash.

The West Coast plays second fiddle to no one on Friday night and our Boise State vs. UTEP betting preview showcases why. With sports betting taking over college football and college fantasy football on the rise, here is everything you need to know from current betting odds to DFS picks and fantasy football players to play included in our Boise State vs. UTEP prediction.

Boise State vs. UTEP betting preview

  • Spread: Boise State (-16)
  • Moneyline: Boise State (-645); UTEP (+480)
  • Over/Under: 45.5 points
  • Game time: Friday, Sept. 23, 2022 @ 9 p.m. ET
  • Location: Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas
  • Predicted weather at kick: 81 degrees, clear, 4-6 mph winds

The Boise State Broncos are bringing with them a seemingly rejuvenated offense to UTEP on Friday night. Rattling off two victories, longtime quarterback Hank Bachmeier has regained the confidence needed to compete in the Mountain West and heads into the Sun Bowl off two multi-touchdown performances. Conference USA foe UTEP awaits in perhaps what is exactly the Boise State team needs before embarking on their MWC schedule.

Top DFS picks and fantasy plays

With a three-game slate of DFS plays, it’s imperative to find value in your roster but guarantee you production on Friday. When looking for production in this game, however, you have to know where to look. First, the landscape has to be set with each team’s values:

  • QB Hank Bachmeier, Boise State: $7,300
  • QB Gavin Hardison, UTEP: $5,300
  • RB George Holani, Boise State: $6,600
  • RB Ashton Jeanty, Boise State: $4,900
  • RB Deion Hankins, UTEP: $3,800
  • RB Elelyon Noa, Boise State: $3,500
  • RB Ronald Awatt, UTEP: $3,500
  • RB Reynaldo Flores, UTEP: $3,200
  • WR Stefan Cobbs, Boise State: $6,500
  • WR Tyrin Smith, UTEP: $5,400
  • WR Latrell Caples, Boise State: $5,200
  • WR Kelly Akharaiyi, UTEP: $4,000
  • WR Billy Bowens, Boise State: $3,800
  • WR Josh Farr, UTEP: $3,600
  • WR Jeremiah Ballard, UTEP: $3,500

The DFS plays in this one center around Boise State, both offensively and defensively. JL Skinner is among the best in the country at safety and takes away half the field for the Broncos. That essentially mitigates the downfield passing game for UTEP and puts Tyrin Smith’s value in question.

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Instead of Smith, the cheaper option is Reynaldo Flores as he’s very clearly the team’s second-leading target. Flores has hauled in nearly 300 yards out of the backfield and is averaging well over 12 yards per reception. Though he hasn’t found the end zone, UTEP’s H-back is a must-play at that value due to his guaranteed target share as he’s currently seeing 24.4% of the Miners’ targets in the passing game.

Similarly, it seems that Ronald Awatt’s value is decreasing due to the lack of finding the end zone in half their games this season. Still, Awatt has a game-changing ability with his skill between the tackles and ability to generate yards after contact. Awatt and Flores are cheaper options that allow you to hit on the guaranteed receiver spots that cost a premium in other games on Friday.

Boise State vs. UTEP prediction

The Miners have had a rough go of it this season, facing off against Oklahoma after dropping their Week 0 game against North Texas. UTEP has been slow to respond on defense though their offense certainly has proven to be able to fly enough to look at this total point spread and take the over.

UTEP has scored just 56 points in four games this year, but they’ve left a lot of points on the table. Smith has filled the void left by Jacob Cowing, but Gavin Hardison has hardly had time to get the ball downfield due to offensive line woes.

Boise State may have experience on their defensive line, but they’ve proven to be limited in the pass-rushing game. On the back end, their secondary has looked sound against UT-Martin and New Mexico, teams not quite known for their passing ability. Against Oregon State, the Broncos allowed nearly 300 yards and were unable to get any pressure on Chance Nolan. Still, Skinner did make a play against Nolan with an interception that showcased his strength in coverage.

UTEP’s offensive line should be able to hold on long enough against Boise State for Hardison to be able to deal from the pocket. Both Smith and Flores are players to watch in the passing game as they can win at multiple different levels. While UTEP may not challenge for the victory over a Boise State team that’s firing on all cylinders, the Miners can still score and are due for a whole bevy of points on the board.

Prediction: Boise State 33, UTEP 17

Cam Mellor is the Senior Director of the College Football/NFL Draft vertical for Pro Football Network. You can find his writing here and follow him on Twitter: @CamMellor.

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