Best and worst fantasy football matchups for Week 2 NFL games

Which players have the best and worst fantasy football matchups based upon the opposing team's fantasy points allowed per game by position?

The most commonly asked questions fantasy football analysts receive during the season are of the start/sit variety. This weekly article will give fantasy managers an overview of the best and worst fantasy football matchups for the upcoming week based on fantasy points allowed by position.

For the first couple of weeks, we will be using 2020 data until we get enough of a 2021 sample size.

Best fantasy football matchups in Week 2

Let’s go position by position and take a look at which players have favorable Week 2 fantasy football matchups.

Quarterback

Here are the five teams that allowed the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in 2020:

  • Detroit Lions (23.83)
  • Atlanta Falcons (23.32)
  • New York Jets (22.01)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (21.68)
  • Tennessee Titans (21.23)

Here are the players that stand to benefit from the favorable fantasy football matchup:

Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers vs. DET
Tom Brady | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. ATL
Mac Jones | New England Patriots at NYJ
Teddy Bridgewater 
| Denver Broncos at JAX
Russell Wilson 
| Seattle Seahawks vs. TEN

Rodgers is in a prime bounce-back spot as 12.5-point home favorites against the Lions. Brady should smash against a weak Falcons defense that just got torched by Jalen Hurts. Jones and Bridgewater make for decent streaming options. Wilson is an every-week must-start.

Running Back

Here are the five teams that allowed the most fantasy points per game to running backs in 2020:

  • Detroit Lions (32.47)
  • Houston Texans (32.28)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (30.14)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (28.88)
  • Green Bay Packers (26.93)

Here are the players that stand to benefit from the favorable fantasy football matchup:

Aaron Jones | Green Bay Packers vs. DET
Nick Chubb 
| Cleveland Browns vs. HOU
Melvin Gordon & Javonte Williams 
| Denver Broncos at JAX
Najee Harris 
| Pittsburgh Steelers vs. LV
Jamaal Williams & D’Andre Swift | Detroit Lions at GB

Like Rodgers, Aaron Jones should bounce back in a big way on Monday night. Chubb thrives on positive game script, and there should be plenty of it as the Browns are 12.5-point home favorites over the Texans.

Gordon and Williams are in a dead-even timeshare, but both should eat against a soft Jaguars defense that just let all three Texans running backs score last week. Harris played every snap at running back last week, and the Raiders just surrendered an RB1 week to Ty’Son Williams.

Swift and Williams were also both RB1s last week. Swift is the preferred option as the Lions will experience negative game script again, and he is the passing-down back.

Wide Receiver

Here are the five teams that allowed the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers in 2020:

  • Atlanta Falcons (45.2)
  • Tennessee Titans (45)
  • Detroit Lions (44.11)
  • Seattle Seahawks (43.24)
  • Dallas Cowboys (41.99)

Here are the players that stand to benefit from the favorable fantasy football matchup:

Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, & Antonio Brown | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. ATL
DK Metcalf & Tyler Lockett | Seattle Seahawks vs. TEN
Davante Adams | Green Bay Packers vs. DET
A.J. Brown & Julio Jones | Tennessee Titans at SEA
Keenan Allen & Mike Williams | Los Angeles Chargers vs. DAL

You’re not abandoning Evans after one dud. Godwin and Brown are must-starts until further notice. Metcalf and Lockett both scored last week, and it might happen again. Adams was dragged down by his quarterback’s career-worst performance. 100 yards and at least a touchdown feels like it’s in the cards this week.

Ryan Tannehill struggled last week, but Brown still found the end zone. Jones couldn’t separate and had multiple mental mistakes. I wouldn’t fade him just yet, though.

Allen is an obvious start, but I would also do everything you can to get Williams in your lineup. The Cowboys had no answer for the Bucs’ passing game last week, and this one should be another shootout.

Tight End

Here are the five teams that allowed the most fantasy points per game to tight ends in 2020:

  • New York Jets (18.01)
  • Chicago Bears (15.7)
  • Cleveland Browns (15.42)
  • Atlanta Falcons (15.41)
  • Buffalo Bills (14.83)

Here are the players that stand to benefit from the favorable fantasy football matchup:

Jonnu Smith & Hunter Henry | New England Patriots at NYJ
C.J. Uzomah | Cincinnati Bengals at CHI
Pharaoh Brown | Houston Texans at CLE
Rob Gronkowski | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. ATL
Mike Gesicki | Miami Dolphins vs. BUF

The Patriots play a ton of 12 personnel, so Smith and Henry are both fantasy-viable. Uzomah was targeted just twice last week, but the Bengals have three excellent wide receivers, so this exploitable matchup is irrelevant.

Brown is interesting because he saw 5 targets last week despite an immense positive game script. I’d wait and see what happens this week, but he’s someone to keep an eye on. Gronkowski had a monster Week 1 (8-90-2), and you’re starting him if you have him, but he’s going to be inconsistent regardless of the matchup.

Gesicki’s athletic gifts just never translated into actual in-game ability. He played well behind Durham Smythe’s 70% snap share last week. You can drop Gesicki.

D/ST

For our defensive matchups to exploit in Week 2, check out our defensive streamers of the week.

Worst fantasy matchups this week

Let’s go position by position and take a look at which players have unfavorable Week 2 fantasy football matchups.

Quarterback

Here are the five teams that allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in 2020:

  • Los Angeles Rams (13.52)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (14.17)
  • Washington Football Team (15.74)
  • New Orleans Saints (16.0)
  • Green Bay Packers (16.1)

Here are the players that could struggle due to the unfavorable fantasy football matchup:

Carson Wentz | Indianapolis Colts vs. LAR
Derek Carr 
| Las Vegas Raiders at PIT
Sam Darnold 
| Carolina Panthers vs. NO
Jared Goff 
| Detroit Lions at GB

All four of these quarterbacks are nothing more than streamers. Wentz, Carr, and Darnold are facing defenses that stifled opposing quarterback production in Week 1. Leave them on the waiver wire.

Goff is the only name to possibly consider, as extreme negative game script in Week 1 allowed him to volume his way to QB1 numbers. It could happen again, but relying on garbage time is a dicey proposition.

Running Back

Here are the five teams that allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to running backs in 2020:

  • New Orleans Saints (17.84)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (18.73)
  • Washington Football Team (18.78)
  • Los Angeles Rams (19.96)
  • Miami Dolphins (20.03)

Here are the players that could struggle due to the unfavorable fantasy football matchup:

Christian McCaffrey| Carolina Panthers vs. NO
Kenyan Drake | Las Vegas Raiders at PIT
Jonathan Taylor & Nyheim Hines | Indianapolis Colts vs. LAR
Devin Singletary | Buffalo Bills at MIA

McCaffrey doesn’t care about matchups, and neither do you. Josh Jacobs has been ruled out this week, putting Drake in the lead role. While he gets a boost because of opportunity, it’s not a favorable matchup.

Taylor is an every-week must-start regardless of matchup. Hines is a nice PPR flex play. The two saw 15 targets combined last week. Singletary was the clear lead back, but the Bills just don’t run. He’s going to get you about 10 points, so it’s up to you to decide what that’s worth.

Wide Receiver

Here are the five teams that allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to wide receivers in 2020:

  • Los Angeles Rams (28.28)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (30.53)
  • Washington Football Team (31.71)
  • Buffalo Bills (32.13)
  • Green Bay Packers (32.55)

Here are the players that could struggle due to the unfavorable fantasy football matchup:

Michael Pittman Jr. & Zach Pascal | Indianapolis Colts vs. LAR
Marquise Brown and Sammy Watkins 
| Baltimore Ravens vs. KC
DeVante Parker & Jaylen Waddle | Miami Dolphins at BUF
Tyrell Williams 
| Detroit Lions at GB

No Colts wide receiver saw more than 5 targets last week. You’re not starting Pittman or Pascal.

Brown caught all 6 of his targets last week and scored. He looked very good, and this should be a shootout. I would start him, but not Watkins, who did his typical Week 1 splash thing and now will disappear.

Will Fuller will be out in Week 2 due to a personal matter. Waddle looked very good last week, but I’d avoid him and Parker, if possible, in this tough matchup. Williams is dealing with a concussion, and Jared Goff either throws to T.J. Hockenson or just dumps the ball off to his running backs anyway. Fade all Lions wide receivers.

Tight End

Here are the five teams that allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends in 2020:

  • San Francisco 49ers (8.16)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (9.11)
  • Green Bay Packers (10.26)
  • New England Patriots (10.52)
  • Indianapolis Colts (10.63)

Here are the players that could struggle due to the unfavorable fantasy football matchup:

Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles vs. SF
Darren Waller | 
Las Vegas Raiders at PIT
T.J. Hockenson |
Detroit Lions at GB
Tyler Kroft |
New York Jets vs. NE
Tyler Higbee |
Los Angeles Rams at IND

The 49ers had no answer for Hockenson last week. If you drafted Goedert, start him. Waller might have 300 targets (that’s hyperbole …vmaybe). See the previous statement on Hockenson — he’s going to lead the Lions in receiving more weeks than not.

The Patriots held Mike Gesicki to 0-0. Do not even look at Kroft. Higbee played every snap last week. It’s happening. Do not fear the matchup — start him.

Jason Katz is a Fantasy Analyst at Pro Football Network. You can follow him on Twitter @jasonkatz13 and find more of his work here.

RELATED ARTICLES




FEATURED