If you’re competing in a DFS tournament or 50/50 competition for Saturday’s Divisional Round playoff game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Tennessee Titans, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve run through dozens of potential game scripts to arrive at the most likely scenarios and determined how these scenarios would impact fantasy football performances. Here is our top recommended Bengals vs. Titans DFS lineup, based on DraftKings pricing.
Top NFL DFS DraftKings picks for Bengals vs. Titans | Bengals
In DraftKings competitions that include a Captain slot, the player in this slot costs 1.5x the price but yields 1.5x the points. So, if a player priced at $10,000 scores 10 fantasy points, and you have them in your Captain slot, you’ve spent $15,000 to get 15 points. That’s an extra $5,000 for five more points. And it means you have only $35,000 remaining for your other players.
Now, suppose a $2,000-priced player scores 10 points, and you place him in your Captain slot. That becomes a $3,000 investment (1.5 x $2,000) for 15 points (1.5 x 10 points). That’s only an extra $1,000 to secure five more points. And because you’ve invested less in your Captain, you have a whopping $47,000 remaining to spend on better players.
This is a window into how we have constructed this lineup. The Captain is not the best player. Instead, he’s good enough to crack 10 points if things break right, and his presence ensures we can maximize upside with the other five slots.
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals ($10,800)
When a quarterback is facing one of the worst pass defenses (in terms of fantasy points yielded to opposing wideouts), we need to take notice — even if his name isn’t Joe Burrow. Davis Mills posted 301 yards and 3 touchdowns on Tennessee in Week 18. Trevor Siemian threw for 298 and 2.
Yes, there’s a path for the Titans to contain Cincinnati’s passing attack. But it’s a narrow one. We’re playing the percentages and starting Burrow with confidence.
Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($7,200)
Ja’Marr Chase costs $10,400. Both he and Tee Higgins have blow-up potential. Chase’s is objectively higher. But despite his recent struggles, Higgins has a better catch rate and more receptions per game.
The second-year wideout is a great value pick, and he gives us the cap room to secure another “good” player, whereas starting Chase instead would force us into bargain-hunting mode.
Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,400)
One of the best No. 3 wideouts in the game, Tyler Boyd has not only persevered but thrived in a top-heavy offense. Despite earning 5 or fewer receptions in 16 of 18 games, he’s the WR38 in points per game — better than many other teams’ No. 1 wideouts, including DeVonta Smith, Jakobi Meyers, and Jarvis Landry.
Evan McPherson, K, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,000)
Here’s our make-or-break DFS lineup decision. Evan McPherson is our Captain. Normally priced at $4,000, we’re paying a 1.5x premium to clear cap space for four monster-upside players and Boyd.
McPherson has notched double-digit fantasy points in five straight contests, and in seven of his last eight. If he kicks 3 field goals, he’ll be one of the day’s best DFS value plays.
Top NFL DFS DraftKings picks for Bengals vs. Titans | Titans
This lineup assumes Tennessee leans on their two best playmakers. One has played only three times since Thanksgiving. The other last played in Week 8. Can they step up when the Titans need them most?
Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans ($11,000)
It would be no less a shock if Derrick Henry collects 60 scoreless yards on 12 carries as it would be if he amassed 200 total yards and 3 touchdowns. Of course, the most likely result lies somewhere in the middle: perhaps 100 total yards and a score. While even a rusty Henry is better than many teams’ starting running backs, we have to hope he’ll be better than just “good” — especially at this steep price.
A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans ($8,600)
There’s nothing safe about A.J. Brown. Injuries and spotty quarterback play have made him a weekly boom-bust option. Still, he’s one of the NFL’s most talented receivers, and aside from the lower-ceiling Julio Jones, he faces very little competition for targets.
Brown’s fantasy day can be made on one or two plays. He should see 8+ targets and has as good a shot as any receiver today to eclipse 100 yards.