Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown is coming off one of his worst games since joining the team two seasons ago. So, is a bounce-back game inevitable? Let’s take a look at Brown’s player props for this week and see where the value lies.
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A.J. Brown Week 3 Player Props
All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Receiving Yards: 66.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over -145/Under +114)
- Longest Reception: 25.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Rush/Rec. Yards: 66.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +135
- First Touchdown Scorer: +800
Brown Betting Trends and Stats
Brown’s 29 receiving yards last week were his second-fewest since joining the Eagles in 2022 — he had seven yards in Week 10 last season.
Brown Best Bet
Brown has been targeted plenty of times this season — he currently has a team-leading 16 — and his 11 receptions ties with DeVonta Smith for the most on the team. Still, Brown hasn’t come close to being the deep threat he was last season.
After ranking fourth in the NFL in yards per reception last season with 17.0, Brown is averaging less than 10 yards a catch through the first two games of this season (9.8). He’s also waiting to pick up his first TD reception of the season after tying his career high with 11 touchdowns last season.
So, is Brown struggling, or is he ready to have a breakout game? Recent history says to expect good numbers for Brown this week.
Last season, he was held under 50 receiving yards three times. Each time, he bounced back to have at least 60 receiving yards the next game, including a Week 13 effort against the Titans, when Brown had 119 receiving yards and a pair of TD catches — a week after being held to 46 yards receiving.
There is also this: Brown has played in nine road games since joining the Eagles, and he has finished with 70 or more receiving yards six times, including 79 yards in this year’s season opener.
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At the end of the day, Brown is much closer to a 70-yard-per-game receiver than a 30-yard-per-game receiver, and that is what I’m expecting tonight.
A.J. Brown’s Best Bet: Over 66.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)